Detroit Wheels Playoff Chances 2010-2011Beat ANN 5-3, Tied NOR 4-4, Lost to NEL 2-4, Lost to WHI 2-5, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9% 72 points 33-21-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | WHI 5 DET 2 | | | -0.1 | | NEL 4 DET 2 | | | -0.1 | | DET 5 ANN 3 | +0.0 | | +0.1 | | DET 4 NOR 4 | *+0.0 | | -0.0 | | SOU 1 EDM 4 | | | +0.1 | | GFK 0 SOU 6 | | | -0.1 | | LON 3 SOU 5 | | | -0.1 | | SOU 6 YUK 3 | | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | DET vs NEL | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | | DET vs WHI | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | | ANN vs DET | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | NOR vs DET | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | SOU vs LON | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | SOU vs GFK | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | YUK vs SOU | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | EDM vs SOU | | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | MEL vs SAI | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | GFK vs SAI | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | SAI vs NOR | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | SAI vs ANN | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the DET finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | -120 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | 188 | * | 115 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | 111 | * | 114 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | 328 | * | 113 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | 710 | * | 112 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | 1,639 | * | 111 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | 3,076 | * | 110 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 96 | | 4 | | | | | | | 5,513 | * | 109 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 94 | | 6 | | | | | | | 8,999 | * | 108 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | 90 | 0 | 10 | | | | | | | 15,034 | * | 107 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 84 | 0 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | 21,484 | * | 106 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | 77 | 0 | 23 | 0 | | | | | | 31,219 | * | 105 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 69 | 0 | 31 | 0 | | | | | | 40,849 | * | 104 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | 58 | 0 | 41 | 0 | | | | | | 29,460 | | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 59 | 0 | 41 | 0 | | | | | | 22,873 | * | 103 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 48 | 0 | 50 | 1 | | | | | | 31,433 | | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 3 | In | 49 | 0 | 50 | 1 | | | | | | 30,457 | * | 102 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 2 | In | 38 | 1 | 59 | 2 | | | | | | 39,695 | | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 4 | In | 37 | 1 | 60 | 2 | | | | | | 31,218 | * | 101 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 28 | 1 | 67 | 5 | | | | | | 37,066 | | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 3 | In | 28 | 1 | 67 | 4 | | | | | | 38,108 | * | 100 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 2 | In | 19 | 1 | 72 | 8 | | | | | | 43,843 | | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 4 | In | 19 | 1 | 72 | 8 | | | | | | 35,327 | * | 99 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 1 | 73 | 14 | | | | | | 36,759 | | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 3 | In | 12 | 1 | 73 | 13 | | | | | | 39,437 | * | 98 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 2 | In | 7 | 1 | 72 | 20 | | | | | | 39,972 | | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 4 | In | 7 | 1 | 72 | 20 | | | | | | 32,120 | * | 97 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 4 | 1 | 67 | 29 | 0 | | | | | 30,281 | | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 3 | In | 4 | 1 | 66 | 29 | | | | | | 33,471 | * | 96 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 2 | In | 2 | 1 | 59 | 38 | | | | | | 30,583 | | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 4 | In | 2 | 1 | 59 | 38 | | | | | | 24,644 | * | 95 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 1 | 0 | 50 | 48 | 0 | | | | | 20,887 | | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | 1 | 0 | 51 | 48 | 0 | | | | | 23,051 | * | 94 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 0 | 0 | 41 | 58 | 0 | | | | | 34,605 | * | 93 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 0 | 0 | 32 | 68 | 0 | | | | | 25,412 | * | 92 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | 0 | 0 | 24 | 76 | 0 | | | | | 18,165 | * | 91 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 99.7 | | 0 | | 18 | 82 | 0 | | | | | 11,886 | * | 90 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | | | 11 | 88 | 1 | | | | | 7,820 | * | 89 | | 8 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 98.4 | | | | 8 | 91 | 2 | | | | | 4,557 | * | 88 | | 7 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 97.2 | | | | 5 | 93 | 3 | | | | | 2,709 | * | 87 | | 7 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 95.4 | | | | 2 | 93 | 5 | 0 | | | | 1,478 | * | 86 | | 6 | - | 16 | - | 2 | 89.6 | | | | 2 | 88 | 10 | 0 | | | | 840 | * | 85 | | 6 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 84.8 | | | | 1 | 84 | 14 | 1 | | | | 387 | * | 84 | | 5 | - | 17 | - | 2 | 72.4 | | | | 0 | 72 | 26 | 1 | | | | 217 | * | 83 | | 5 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 64.3 | | | | | 64 | 36 | | | | | 84 | * | 82 | | 4 | - | 18 | - | 2 | 48.3 | | | | | 48 | 34 | 17 | | | | 29 | * | 81 | | 3 | - | 18 | - | 3 | 75.0 | | | | | 75 | 25 | | | | | 12 | * | 80 | | 3 | - | 19 | - | 2 | 33.3 | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | 3 | * | 79 | | 3 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 100 | | | | 2 | * | 78 | | 3 | - | 21 | - | 0 | 50.0 | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | 2 | | 72 | | 0 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 4 | 44 | 52 | | | 121 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.9 | % | 28 | 1 | 52 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 888,164 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesFriday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | NEL 4 DET 2 | +0.3 | | WHI 5 DET 2 | +0.3 | | SOU 1 EDM 4 | -0.2 | | DET 5 ANN 3 | -0.2 | | GFK 0 SOU 6 | +0.2 | | LON 3 SOU 5 | +0.2 | | DET 4 NOR 4 | +0.1 | | SOU 6 YUK 3 | +0.1 | | ANN 5 SAI 4 | -0.1 | | NOR 2 SAI 3 | +0.1 | | SAI 3 GFK 6 | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | DET vs NEL | -0.3+0.1+0.5 | | NOR vs DET | +0.4-0.0-0.4 | | ANN vs DET | +0.4+0.0-0.3 | | DET vs WHI | -0.3+0.1+0.4 | | SOU vs GFK | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | | YUK vs SOU | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | SOU vs LON | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | | EDM vs SOU | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | | GFK vs SAI | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | SAI vs ANN | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | MEL vs SAI | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | SAI vs NOR | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | -120 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98 | 1 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 97 | 2 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 96 | 3 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 91 | 5 | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 85 | 9 | | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 77 | 13 | 0 | | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 66 | 18 | 0 | | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 53 | 24 | 0 | | 23 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 39 | 29 | 0 | | 31 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 41 | 28 | 0 | | 31 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 27 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 28 | 31 | 0 | | 39 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 16 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 17 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 15 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 25 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 26 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 37 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 47 | 17 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 47 | 17 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 21 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 52 | 21 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 53 | 21 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 22 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 45 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 59 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | | | 0 | 18 | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 90 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | 11 | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 89 | | 8 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | 8 | 0 | 91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 88 | | 7 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | 5 | | 93 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 87 | | 7 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 2 | | 93 | | 1 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | 86 | | 6 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | 2 | | 88 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 85 | | 6 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | 1 | | 84 | | | 6 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | 84 | | 5 | - | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | | 72 | | 1 | 11 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | 83 | | 5 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 64 | | | 12 | 23 | 1 | | | | | | 82 | | 4 | - | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 48 | | | 3 | 34 | 14 | | | | | | 81 | | 3 | - | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 75 | | | | 25 | | | | | | | 80 | | 3 | - | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 33 | | | | | 67 | | | | | | 79 | | 3 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | 78 | | 3 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 50 | | | | | 50 | | | | | | 72 | | 0 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 49 | 43 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
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