Annapolis Admirals Playoff Chances 2010-2011

Beat EST 4-3, Beat SAI 5-4, Lost to DET 3-5, Beat SEA 5-4, playoff odds up 0.07 to 0.1%

54 points 24-30-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the ANN finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

102		24	-	0	-	0	In		58	42								121
95		20	-	3	-	1	In			100								5	*
94		19	-	3	-	2	90.9	%		64	9	18		9				11	*
93		19	-	4	-	1	76.2			57		19	24					21	*
92		18	-	4	-	2	48.1			42	3	4	32	20				79	*
91		18	-	5	-	1	33.7			28		6	25	31	11			166	*
90		17	-	5	-	2	23.4			21		3	19	36	21	1		380	*
89		17	-	6	-	1	17.4			17		1	10	36	33	3		724	*
88		16	-	6	-	2	9.4			9		0	5	30	47	9		1,466	*
87		16	-	7	-	1	5.5			5		0	2	21	55	16		2,615	*
86		15	-	7	-	2	2.6			3			1	14	56	27	0	4,481	*
85		15	-	8	-	1	1.4			1			0	7	53	39		7,518	*
84		14	-	8	-	2	0.6			1			0	3	45	52		11,909	*
83		14	-	9	-	1	0.2			0			0	1	36	63	0	17,293	*
82		13	-	9	-	2	0.1			0			0	0	27	72		25,346	*
81		13	-	10	-	1	0.0			0				0	19	81	0	33,751	*
80		12	-	10	-	2	0.0			0				0	13	87	0	43,854	*
79		12	-	11	-	1	Out								8	92	0	30,798	*
		11	-	10	-	3	Out							0	9	91	0	22,231
78		11	-	11	-	2	0.0			0				0	5	95	0	64,430	*
77		11	-	12	-	1	Out								3	97	0	33,680
		10	-	11	-	3	Out								3	97	0	36,693	*
76		10	-	12	-	2	Out								2	98	0	42,660
		9	-	11	-	4	Out								2	98	0	34,039	*
75		10	-	13	-	1	Out								1	99	0	37,313
		9	-	12	-	3	Out								1	99	0	39,811	*
74		9	-	13	-	2	Out								1	99	0	42,726
		8	-	12	-	4	Out								1	99	0	34,387	*
73		9	-	14	-	1	Out								0	99	1	34,558
		8	-	13	-	3	Out								0	99	1	35,300	*
72		8	-	14	-	2	Out								0	98	1	35,414
		9	-	15	-	0	Out								0	98	1	27,623	*
71		8	-	15	-	1	Out								0	98	2	26,764
		7	-	14	-	3	Out								0	98	2	25,389	*
70		7	-	15	-	2	Out								0	96	4	23,658
		8	-	16	-	0	Out								0	96	4	18,447	*
69		7	-	16	-	1	Out								0	93	7	31,108	*
68		6	-	16	-	2	Out								0	90	10	23,051	*
67		6	-	17	-	1	Out								0	85	15	15,555	*
66		5	-	17	-	2	Out									79	21	10,078	*
65		5	-	18	-	1	Out									71	29	5,890	*
64		4	-	18	-	2	Out									63	37	3,439	*
63		4	-	19	-	1	Out									53	47	1,755	*
62		3	-	19	-	2	Out									46	54	870	*
61		3	-	20	-	1	Out									36	64	379	*
60		2	-	20	-	2	Out									21	79	183	*
59		2	-	21	-	1	Out									26	74	42	*
58		2	-	22	-	0	Out									15	85	26	*
55	-57						Out										100	6	*
54		0	-	24	-	0	Out									1	99	121

Total:							0.1	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	91	2	888,164

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

102		24	-	0	-	0	21	36	42
95		20	-	3	-	1			80	20
94		19	-	3	-	2			36	27		9	9	9		9
93		19	-	4	-	1			33	24			5	14	19	5
92		18	-	4	-	2			18	24		3	1	3	33	19
91		18	-	5	-	1			13	15			1	5	23	33	11
90		17	-	5	-	2			6	14			1	2	18	36	21	1
89		17	-	6	-	1			3	13				1	10	36	33	3
88		16	-	6	-	2			1	8				0	5	29	47	9
87		16	-	7	-	1			1	5				0	2	21	55	17	0
86		15	-	7	-	2			0	2					1	14	54	28	1	0
85		15	-	8	-	1			0	1					0	6	50	40	2	0
84		14	-	8	-	2			0	1					0	3	40	52	5	0
83		14	-	9	-	1				0					0	1	30	59	10	0
82		13	-	9	-	2				0						0	20	62	17	1
81		13	-	10	-	1				0						0	12	60	25	2	0
80		12	-	10	-	2				0						0	7	53	36	4	0
79		12	-	11	-	1											3	45	44	8	0
		11	-	10	-	3											4	44	44	8	0
78		11	-	11	-	2				0							2	33	50	15	0
77		11	-	12	-	1											1	23	52	23	1
		10	-	11	-	3											1	23	52	23	1
76		10	-	12	-	2											0	15	49	33	3	0
		9	-	11	-	4											0	15	49	33	2
75		10	-	13	-	1											0	8	43	43	5	0
		9	-	12	-	3											0	8	43	44	5	0
74		9	-	13	-	2											0	4	34	52	10	0
		8	-	12	-	4												4	34	52	10	0
73		9	-	14	-	1											0	2	25	56	17	0
		8	-	13	-	3											0	2	24	57	18	0
72		8	-	14	-	2												1	15	57	27	0
		9	-	15	-	0												1	15	57	27	0
71		8	-	15	-	1												0	9	53	37	1
		7	-	14	-	3												0	9	52	38	1	0
70		7	-	15	-	2												0	5	45	48	2	0
69		7	-	16	-	1												0	2	36	58	5	0
68		6	-	16	-	2												0	1	26	65	8	0
67		6	-	17	-	1												0	0	17	68	15	0
66		5	-	17	-	2													0	11	65	23	1
65		5	-	18	-	1													0	6	58	33	3
64		4	-	18	-	2													0	3	51	41	5
63		4	-	19	-	1														1	40	48	11
62		3	-	19	-	2														0	32	53	15
61		3	-	20	-	1															22	53	25
60		2	-	20	-	2															8	55	37
59		2	-	21	-	1															7	50	43
58		2	-	22	-	0															8	27	65
57		1	-	22	-	1																33	67
55	-56																						100
54		0	-	24	-	0																9	90	1

Total:							0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	4	19	29	31	16	2	0	0