Con Fir Nor El Title Chances Fall2016
Beat Rush 2004 4-0, title odds up 1.2 to 2.6%
32 points 6-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Con Fir Nor El 4 Rush 2004 0 | +0.8 | +6.1 | +0.3 | |||||
| SSA Chelsea 04G 0 NTH Top Pla 9 | -0.7 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Con Fir Nor El 7 GS 04G Gold 0 | +0.4 | +2.7 | *No | +0.1 | ||||
| GSA 04 Premier 2 Con Fir Cen El 0 | -0.1 | -8.7 | ||||||
| Rush 2004 3 AFC Lightning 0 0 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Con Fir Cen El vs Con Fir Nor El | NoNo+2.5 | -17.3-10.7+14.3 | -0.5-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| Con Fir Nor El vs NTH Top Gol | +1.2NoNo | +7.2-13.7-18.8 | +0.2-0.3-0.5 | |||||
| DSC 04G Revolut vs GSA 04 Premier | +35.0+19.0-4.3 | +0.4+0.2-0.0 | ||||||
| Con Fir Cen El vs CFC Red Star - | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Atlanta Fire - vs Rush 2004 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| Rush 2004 vs DSC 04G Revolut | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Con Fir Nor El finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 52 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 27.4 | % | Yes | 27 | 73 | No | 5,213,743 | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 46.9 | % | 47 | 53 | No | 6,359,803 | |||||||||||||||
| 47 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 30.1 | 30 | 70 | No | 12,588,466 | ||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 15.4 | 15 | 85 | No | 2,781,032 | ||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 5.7 | 6 | 91 | 4 | No | 10,165,906 | |||||||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 3.2 | 3 | 97 | No | 520,006 | ||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 1.6 | 2 | 75 | 22 | 2 | No | 7,810,679 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 47 | 46 | 7 | No | 2,639,940 | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 48 | 46 | 6 | No | 35,290 | ||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 24 | 50 | 26 | No | 3,693,903 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 19 | 53 | 27 | No | 220,488 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 55 | 0 | No | 1,256,798 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 0 | No | 424,612 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 62 | 29 | 2 | No | 255,552 | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 37 | 57 | 6 | No | 32,414 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.6 | % | 24.3 | % | 3 | 22 | 60 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 53,998,632 | ||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
