Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Plays at Los Angeles 10:30 PM, playoff odds down 0.05 to 57.2%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2	+0.4
Anaheim 2 Colorado 5	*-0.3
Winnipeg 3 Calgary 0					-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota	-4.6-0.3-0.4+4.0+4.5+4.8		-0.8*-0.1-0.2+0.8+0.9+0.9		-0.4*-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4
Vancouver vs St. Louis	+0.3-0.4-0.2-0.0-0.9-0.1				+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Florida vs Dallas	+0.5+0.0+0.1-0.7*-0.6-0.5				+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Ottawa vs Nashville	+0.5+0.2+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.6				+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs San Jose	+0.3-0.2+0.1-0.4-0.7-0.2
Chicago vs Columbus	-0.3-0.4-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.6				-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Boston	-0.3-0.2+0.0+0.4+0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

123	-162						In		Yes		100																217	*
122		54	15		-	10	In		98.7	%	99	1															75	*
121		54	16		-	9	In		98.6		99		1														143	*
120		54	17		-	8	In		98.1		99	1	0														208	*
119		53	17		-	9	In		97.3		99		1														298	*
118		53	18		-	8	In		96.9		99	0	0														415	*
117		52	18		-	9	In		95.1		97	1	2														658	*
116		52	19		-	8	In		93.7		96	2	2														914	*
115		51	19		-	9	In		89.8		95	2	3														1,358	*
114		51	20		-	8	In		87.4		93	3	4		0												1,799	*
113		50	20		-	9	In		81.9		91	3	5		0												2,610	*
112		50	21		-	8	In		76.0		87	5	7		0												3,495	*
111		49	21		-	9	In		67.6		82	7	11		0												4,579	*
110		49	22		-	8	In		58.8		76	10	14	0	0		0										5,961	*
109		48	22		-	9	In		48.0		68	13	17	0	1		0										7,697	*
108		48	23		-	8	In		36.3		60	15	23	0	2		0										9,736	*
107		47	23		-	9	In		25.9		50	19	27	1	3	0	0										12,058	*
106		47	24		-	8	In		17.5		41	20	32	1	5	0	0										14,816	*
105		46	24		-	9	In		10.0		32	22	36	2	7	0	1	0									17,886	*
104		45	24		-	10	In		5.1		23	23	38	4	11	0	1	0									21,256	*
103		45	25		-	9	100.0	%	2.1		16	22	38	6	16	0	2	0	0								24,207	*
102		44	25		-	10	100.0		0.8		9	20	36	9	21	0	4	0	0								28,392	*
101		44	26		-	9	100.0		0.2		6	17	31	13	25	1	6	1	0								32,316	*
100		43	26		-	10	99.9		0.1		3	13	24	15	30	3	11	2	0	0							35,699	*
99		43	27		-	9	99.8		0.0		1	10	17	17	32	5	15	3	0	0							39,306	*
98		42	27		-	10	99.3		No		0	7	11	18	30	8	20	5	1	0							42,719	*
97		42	28		-	9	98.4		No		0	4	6	16	26	12	25	10	1	0	0						45,509	*
96		41	28		-	10	96.0		No		0	2	3	13	20	15	28	15	4	0	0	0					47,457	*
95		41	29		-	9	91.5		No		0	1	1	10	13	17	29	21	7	1	0	0					49,354	*
94		40	29		-	10	83.5		No			1	0	6	7	17	25	27	13	3	1	0	0				50,040	*
93		40	30		-	9	71.7		No			0	0	4	3	14	20	30	19	7	2	0	0				50,498	*
92		39	30		-	10	56.3		No			0	0	2	1	11	14	28	26	13	4	1	0				49,663	*
91		39	31		-	9	40.1		No			0	0	1	0	8	8	23	29	20	9	2	0	0			47,922	*
90		38	31		-	10	25.5		No			0	0	0	0	5	4	16	28	26	15	5	1	0			46,402	*
89		38	32		-	9	14.4		No			0		0	0	3	2	10	23	29	22	9	2	0			44,206	*
88		37	32		-	10	7.1		No					0	0	1	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1			40,953	*
87		37	33		-	9	3.2		No					0		1	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	1			37,443	*
86		36	33		-	10	1.2		No					0		0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	3			34,427	*
85		36	34		-	9	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	2	11	26	33	22	6			30,749	*
84		35	34		-	10	0.1		No							0		0	1	6	19	35	30	9			26,961	*
83		35	35		-	9	0.0		No							0		0	0	3	13	32	36	15			23,106	*
82		34	35		-	10	Out		No										0	1	8	27	40	23			20,107	*
81		34	36		-	9	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	21	43	31			16,873	*
80		33	36		-	10	Out		No										0	0	3	15	41	40			14,077	*
79		33	37		-	9	Out		No											0	1	11	39	49			11,357	*
78		32	37		-	10	Out		No											0	1	7	34	58			9,343	*
77		32	38		-	9	Out		No												0	4	30	65			7,271	*
76		31	38		-	10	Out		No												0	3	25	72			5,745	*
75		31	39		-	9	Out		No												0	2	18	80			4,328	*
74		30	39		-	10	Out		No												0	1	16	84			3,433	*
73		30	40		-	9	Out		No												0	1	11	88			2,468	*
72		30	41		-	8	Out		No													0	8	92			1,880	*
71		29	41		-	9	Out		No													0	8	92			1,450	*
70		29	42		-	8	Out		No														6	94			979	*
69		28	42		-	9	Out		No														3	98			680	*
68		27	42		-	10	Out		No														3	97			504	*
67		27	43		-	9	Out		No														1	99			343	*
66		27	44		-	8	Out		No														1	99			242	*
65		26	44		-	9	Out		No														1	99			155	*
64		25	44		-	10	Out		No															100			104	*
63		25	45		-	9	Out		No														2	98			58	*
4	-62						Out		No															100			195	*

Total:							57.2	%	3.2	%	6	5	8	5	9	5	10	9	8	8	7	7	7	6			1,035,100

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 2 Colorado 5	+0.1
Winnipeg 3 Calgary 0	+0.1
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2	-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota	+0.9*+0.0+0.0-0.8-0.9-0.9
Vancouver vs St. Louis	-0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida vs Dallas	-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Columbus	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs Nashville	-0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Islanders vs San Jose	-0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

123	-162						100
122		54	15		-	10	99		1
121		54	16		-	9	99	1			1
120		54	17		-	8	98	0	1		0
119		53	17		-	9	97	2			1
118		53	18		-	8	97	2	0		0
117		52	18		-	9	95	2	1		2
116		52	19		-	8	94	2	2		2
115		51	19		-	9	90	5	2		3
114		51	20		-	8	87	6	3		4				0
113		50	20		-	9	82	9	3		5				0
112		50	21		-	8	76	11	5		7				0
111		49	21		-	9	68	14	7	0	10	0			0
110		49	22		-	8	59	17	10	0	14	0	0		0				0
109		48	22		-	9	48	21	13	0	17	0	0		1				0
108		48	23		-	8	36	24	15	1	22	1	0		2				0
107		47	23		-	9	26	24	18	1	26	1	1		3		0		0
106		47	24		-	8	17	24	19	2	30	2	1		5	0	0		0
105		46	24		-	9	10	22	19	3	32	4	2	0	7	0	0		1		0
104		45	24		-	10	5	18	18	5	32	6	4	0	11	0	0		1		0
103		45	25		-	9	2	14	15	7	28	10	6	0	16	0	0		2		0		0
102		44	25		-	10	1	9	12	8	22	14	9	0	20	1	0		4	0	0		0
101		44	26		-	9	0	5	8	9	15	16	12	1	23	2	1		6	0	1	0	0
100		43	26		-	10	0	3	5	9	8	16	14	2	25	5	3	0	10	0	2	0	0	0
99		43	27		-	9	0	1	2	7	3	14	14	3	23	8	5	0	15	0	3	0	0	0
98		42	27		-	10		0	1	6	1	9	12	5	18	12	8	0	19	1	5	0	1	0
97		42	28		-	9		0	0	4	0	6	9	7	11	15	11	1	22	3	10	0	1	0	0
96		41	28		-	10		0	0	2	0	3	5	8	5	15	13	2	21	7	14	1	4	0	0	0
95		41	29		-	9		0	0	1	0	1	2	7	2	11	13	4	17	11	19	2	7	1	0	0
94		40	29		-	10			0	1		0	1	6	0	7	10	7	10	15	22	5	12	4	1	0	0
93		40	30		-	9				0		0	0	3	0	3	6	8	5	16	19	10	18	8	2	0	0	0
92		39	30		-	10				0		0	0	2	0	1	3	8	1	12	12	16	21	15	6	2	0	0	0
91		39	31		-	9				0		0	0	1	0	0	1	7	0	8	5	17	17	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
90		38	31		-	10				0		0		0		0	0	4	0	4	2	14	11	20	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
89		38	32		-	9				0				0		0	0	3	0	2	0	9	4	13	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
88		37	32		-	10								0		0	0	1		1	0	5	1	5	13	20	23	17	9	4	1	0	0
87		37	33		-	9								0			0	1		0	0	2	0	2	6	13	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		36	33		-	10								0				0		0		1	0	0	2	6	12	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		36	34		-	9								0				0		0		0	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
84		35	34		-	10												0				0			0	0	2	6	13	21	25	19	10	3	1	0
83		35	35		-	9												0				0			0	0	0	2	6	15	24	25	18	8	2	0
82		34	35		-	10																				0	0	0	2	8	17	26	26	15	5	1
81		34	36		-	9												0								0	0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
80		33	36		-	10																						0	0	1	5	15	26	30	19	5
79		33	37		-	9																							0	0	2	8	20	33	27	10
78		32	37		-	10																								0	1	4	14	30	34	16
77		32	38		-	9																								0	0	2	10	25	40	24
76		31	38		-	10																									0	1	5	20	41	34
75		31	39		-	9																										0	2	15	38	44
74		30	39		-	10																											1	8	35	55
73		30	40		-	9																											0	5	30	64
72		30	41		-	8																										0	0	3	24	73
71		29	41		-	9																											0	2	20	78
70		29	42		-	8																												1	15	84
69		28	42		-	9																													10	90
68		27	42		-	10																												1	6	93
67		27	43		-	9																													6	94
66		27	44		-	8																													5	95
65		26	44		-	9																													2	98
64		25	44		-	10																													2	98
63		25	45		-	9																													2	98
4	-62																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	2	5	3	3	2	5	4	3	2	6	4	5	4	5	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2