Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50Beat Columbus 2-1 (so), playoff odds up 3.1 to 44.1% 3 points 1 2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so) | +3.0 | | *+0.3 | | +0.4 | | Detroit 3 Carolina 2 | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Pittsburgh vs Toronto | -5.1-1.0*-0.7+3.6+3.3+4.3 | | -0.6*-0.1*-0.2+0.5+0.3+0.5 | | -0.6*-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5 | | Arizona vs Boston | +0.6*+0.3*-0.1-1.1*-0.9*-0.3 | | | | +0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.1*-0.0 | | Ottawa vs Nashville | -0.5*+0.4*-0.3*-0.1*+0.1+0.5 | | | | -0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0 | | Florida vs Dallas | | | | | -0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | -159 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 151 | * | 117 | | 53 | 17 | - | 8 | In | 97.8 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | * | 116 | | 53 | 18 | - | 7 | In | 95.5 | | 98 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 133 | * | 115 | | 52 | 18 | - | 8 | In | 95.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 177 | * | 114 | | 51 | 18 | - | 9 | In | 92.1 | | 97 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 267 | * | 113 | | 51 | 19 | - | 8 | In | 86.6 | | 95 | 2 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 367 | * | 112 | | 50 | 19 | - | 9 | In | 82.7 | | 93 | 3 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 565 | * | 111 | | 50 | 20 | - | 8 | In | 77.2 | | 91 | 4 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 693 | * | 110 | | 50 | 21 | - | 7 | In | 66.3 | | 85 | 8 | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 946 | * | 109 | | 49 | 21 | - | 8 | In | 57.8 | | 80 | 9 | 10 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,383 | * | 108 | | 48 | 21 | - | 9 | In | 45.1 | | 73 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,773 | * | 107 | | 48 | 22 | - | 8 | In | 35.6 | | 65 | 15 | 19 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,225 | * | 106 | | 47 | 22 | - | 9 | In | 24.3 | | 56 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,803 | * | 105 | | 47 | 23 | - | 8 | In | 14.8 | | 45 | 22 | 28 | 1 | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 3,682 | * | 104 | | 46 | 23 | - | 9 | In | 8.5 | | 35 | 26 | 31 | 2 | 6 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 4,494 | * | 103 | | 46 | 24 | - | 8 | In | 4.3 | | 27 | 25 | 33 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5,557 | * | 102 | | 45 | 24 | - | 9 | In | 1.7 | | 17 | 27 | 35 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6,488 | * | 101 | | 45 | 25 | - | 8 | 100.0 | % | 0.3 | | 10 | 24 | 34 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7,554 | * | 100 | | 44 | 25 | - | 9 | 100.0 | | 0.1 | | 6 | 21 | 28 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8,832 | * | 99 | | 43 | 25 | - | 10 | 99.8 | | 0.0 | | 3 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 10,167 | * | 98 | | 43 | 26 | - | 9 | 99.5 | | No | 1 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 27 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 11,430 | * | 97 | | 43 | 27 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | No | 0 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 12,776 | * | 96 | | 42 | 27 | - | 9 | 97.0 | | No | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 13,913 | * | 95 | | 41 | 27 | - | 10 | 92.1 | | No | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 14,844 | * | 94 | | 41 | 28 | - | 9 | 84.0 | | No | | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 15,732 | * | 93 | | 40 | 28 | - | 10 | 70.1 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 16,391 | * | 92 | | 40 | 29 | - | 9 | 53.5 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 23 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 16,911 | * | 91 | | 39 | 29 | - | 10 | 35.2 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16,901 | * | 90 | | 39 | 30 | - | 9 | 19.8 | | No | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 16,962 | * | 89 | | 38 | 30 | - | 10 | 10.1 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16,480 | * | 88 | | 38 | 31 | - | 9 | 4.2 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16,258 | * | 87 | | 37 | 31 | - | 10 | 1.5 | | No | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15,597 | * | 86 | | 37 | 32 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | No | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 14,351 | * | 85 | | 36 | 32 | - | 10 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 13,603 | * | 84 | | 36 | 33 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | No | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 12,333 | * | 83 | | 35 | 33 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 7 | 11,126 | * | 82 | | 35 | 34 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 33 | 13 | 9,869 | * | 81 | | 34 | 34 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 8,598 | * | 80 | | 34 | 35 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 41 | 28 | 7,334 | * | 79 | | 33 | 35 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 38 | 6,449 | * | 78 | | 33 | 36 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 47 | 5,393 | * | 77 | | 32 | 36 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 56 | 4,484 | * | 76 | | 32 | 37 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 3,626 | * | 75 | | 31 | 37 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 2,839 | * | 74 | | 31 | 38 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | 2,174 | * | 73 | | 30 | 38 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 1,848 | * | 72 | | 30 | 39 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 89 | 1,400 | * | 71 | | 30 | 40 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 1,031 | * | 70 | | 29 | 40 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 808 | * | 69 | | 28 | 40 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 561 | * | 68 | | 28 | 41 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 404 | * | 67 | | 28 | 42 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 285 | * | 66 | | 27 | 42 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 215 | * | 65 | | 26 | 42 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 139 | * | 64 | | 26 | 43 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 105 | * | 3 | -63 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 223 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 44.1 | % | 2.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 351,740 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesFriday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so) | -0.7 | | Detroit 3 Carolina 2 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pittsburgh vs Toronto | +1.1*+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.7-0.9 | | Arizona vs Boston | -0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Ottawa vs Nashville | +0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Florida vs Dallas | +0.0*+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.1 | | NY Islanders vs San Jose | -0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | -159 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 53 | 17 | - | 8 | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 53 | 18 | - | 7 | 95 | 3 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 52 | 18 | - | 8 | 95 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 51 | 18 | - | 9 | 92 | 4 | 1 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 51 | 19 | - | 8 | 87 | 8 | 2 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 50 | 19 | - | 9 | 83 | 11 | 3 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 50 | 20 | - | 8 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 50 | 21 | - | 7 | 66 | 18 | 8 | | 7 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 49 | 21 | - | 8 | 58 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 10 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 48 | 21 | - | 9 | 45 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 48 | 22 | - | 8 | 36 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 47 | 22 | - | 9 | 24 | 32 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 47 | 23 | - | 8 | 15 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 46 | 23 | - | 9 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 25 | 5 | 2 | | 6 | 0 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 46 | 24 | - | 8 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 45 | 24 | - | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 45 | 25 | - | 8 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 44 | 25 | - | 9 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 2 | | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 43 | 25 | - | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 43 | 26 | - | 9 | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 43 | 27 | - | 8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 42 | 27 | - | 9 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 41 | 27 | - | 10 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 41 | 28 | - | 9 | | | 0 | 2 | | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 40 | 28 | - | 10 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 40 | 29 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 39 | 29 | - | 10 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 39 | 30 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 89 | | 38 | 30 | - | 10 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 88 | | 38 | 31 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 87 | | 37 | 31 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 86 | | 37 | 32 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | | 36 | 32 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 84 | | 36 | 33 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 83 | | 35 | 33 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 82 | | 35 | 34 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 81 | | 34 | 34 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 80 | | 34 | 35 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 79 | | 33 | 35 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 78 | | 33 | 36 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 77 | | 32 | 36 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 36 | 76 | | 32 | 37 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 49 | 75 | | 31 | 37 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 33 | 58 | 74 | | 31 | 38 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 29 | 66 | 73 | | 30 | 38 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 72 | | 30 | 39 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 71 | | 30 | 40 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 70 | | 29 | 40 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 90 | 69 | | 28 | 40 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 68 | | 28 | 41 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | 67 | | 28 | 42 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 66 | | 27 | 42 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 65 | | 26 | 42 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 64 | | 26 | 43 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 3 | -63 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
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