How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Champions League100.0*Not Promoted100.0*Average seed
GRI 1 ARR 0 +0.2
+14.1
-3.3
+0.4
WAH 0 BFC 5 *-0.1
AFC 3 VFL 1 -0.2
NAP 0 RIO 7 -0.3
DKF 0 BLU 1 +0.9
-1.5
+0.1
RGA 1 TRE 2 -0.3
TFC 2 GYO 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Champions League100.0*Not Promoted100.0*Average seed
RIO vs GRI-0.2-0.1+0.5
-7.5+0.5+14.6
+0.7-0.2-1.1
-0.2+0.0+0.4
BFC vs AFC-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
ARR vs RGA-3.9+2.9+4.4
-0.2-0.0+0.3
TRE vs TFC-2.5+2.1+4.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
VFL vs DKF+0.4+0.3-0.4
-0.5-0.3+0.4
BLU vs NAP+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the GRI finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChampionsChance will finish season at seedNot
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague1234567891011121314PromotedCount
6312-0-080.9%Yes81181No3,966
6111-1-050.0Yes504370No8,107
6011-0-128.9Yes2952181No16,433
5910-2-023.0Yes2350242No18,076
5810-1-110.0100.0%10433980No73,317
5710-0-24.4100.043148170No96,629*
569-2-12.299.922250250No144,061
559-1-20.699.711247410No301,586*
549-0-30.199.005365810No176,237
8-3-10.399.30741501No169,551
538-2-20.097.903306520No497,492*
528-1-30.094.801197550No599,467
7-4-10.096.001237140No129,837
517-3-20.091.5001478800No488,143
8-0-40.089.70011791000No277,660*
507-2-3No84.507771500No893,362
6-5-1No87.30978130No69,356
497-1-4No74.203712410No796,295
6-4-2No77.404732210No322,969*
486-3-3No65.702643130No766,272
7-0-5No62.501613440No303,181*
476-2-4No52.00151417000.0%1,011,376
5-5-2No56.301553950No143,601*
466-1-5No37.70384814100.0693,488
5-4-3No41.60414711000.0426,047*
455-3-4No28.30285020200.0727,931
6-0-6No26.00265022200.0236,719*
445-2-5No16.80174831400.1736,202
4-5-3No19.80205027300.1153,012*
435-1-6No8.60939411000.5404,324
4-4-4No10.50114339800.3332,931*
424-3-5No4.905324616101.1468,019*
5-0-7No3.74284720201.792,828
414-2-6No1.82194728303.5349,747
3-5-4No2.42234824302.593,228*
404-1-7No0.51104140908.6157,901
3-4-5No0.81124436606.5156,300*
393-3-6No0.2063346140014.7206,951*
383-2-7No0.0022250251025.6139,092*
372-4-6No0.0011347373039.883,034*
362-3-7NoNo0639486054.646,559*
352-2-8NoNo03285712169.526,226*
342-1-9NoNo01175822281.812,769*
331-3-8NoNo0954334090.95,900*
321-2-9NoNo0444438096.32,568*
311-1-10NoNo2314917198.3997*
300-3-9NoNo0194831299.7327*
290-2-10NoNo1154038798.988
280-1-11NoNo335413Yes24
270-0-12NoNo11454293Yes2,294
Total:0.3%52.9%0274426145100001.7%12,862,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship