"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
UFA 07B Gold Playoff Chances Spring2019
Lost to Georgia Storm 07B 0-4, playoff odds down 4.8 to 0.8%
0 points 0-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| All-In FC 07 3 IAFC 07 Premier 3 | +0.3 | +0.3 | -0.1 | |||||
| SSA Chelsea 07B 1 Hinesville SA-2 2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Georgia Storm 07B 4 All-In FC 07 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| IAFC 07 Premier 6 GA Rush B2007 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| NTH NASA 07 Mil 2 Hinesville SA-2 1 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| NTH NASA 07 Mil vs Alliance SC | +0.1*+0.0-0.3 | |||||||
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Georgia Storm 07B 4 UFA 07B Gold 0 | -4.2 | -4.2 | +5.6 | -0.7 | ||||
| Alliance SC 4 IAFC 07 Premier 1 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +0.7 | |||||
| Savannah United 4 SSA Chelsea 07B 0 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||
| All-In FC 07 9 Georgia Impact 0 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.5 | |||||
| All-In FC 07 4 GA Rush B2007 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.5 | |||||
| Hinesville SA-2 6 MSC 2007 Elite 3 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| GA Rush B2007 vs Georgia Storm 07B | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +3.4+0.4-2.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UFA 07B Gold finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 5,964 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,306 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 96.4 | 61 | 36 | 4 | 0 | No | 10,016 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 93.8 | 93.8 | 51 | 42 | 6 | 0 | No | 11,806 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 78.3 | 78.3 | 29 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 55,368 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 67.4 | 67.4 | 19 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 0 | No | 19,305 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 46.1 | 46.1 | 9 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 64,593 | |||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 35.4 | 35.4 | 5 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 135,547 | ||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 2 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 1 | No | 19,736 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 312,146 | |||||||||
| 31 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 184,064 | |||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 239,836 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 13,439 | ||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 635,211 | ||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 155,085 | |||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 969,446 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | No | 6,079 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 707,730 | ||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 552,186 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | No | 82,548 | ||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,612,094 | * | ||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 466,871 | ||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 1,818,379 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0.5 | 27,135 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2.8 | 1,406,794 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 7.5 | 816,342 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 182,568 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 14.5 | 2,361,172 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 10.7 | 4,878 | |||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 24.8 | 682,692 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 32 | 6 | 37.8 | 2,102,166 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 5 | 35.3 | 39,371 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 42 | 11 | 53.1 | 1,513,040 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 48 | 18 | 66.0 | 775,042 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 18 | 65.1 | 174,612 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 27 | 76.9 | 2,004,743 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 39 | 86.4 | 478,665 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 48 | 91.3 | 1,462,796 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 43 | 49 | 92.0 | 18,432 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 96.1 | 837,596 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 97.9 | 454,671 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 98.3 | 59,275 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 99.2 | 907,274 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 99.8 | 129,307 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.9 | 559,598 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 185,131 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 149,057 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 168,532 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 89,209 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 25,971 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.8 | % | 0.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 37.8 | % | 25,697,824 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:57 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
