East Lyme Disease Playoff Chances 2010-2011

Lost to ANN 3-4, Lost to GFK 5-10, Lost to LON 4-6, Lost to MEL 0-8, playoff odds down 0.007 to 0.008%

40 points 18-38-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the EST finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

88	24	-	0	-	0	57.9	%		41	1	16	42					121
79	19	-	4	-	1	Out						83	17				6	*
78	18	-	4	-	2	Out						45	50	5			20	*
77	18	-	5	-	1	Out						40	45	15			40	*
76	17	-	5	-	2	Out						20	56	23	1		86	*
75	17	-	6	-	1	Out						12	52	36	1		188	*
74	16	-	6	-	2	Out						11	39	46	4		428	*
73	16	-	7	-	1	Out						6	33	54	7		810	*
72	15	-	7	-	2	Out						2	26	58	14		1,755	*
71	15	-	8	-	1	Out						1	15	61	23		3,027	*
70	14	-	8	-	2	Out						0	9	58	33		5,153	*
69	14	-	9	-	1	Out						0	5	51	44		8,115	*
68	13	-	9	-	2	Out							2	42	55		12,922	*
67	13	-	10	-	1	Out							1	33	66		18,781	*
66	12	-	10	-	2	Out							0	24	75	0	27,038	*
65	12	-	11	-	1	Out							0	17	83	0	35,517	*
64	11	-	11	-	2	Out							0	12	88	0	46,415	*
63	11	-	12	-	1	Out							0	7	93	0	26,486
	10	-	11	-	3	Out							0	7	93		29,311	*
62	10	-	12	-	2	Out								4	96	0	36,450
	9	-	11	-	4	Out								5	95	0	29,351	*
61	10	-	13	-	1	Out								3	97	0	34,757
	9	-	12	-	3	Out								3	97	0	38,196	*
60	9	-	13	-	2	Out								1	99	0	43,726
	8	-	12	-	4	Out								1	99	0	34,898	*
59	9	-	14	-	1	Out								1	99	0	38,073
	8	-	13	-	3	Out								1	99	0	39,905	*
58	8	-	14	-	2	Out								0	100	0	42,774
	7	-	13	-	4	Out								0	100	0	33,595	*
57	8	-	15	-	1	Out								0	100	0	34,620
	7	-	14	-	3	Out								0	100	0	34,332	*
56	7	-	15	-	2	Out								0	100	0	34,378
	8	-	16	-	0	Out								0	100	0	26,817	*
55	7	-	16	-	1	Out								0	100	0	26,100
	6	-	15	-	3	Out								0	100	0	23,645	*
54	6	-	16	-	2	Out								0	99	1	39,475	*
53	6	-	17	-	1	Out								0	99	1	28,999	*
52	5	-	17	-	2	Out									98	2	20,616	*
51	5	-	18	-	1	Out									96	4	13,432	*
50	4	-	18	-	2	Out									93	7	8,321	*
49	4	-	19	-	1	Out									89	11	4,555	*
48	3	-	19	-	2	Out									83	17	2,633	*
47	3	-	20	-	1	Out									79	21	1,234	*
46	2	-	20	-	2	Out									69	31	568	*
45	2	-	21	-	1	Out									58	42	242	*
44	2	-	22	-	0	Out									51	49	90	*
43	1	-	22	-	1	Out									22	78	27	*
42	1	-	23	-	0	Out									20	80	10	*
41	0	-	23	-	1	Out										100	4
40	0	-	24	-	0	Out									8	92	122

Total:						0.0	%		0	0	0	0	0	6	93	0	888,164

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

88	24	-	0	-	0			2	40		1		16	2	11	26	3
79	19	-	4	-	1												50	50
78	18	-	4	-	2												40	55	5
77	18	-	5	-	1												35	30	33	3
76	17	-	5	-	2											1	9	43	35	12
75	17	-	6	-	1												7	38	38	17
74	16	-	6	-	2												5	23	46	24	2
73	16	-	7	-	1												2	14	42	38	4
72	15	-	7	-	2												0	7	36	45	11	0
71	15	-	8	-	1												0	3	25	54	18	0
70	14	-	8	-	2												0	1	16	54	28	1
69	14	-	9	-	1												0	0	9	49	40	2
68	13	-	9	-	2													0	4	41	50	4
67	13	-	10	-	1													0	2	31	61	7
66	12	-	10	-	2														1	22	66	11
65	12	-	11	-	1													0	0	14	68	17
64	11	-	11	-	2														0	8	66	26
	10	-	10	-	4														0	8	66	26
63	11	-	12	-	1														0	4	61	35
	10	-	11	-	3														0	4	61	35
62	10	-	12	-	2														0	2	53	44
	9	-	11	-	4															2	54	44	0
61	10	-	13	-	1															1	45	54	0
	9	-	12	-	3															1	45	54	0
60	9	-	13	-	2															0	36	64	0
	8	-	12	-	4															0	36	64	0
59	9	-	14	-	1															0	28	72	0
	8	-	13	-	3															0	27	72	0
58	8	-	14	-	2															0	20	80	0
	7	-	13	-	4															0	20	80	0
57	8	-	15	-	1															0	14	86	0
	7	-	14	-	3															0	14	86	0
56	7	-	15	-	2															0	9	91	0
	8	-	16	-	0																9	91	0
55	7	-	16	-	1															0	6	94	0
54	6	-	16	-	2																3	96	1
53	6	-	17	-	1																2	97	1
52	5	-	17	-	2																1	97	2
51	5	-	18	-	1																0	95	4
50	4	-	18	-	2																0	93	7
49	4	-	19	-	1																0	89	11
48	3	-	19	-	2																	83	17
47	3	-	20	-	1																	79	21
46	2	-	20	-	2																	69	31
45	2	-	21	-	1																	58	42
44	2	-	22	-	0																	51	49
43	1	-	22	-	1																	22	78
42	1	-	23	-	0																	20	80
41	0	-	23	-	1																		100
40	0	-	24	-	0																	8	92

Total:								0	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	32	62	0