How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fishsticks vs Sauce+12.5-12.5
+0.2-0.2
Tip Insects vs Les Coqs-3.0+3.0
-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Les Coqs vs Fishsticks-6.4+6.4
-0.1+0.1
Les Cones vs Sauce+3.4-3.4
+0.1-0.1
Tip Insects vs Les Bucherons-3.0+3.0
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fishsticks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123Count
24120-0Yes10067,758
22111-0100.0%1000302,212
20102-099.610001,660,998
1893-096.596405,527,188
1684-083.48316012,424,262
1475-054.85541419,865,794
1266-022.422562223,173,933
1057-04.55415419,868,079
848-00.30168312,427,047
639-00.004965,530,750
4210-0No01001,662,610
2111-0No0100303,222
0012-0No10067,983
Total:33.8%343333102,881,836
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Fishsticks vs Sauce-0.4+0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Les Coqs vs Fishsticks+0.4-0.4

What If

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456
24120-0100
22111-01000
20102-0991
1893-09190
1684-0603730
1475-014513230
1266-008424280
1057-003325114
848-0033760
639-00991
4210-0199
2111-00100
0012-0100
Total:171717171717