GOSPL Playoff Chances 2012

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

JC	1	5	-	0	-	0	1.000	24	In			100							1.0	+0.24	1	.917	Johnny Canucks
HOW	1	4	-	1	-	0	.800	33	In		+0.0		60	40					2.4	+0.34	2	.750	Howlers
ECC	1	3	-	1	-	1	.700	7	In				40	60					2.6	-0.47	3	.667	East Coast Crushers
BOM		3	-	3	-	0	.500	10	In		+25.9				100				4.0	+0.33	4	.500	Bombers

TAR	1	2	-	3	-	0	.400	-23	Out		-13.4					100			5.0	-0.11	6	.417	Tartan
ORI	1	0	-	4	-	1	.100	-22	Out		-12.5						69	31	6.3	-0.46	5	.167	The Orion Group
BMC	1	0	-	5	-	0	.000	-29	Out								31	69	6.7	+0.13	7	.083	Barley Mow Chiefs

Week of 8/22
BOM 14 TAR 9
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JC			+0.2
HOW	+0.3		+0.2
ECC	-4.7		+0.2
BOM	+7.8		+0.5
TAR	-8.6		-0.7
ORI	+5.5		-0.1
BMC	-0.3		-0.2

ORI 19 HOW 26
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JC	+0.1		-0.0
HOW	+2.1		+0.1
ECC	+0.5		-0.0
BOM	+0.6		+0.0
TAR	*+0.4		+0.0
ORI	-3.7		-0.1
BMC			+0.0

BMC 21 ECC 26
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JC			-0.0
HOW			-0.0
ECC	+3.7		+0.1
BOM	-1.7		-0.0
TAR			-0.0
ORI	-0.9		+0.0
BMC	-1.0		-0.1

Week of 8/30
BOM 7 ORI 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOW			+0.0
BOM	+22.2		+0.3
TAR	-9.7
ORI	Out		-0.4
BMC			+0.1

TAR 10 HOW 31
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOW	In		+0.1
ECC			-0.0
BOM	+4.5		+0.1
TAR	-10.2		-0.3
ORI	+5.6		+0.1

JC 30 ECC 18
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JC			+0.2
HOW			+0.0
ECC			-0.3

Week of 9/5
BMC vs ORIIf winner is:HomeAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
ORI			7.06.0
BMC			6.07.0

ECC vs HOWHomeAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOW			3.02.0
ECC			2.03.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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