New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 64.6%
8 points   4 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2 -0.4
*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs San Jose-0.5*-0.5*-0.8+1.0*+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.0-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Columbus+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Toronto-0.0-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-162In99.2%100707*
1175018-9In97.59900322*
1165019-8In95.89801453*
1155020-7In94.79821666*
1144920-8In89.39721947*
1134820-9In86.595411,289*
1124821-8In83.9935201,663*
1114721-9In77.8915302,120*
1104722-8In67.586952,709*
1094622-9In60.082108003,388*
1084623-8In49.0751410004,311*
1074523-9In36.66719130105,243*
1064524-8In27.05922170106,352*
1054424-9In17.249272112007,617*
1044425-8In9.63929262308,695*
1034325-9In4.22834293500010,009*
1024326-8In1.82034316801011,277*
1014226-9In0.7133231101212012,703*
1004227-8100.0%0.1729281516130013,745*
994127-999.90.0425232020351014,504*
984027-1099.80.02191625226820015,864*
974028-999.5No114112622101340016,407*
963928-1098.4No0952520161771016,728*
953929-995.4No062221521191141017,174*
943829-1089.4No0411692419178200017,302*
933830-978.2No020115231721146200016,968*
923831-862.1No10722011212012410016,434*
913731-944.5No00411571723191031015,825*
903631-1027.5No02010312222416820014,816*
893632-915.0No0106161625241451013,551*
883532-107.3No000403102027211131012,584*
873533-92.9No0020151424271882011,057*
863433-101.1No01002719272514419,831*
853434-90.5No00001412223021918,707*
843334-100.2No000261728281537,545*
833335-90.0No00131124322366,584*
823235-100.0No0016193329125,308*
813236-90.0No0003123037184,568*
803136-10OutNo0172540273,555*
793137-9OutNo0041941352,885*
783037-10OutNo0021239472,401*
773038-9OutNo01836551,830*
763039-8OutNo0530641,362*
752939-9OutNo424731,076*
742940-8OutNo21979730*
732840-9OutNo11683576*
722841-8OutNo11386388*
712842-7OutNo01288278*
702641-10OutNo496221*
692642-9OutNo1594133*
682643-8OutNo298103*
672543-9OutNo39758*
662443-10OutNo29859*
8-65OutNo100112*
Total:64.6%5.6%111089786655554443351,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.1
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2 +0.1
Detroit 3 Carolina 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota+0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Columbus-0.1+0.0*-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.0
NY Islanders vs San Jose+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Toronto+0.0+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Florida vs Dallas+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0
Arizona vs Boston-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-162100
1205217-8991
1195117-9991
1185118-8982
1175018-998200
1165019-896201
1155020-795321
1144920-889721
1134820-987941
1124821-8849520
1114721-978145300
1104722-86819805
1094622-960221008000
1084623-8492614010000
1074523-93731181130010
1064524-82732202161010
1054424-917322431921200
1044425-810292452242300
1034325-94242592273050000
1024326-8218211320116080010
1014226-9112161615151001111200
1004227-8071118918141143103000
994127-9046185181641463050100
984027-100231621418713950812000
974028-9111311015119131001124000
963928-100090510155151421346010
953929-900502616213155118101410
943829-100040131408141071114382000
933830-9020110049144131371362000
923831-8100702515110912161362000
913731-9000412130741414181462100
903631-10002011003111817201583100
893632-901006106310182217104100
883532-10000040031310192219125200
873533-90020101310182320136200
863433-100100001391823221472000
853434-900000013917232314720
843334-10000013918242314610
833335-90001491926231340
823235-10000141223282192
813236-9000026152629174
803136-1000292132278
793137-901415313514
783037-100029253925
773038-9004204135
763039-802133847
752939-9183358
742940-8072767
732840-9032374
722841-8031879
712842-721781
702641-100991
692642-91990
682643-8496
672543-9397
662443-10397
8-65100
Total:665544443344333333333332222222