Saigon Seals Playoff Chances 2010-2011

Lost to ANN 4-5, Beat NOR 3-2, Lost to GFK 3-6, Beat MEL 4-1, playoff odds up 0.6 to 99%

69 points 32-23-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the SAI finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

113	-117						In		100									132	*
112		21	-	2	-	1	In		93		7							15	*
111		20	-	2	-	2	In		100									50	*
110		20	-	3	-	1	In		98		2							121	*
109		19	-	3	-	2	In		95		5							296	*
108		19	-	4	-	1	In		92		8							612	*
107		18	-	4	-	2	In		87	0	13	0						1,443	*
106		18	-	5	-	1	In		79	0	21	0						2,417	*
105		17	-	5	-	2	In		70	0	29	1						4,589	*
104		17	-	6	-	1	In		60	0	36	3						7,520	*
103		16	-	6	-	2	In		47	0	47	6						12,241	*
102		16	-	7	-	1	In		36	0	53	11						18,317	*
101		15	-	7	-	2	In		24	1	57	18						26,585	*
100		15	-	8	-	1	In		16	1	56	27						35,300	*
99		14	-	8	-	2	In		9	1	51	39						25,810
		15	-	9	-	0	In		9	1	52	38						20,681	*
98		14	-	9	-	1	100.0	%	5	1	45	50	0					27,640
		13	-	8	-	3	100.0		5	1	45	50	0					27,830	*
97		13	-	9	-	2	100.0		2	1	36	61	0					66,133	*
96		13	-	10	-	1	100.0		1	0	27	72	0					34,774
		12	-	9	-	3	100.0		1	0	27	71	0					36,769	*
95		12	-	10	-	2	100.0		0	0	19	80	0					43,010
		11	-	9	-	4	100.0		0	0	20	80	0					34,568	*
94		12	-	11	-	1	100.0		0	0	13	86	0					37,317
		11	-	10	-	3	100.0		0	0	13	86	0					39,839	*
93		11	-	11	-	2	100.0		0	0	9	91	0					41,751
		10	-	10	-	4	100.0		0	0	9	91	0					33,589	*
92		11	-	12	-	1	99.9		0	0	5	95	0					32,848
		10	-	11	-	3	99.9		0	0	5	95	0					35,187	*
91		10	-	12	-	2	99.8			0	3	97	0					33,570
		9	-	11	-	4	99.8				3	97	0					26,752	*
90		10	-	13	-	1	99.6		0		2	98	0					49,471	*
89		9	-	13	-	2	99.0				1	98	1					40,305	*
88		9	-	14	-	1	98.0				0	98	2	0				29,950	*
87		8	-	14	-	2	96.4				0	96	4	0				22,013	*
86		8	-	15	-	1	93.2				0	93	7	0				15,058	*
85		7	-	15	-	2	88.3				0	88	11	0				10,049	*
84		7	-	16	-	1	82.0				0	82	17	0				5,933	*
83		6	-	16	-	2	73.7				0	74	25	1				3,569	*
82		6	-	17	-	1	62.7					63	33	4	0			2,033	*
81		5	-	17	-	2	53.0					53	42	5				1,048	*
80		5	-	18	-	1	36.5					37	51	12				515	*
79		4	-	18	-	2	26.5					26	53	19	1			238	*
78		4	-	19	-	1	22.7					23	51	25	1			88	*
77		3	-	19	-	2	5.0					5	43	48	5			40	*
76		3	-	20	-	1	Out						33	61	6			18	*
75		3	-	21	-	0	Out						50	17	33			6	*
74		2	-	21	-	1	Out								100			1
73		2	-	22	-	0	Out							50	50			2	*
69		0	-	24	-	0	Out							15	83	2		121

Total:							99.0	%	5	0	21	73	1	0	0	0		888,164

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

113	-117						100
112		21	-	2	-	1	93				7
111		20	-	2	-	2	98	2
110		20	-	3	-	1	94	4			2
109		19	-	3	-	2	89	6			5
108		19	-	4	-	1	84	8			8
107		18	-	4	-	2	73	14	0		13		0
106		18	-	5	-	1	61	18	0		21		0
105		17	-	5	-	2	46	24	0		29	0	1
104		17	-	6	-	1	33	27	0		36	1	3
103		16	-	6	-	2	20	27	0		45	2	6
102		16	-	7	-	1	11	25	0		48	5	11	0
101		15	-	7	-	2	4	20	1	0	47	9	18	0
100		15	-	8	-	1	2	14	1	0	40	16	27	1
99		14	-	8	-	2	0	9	1	0	30	22	36	2
98		14	-	9	-	1	0	5	1	0	18	26	44	6	0
		13	-	8	-	3	0	5	1	0	19	26	44	6	0
97		13	-	9	-	2	0	2	0	0	9	26	47	15		0
		12	-	8	-	4	0	2	0	0	10	27	47	14	0
96		13	-	10	-	1		1	0	0	4	23	44	27	0
		12	-	9	-	3	0	1	0	0	4	23	43	28	0
95		12	-	10	-	2		0	0	0	1	18	36	44	0
		11	-	9	-	4		0	0	0	1	18	36	44	0	0
94		12	-	11	-	1		0	0	0	0	13	25	62	0	0
		11	-	10	-	3		0	0	0	0	13	25	62	0	0
93		11	-	11	-	2		0	0	0	0	9	14	77	0	0
		10	-	10	-	4		0	0	0	0	9	15	77	0	0
92		11	-	12	-	1		0	0	0	0	5	7	88	0	0	0
		10	-	11	-	3		0		0	0	5	7	87	0	0	0
91		10	-	12	-	2				0	0	3	3	94	0	0	0
		9	-	11	-	4						3	3	94	0	0	0
90		10	-	13	-	1		0				2	1	97	0	0	0	0
89		9	-	13	-	2						1	0	98	0	0	0	0
88		9	-	14	-	1						0	0	98	0	0	1	0
87		8	-	14	-	2						0	0	96	0	1	2	1
86		8	-	15	-	1						0		93	0	1	4	2	0
85		7	-	15	-	2						0		88	0	0	5	6	0
84		7	-	16	-	1						0		82		0	6	10	1
83		6	-	16	-	2						0		74		0	7	17	2	0
82		6	-	17	-	1								63			6	25	5	0
81		5	-	17	-	2								53		0	6	33	8	1
80		5	-	18	-	1								37			4	40	18	2
79		4	-	18	-	2								26			2	40	28	3
78		4	-	19	-	1								23			1	33	32	10	1
77		3	-	19	-	2								5				15	60	20
76		3	-	20	-	1												11	50	33	6
75		3	-	21	-	0												17	33	17	33
74		2	-	21	-	1															100
73		2	-	22	-	0													50		50
69		0	-	24	-	0														16	77	7	1

Total:							2	3	0	0	9	12	21	52	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0