Excel 2003 White Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Lost to UFA 03G Black 2-4, title odds down 12.2 to 5.6%
30 points 6-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA 03G Black 4 Excel 2003 White 2 | -9.9 | -17.0 | -0.5 | |||
| SSA Che Sel Bl 1 Excel 2003 White 2 | +8.9 | +15.1 | +0.7 | |||
| Concorde Fire S 2 SAF 2003 Elite 6 | -5.5 | -4.8 | -0.1 | |||
| SSA Che Sel Ye 0 SAF 2003 Elite 3 | -3.6 | -4.8 | ||||
| UFA South Georg 4 NTH TopHat 03 W 0 | -3.4 | -6.1 | -0.1 | |||
| UFA 03G Black 2 Roswell Santos 1 | -0.5 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |||
| Concorde Fire S 4 Impact SC 03G P 3 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Impact SC 03G P vs Excel 2003 White | -4.9-2.5+5.8 | -12.8-4.2+14.3 | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | |||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Impact SC 03G P | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Excel 2003 White vs UFA South Georg | +6.7-3.3-5.5 | +22.3-7.2-19.6 | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | |||
| Impact SC 03G P vs SAF 2003 Elite | +3.7-0.8-3.4 | +2.8-1.3-2.3 | ||||
| UFA 03G Black vs SSA Che Sel Bl | -0.8+0.3+0.7 | -3.6+1.0+3.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| UFA 03G Black vs UFA South Georg | +0.2+0.8-0.5 | +4.8+1.9-5.5 | ||||
| GS 03G Gold vs Impact SC 03G P | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Excel 2003 White finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 55.3 | % | 96.7 | % | 55 | 41 | 3 | No | 430,221 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 13.1 | 72.0 | 13 | 59 | 27 | 1 | No | 488,642 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1.5 | 33.7 | 2 | 32 | 58 | 8 | No | 1,284,100 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 17.8 | 18 | 68 | 14 | No | 186,072 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 4.9 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 1 | No | 977,479 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 43 | 57 | No | 23,765 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 0.5 | 1 | 38 | 58 | 3 | No | 1,283,818 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 22 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 186,378 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 10 | 56 | 29 | 5 | 0 | No | 489,671 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 2 | 36 | 44 | 16 | 2 | No | 428,582 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.6 | % | 22.3 | % | 6 | 17 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,778,728 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
