How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Autobots vs Big D | -10.3*-0.1+10.3 | -0.9-0.0+0.9 | ||
| Swamprats vs Weino | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Hogs vs Secret | -0.1*-0.4+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Secret vs Big D | -10.3*-0.1+10.3 | -0.8-0.0+0.8 | ||
| Hogs vs Swamprats | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Big D finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 13.5 | -14 | In | 100 | 14,253 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 44,118 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 2,316 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 284,223 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 51 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 13,413 | * | ||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1,140,000 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 94 | 5 | 1 | 325 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 50,225 | ||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,134,580 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 61 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1,071 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 125,651 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 38 | 44 | 13 | 6 | 16 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 16 | 40 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6,270,713 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 18 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2,213 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225,492 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 22 | 44 | 33 | 18 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 98.3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9,397,022 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3,573 | * | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 90.8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 301,171 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 91.9 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 37 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10,736,457 | |||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 49.5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4,207 | * | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 9.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 301,185 | |||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | 39 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 33 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 9,399,530 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3,610 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 3 | 225,674 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 40 | 20 | 36 | 4 | 25 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 6,269,978 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 42 | 17 | 2,289 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 39 | 125,098 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | 10 | 10 | 50 | 30 | 10 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 59 | 3,134,295 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | 993 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 50,019 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 1,139,975 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | 11 | 89 | 314 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 13,490 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 284,624 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 2 | Out | 2 | 98 | 45 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 2,235 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 43,584 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | -0.5 | Out | 100 | 14,276 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50.0 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52,762,440 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:07 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
