Yukon Jacks Playoff Chances 2010-2011

Beat HAL 6-1, Lost to SOU 3-6, Beat FAR 3-2, Beat RAL 3-1, playoff odds down 0.003 to 0.007%

42 points 19-37-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the YUK finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

90		24	-	0	-	0	49.6	%		40	1	9	21	21	8			121
82		19	-	3	-	2	Out								100			1
81		19	-	4	-	1	Out								50	50		6	*
80		18	-	4	-	2	Out								22	72	6	18	*
79		17	-	4	-	3	Out								31	67	3	36	*
78		17	-	5	-	2	Out								12	74	13	89	*
77		17	-	6	-	1	Out								4	76	21	199	*
76		16	-	6	-	2	Out								4	69	27	454	*
75		16	-	7	-	1	Out								1	60	39	784	*
74		15	-	7	-	2	Out								1	54	45	1,559	*
73		15	-	8	-	1	Out								0	46	54	2,768	*
72		14	-	8	-	2	Out								0	35	65	4,822	*
71		14	-	9	-	1	Out								0	26	74	7,780	*
70		13	-	9	-	2	Out								0	18	82	12,047	*
69		13	-	10	-	1	Out								0	13	87	17,884	*
68		12	-	10	-	2	Out								0	8	92	14,325
		11	-	9	-	4	Out									8	92	11,659	*
67		12	-	11	-	1	Out									5	95	16,008
		11	-	10	-	3	Out									5	95	18,444	*
66		11	-	11	-	2	Out									3	97	24,724
		10	-	10	-	4	Out									3	97	10,296
		12	-	12	-	0	Out									3	97	9,765	*
65		11	-	12	-	1	Out									2	98	25,717
		10	-	11	-	3	Out									2	98	28,808	*
64		10	-	12	-	2	Out									1	99	35,731
		9	-	11	-	4	Out									1	99	14,587
		11	-	13	-	0	Out									1	99	14,461	*
63		10	-	13	-	1	Out									0	100	34,101
		9	-	12	-	3	Out									0	100	37,558	*
62		9	-	13	-	2	Out									0	100	43,222
		8	-	12	-	4	Out									0	100	17,101
		10	-	14	-	0	Out									0	100	17,376	*
61		9	-	14	-	1	Out									0	100	37,928
		8	-	13	-	3	Out									0	100	39,777	*
60		8	-	14	-	2	Out									0	100	42,984
		7	-	13	-	4	Out									0	100	16,302
		9	-	15	-	0	Out									0	100	17,855	*
59		8	-	15	-	1	Out									0	100	35,149
		7	-	14	-	3	Out									0	100	34,775	*
58		7	-	15	-	2	Out									0	100	35,132
		8	-	16	-	0	Out									0	100	13,343
		6	-	14	-	4	Out									0	100	13,974	*
57		7	-	16	-	1	Out									0	100	27,071
		6	-	15	-	3	Out									0	100	24,319	*
56		6	-	16	-	2	Out									0	100	30,895	*
		7	-	17	-	0	Out										100	10,579	*
55		6	-	17	-	1	Out									0	100	16,473
		5	-	16	-	3	Out										100	13,423	*
54		5	-	17	-	2	Out									0	100	21,835	*
42	-53						Out										100	33,899	*

Total:							0.0	%		0	0	0	0	0	0	2	98	888,164

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

90	24	-	0	-	0			16	24		1	2	7	21	21	9
82	19	-	3	-	2												100
81	19	-	4	-	1											50	17	17	17
80	18	-	4	-	2											17	28	50	6
79	17	-	4	-	3											11	44	31	14
78	17	-	5	-	2											6	24	52	18	1
77	17	-	6	-	1											1	18	46	33	3
76	16	-	6	-	2											1	10	42	37	11
75	16	-	7	-	1												4	32	45	17	1
74	15	-	7	-	2												2	22	45	28	3
73	15	-	8	-	1												1	14	42	37	7
72	14	-	8	-	2												0	6	34	46	13
71	14	-	9	-	1												0	3	24	52	21	0
70	13	-	9	-	2													1	15	51	32	0
69	13	-	10	-	1													0	9	47	44	0
68	12	-	10	-	2													0	4	39	56	1
67	12	-	11	-	1													0	2	30	66	2
66	11	-	11	-	2													0	1	21	74	4
	10	-	10	-	4													0	1	21	74	4
65	11	-	12	-	1													0	0	14	79	6
	10	-	11	-	3													0	0	14	79	7
64	10	-	12	-	2														0	9	81	10
	9	-	11	-	4														0	9	81	10
63	10	-	13	-	1														0	5	79	16
	9	-	12	-	3														0	5	79	16
62	9	-	13	-	2															3	75	23	0
	8	-	12	-	4														0	3	74	23
61	9	-	14	-	1															1	68	31
	8	-	13	-	3														0	1	68	31	0
60	8	-	14	-	2															1	60	40	0
59	8	-	15	-	1															0	51	49	0
	7	-	14	-	3															0	51	49
58	7	-	15	-	2															0	42	58	0
	8	-	16	-	0															0	41	58	0
57	7	-	16	-	1															0	32	67	0
	6	-	15	-	3															0	32	68	0
56	6	-	16	-	2															0	24	75	0
55	6	-	17	-	1															0	17	83	0
54	5	-	17	-	2																12	87	1
53	5	-	18	-	1																8	91	1
52	4	-	18	-	2																4	93	3
51	4	-	19	-	1																3	93	4
50	3	-	19	-	2																1	93	6
49	3	-	20	-	1																1	88	12
48	2	-	20	-	2																	84	16
47	2	-	21	-	1																	72	28
46	2	-	22	-	0																	71	29
45	1	-	22	-	1																	84	16
44	1	-	23	-	0																	25	75
42	0	-	24	-	0																	26	74

Total:								0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	55	35	0