"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
UFA South Georgia 04B Premier Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Tied SAF 2004 Elite 2-2, title odds down 4.9 to 24.5%
44 points 8-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA South Georg 6 Concorde Fire C 0 | +10.4 | +16.2 | +0.4 | |||
| Smyrna Soccer C 1 Alianza Gold B13 0 | +5.8 | +2.7 | ||||
| SAF 2004 Elite 2 UFA South Georg 2 | -4.8 | -3.0 | -0.0 | |||
| Atlanta Fire - 0 CFC Red Star - 1 | -3.6 | -10.3 | -0.1 | |||
| SAF 2004 Elite 4 NTH NASA 04 Pre 0 | -0.4 | |||||
| Nexus FC 04 Elite 3 GSA 05 Premier 0 | *+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA South Georg vs GSA 05 Premier | +14.0+0.3-14.1 | +17.3+3.2-18.5 | +0.4+0.1-0.4 | |||
| CFC Red Star - vs Concorde Fire C | -8.5+1.9+7.8 | -9.4+1.4+8.8 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||
| Nexus FC 04 Elite vs Alianza Gold B13 | +6.0+2.4-6.9 | +6.9+2.0-7.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| CFC Red Star - vs Alianza Gold B13 | -3.3+8.2+0.2 | -1.7-0.4+1.8 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Smyrna Soccer C vs AFC Lightning 0 | -0.8+0.5+0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UFA South Georg finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 59 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 92.6 | % | Yes | 93 | 7 | No | 619,720 | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 78.2 | Yes | 78 | 22 | No | 706,735 | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 35.1 | 90.8 | % | 35 | 56 | 9 | No | 1,855,223 | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 37.4 | 94.6 | 37 | 57 | 5 | No | 269,113 | ||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 10.8 | 70.2 | 11 | 59 | 30 | No | 1,414,223 | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 5.3 | 59.4 | 5 | 54 | 39 | 2 | No | 34,210 | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.6 | 25.5 | 1 | 25 | 69 | 5 | No | 1,857,804 | |||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 25.6 | 26 | 69 | 5 | No | 268,903 | ||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 6.2 | 6 | 79 | 15 | No | 706,326 | ||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 49 | 44 | 7 | No | 619,267 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.5 | % | 58.3 | % | 24 | 34 | 35 | 6 | 1 | No | 8,351,524 | |||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
