"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Atlanta Fire - 4 Liberty SC West 2 +5.2
+0.1
Augusta Arsenal 1 Triumph 00/01 B 2 -5.3
-0.1
UFA Mountains 0 4 Alliance SC Elite 1 +0.7
-0.0
Augusta Arsenal 3 DSC 00B Revolut 1 +0.4
DSC 00B Revolut 0 Liberty SC East 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta City - vs MAYSA Central GNoNo+3.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Atlanta City - vs UFA Mountains 0NoNo+0.2
+1.3+1.2-6.9
+0.1+0.0-0.4
Atlanta Fire - vs Triumph 00/01 B+0.0NoNo
+38.8-11.1-50.0
+0.5-0.1-0.7
Alliance SC Elite vs Triumph 00/01 B+15.6+10.7-5.3
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Alliance SC Elite vs Augusta Arsenal-0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta Fire - finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910RelegatedCount
352-0-00.1%Yes0100No19,723,203
321-1-0No60.9%61372No10,341,565
301-0-1No9.197714No14,918,699
290-2-0No20.82167120No1,281,920
270-1-1No0.9144532No3,120,796
250-0-2NoNo8812No753,237
Total:0.0%55.2%0553590No50,139,420
Points
Chance Will Win Championship