FC Arroganto Title Chances 2013-15JanLost to GRI 0-1, title odds down 0.4 to 0.06% 25 points 8-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Champions League | 100.0* | Not Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | GRI 1 ARR 0 | -0.3 | | -14.4 | | +2.0 | | -0.4 | | WAH 0 BFC 5 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | AFC 3 VFL 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | NAP 0 RIO 7 | -0.0 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.0 | | DKF 0 BLU 1 | | | +1.0 | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | RGA 1 TRE 2 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Champions League | 100.0* | Not Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | ARR vs RGA | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | +8.3-4.2-10.5 | | -3.1+0.3+4.5 | | +0.3-0.1-0.5 | | BFC vs AFC | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | | RIO vs GRI | | | +3.2-0.2-6.3 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | TRE vs TFC | | | -1.5+1.3+2.4 | | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | VFL vs DKF | | | +0.3+0.2-0.2 | | -1.3-0.6+1.0 | | | | BLU vs NAP | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the ARR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Champions | Chance will finish season at seed | Not | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Promoted | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 57.8 | % | Yes | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,476 | | 59 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 23.6 | | Yes | 24 | 51 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,681 | | 58 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10.0 | | 100.0 | % | 10 | 43 | 39 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,547 | | 57 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 7.1 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 39 | 43 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,430 | | 56 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2.1 | | 99.7 | | 2 | 23 | 50 | 25 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,110 | | 55 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.7 | | 98.9 | | 1 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,576 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | 97.4 | | 0 | 7 | 41 | 50 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 115,381 | | 53 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 93.9 | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 63 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 250,643 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 87.7 | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 154,413 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 89.8 | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 67 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 139,164 | | 51 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 81.6 | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 70 | 18 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 427,890 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 71.0 | | | 0 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 539,839 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 74.0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 66 | 25 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 111,440 | | 49 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 61.7 | | | 0 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 433,712 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 58.7 | | | 0 | 2 | 56 | 38 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 261,784 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 48.3 | | | 0 | 1 | 47 | 46 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 830,562 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 51.2 | | | 0 | 2 | 50 | 45 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 60,863 | | 47 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 35.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 35 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 775,191 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 38.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 38 | 52 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 295,085 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 26.1 | | | | 0 | 26 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 735,086 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 24.0 | | | | 0 | 24 | 56 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 307,239 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 15.9 | | | | 0 | 16 | 54 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 1,015,020 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 18.0 | | | | 0 | 18 | 56 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 135,285 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 8.7 | | | | 0 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 728,151 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 10.3 | | | | 0 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 0.1 | | 421,413 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 4.9 | | | | 0 | 5 | 39 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.4 | | 750,265 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 4.3 | | | | 0 | 4 | 36 | 47 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | 0.5 | | 255,880 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 2.0 | | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 51 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 1.4 | | 798,333 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 2.6 | | | | | 3 | 30 | 50 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | 0.9 | | 156,051 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 1 | 16 | 49 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 3.9 | | 460,641 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 1 | 19 | 50 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 2.9 | | 353,846 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 7.3 | | 482,128 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 9 | 42 | 41 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | 8.5 | | 148,756 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 15.4 | | 410,429 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 36 | 46 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | 12.4 | | 101,725 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 51 | 26 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 27.3 | | 195,539 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 51 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 23.0 | | 178,104 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 1 | 13 | 48 | 36 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 38.4 | | 251,623 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 6 | 40 | 48 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 53.6 | | 173,665 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | 68.1 | | 108,033 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 59 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | 80.3 | | 61,262 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 55 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | | | 89.4 | | 35,453 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 45 | 42 | 8 | 0 | | | | 95.2 | | 18,141 | * | 31 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 33 | 49 | 15 | 1 | | | | 98.1 | | 8,282 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 49 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | 99.4 | | 3,888 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 43 | 39 | 5 | | | | 99.9 | | 1,492 | * | 28 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 35 | 45 | 12 | 0 | | | 99.8 | | 473 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | 54 | 21 | 1 | | | Yes | 143 | | 26 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 13 | 36 | 38 | 13 | | | Yes | 47 | | 25 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 35 | 48 | 13 | 1 | | Yes | 2,300 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 26.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 32 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 5.0 | % | 12,862,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |