Con Fir Sou Bl Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Lost to SA / CFA Dalton 3-6, title odds down 0.5 to 0%
22 points 4-1-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Con Fir Sou Bl 3 SA / CFA Dalton 6 | No | -7.0 | +0.1 | -1.0 | ||||
| SSA Savannah UT 1 Con Fir Sou Bl 5 | +0.2 | +3.7 | -2.9 | +1.2 | ||||
| NTH NASA 03 Elite 0 Atlanta Fire - 2 | +0.8 | |||||||
| KSA 03 Premier 1 NTH NASA 03 Elite 1 | +1.1 | |||||||
| UFA 03B Premier 1 AFC Lightning 0 1 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Atlanta Fire - 2 GSA 03 Premier 1 | -1.5 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Con Fir Cen El 2 UFA 03B Premier 5 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||||||
| SSA Chelsea 03B 2 Ambush SC B03 Red 2 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||||||
| UFA Norcross Ea 1 Ambush SC B03 Red 1 | +0.2 | -0.5 | +0.1 | |||||
| SSA Chelsea 03B 3 GSA 03 Premier 1 | +0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Con Fir Sou Bl | No-1.3+2.1 | +0.0NoNo | -1.1+0.1+1.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta Fire - vs SSA Savannah UT | -1.0-0.4+1.2 | No*+0.0+0.0 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| KSA 03 Premier vs SSA Chelsea 03B | -1.0+0.2+0.9 | |||||||
| Ambush SC B03 Red vs KSA 03 Premier | +0.7+0.4-0.9 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| UFA 03B Premier vs SSA Savannah UT | -0.5+0.3+0.4 | No*+0.0+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Ambush SC B03 Red vs NTH NASA 03 Elite | +0.1+0.4-0.3 | |||||||
| Atlanta Fire - vs KSA 03 Premier | -0.0+0.4-0.1 | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| GSA 03 Premier vs SSA Savannah UT | +0.0NoNo | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| UFA Norcross Ea vs GSA 03 Premier | NoNo+0.0 | |||||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs SSA Savannah UT | No*+0.0+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Con Fir Sou Bl finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 37 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 19.9 | % | 20 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,239,200 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 1.2 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | No | 1,415,550 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 1 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 9 | No | 3,711,945 | |||||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 9 | 35 | 45 | 11 | No | 538,507 | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 45 | 42 | 7 | No | 2,829,593 | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 2 | 46 | 50 | 2 | No | 67,689 | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 8 | 45 | 39 | 7 | 0 | No | 3,716,095 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 6 | 39 | 47 | 9 | 0 | No | 537,795 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 41 | 44 | 9 | 0 | No | 1,414,202 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 4 | 37 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 1,242,572 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 1.6 | % | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 16,713,148 | ||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:00 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
