Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 59.3%
6 points   3 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida vs Dallas+3.8+4.4+3.6-1.6*-0.3-4.8
+1.0+0.8+0.9*-0.3*-0.3-1.2
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2*-0.1-0.5
Ottawa vs Nashville-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-162In99.5%100548*
1175118-9In96.99811287*
1165018-10In96.89900346*
1155120-7In95.09911505*
1145020-8In90.09631707*
1134920-9In86.29432979*
1124921-8In84.9943301,395*
1114821-9In75.4897401,742*
1104822-8In69.8877602,272*
1094722-9In56.880128002,864*
1084622-10In48.4741312013,646*
1074623-9In36.56618150104,476*
1064624-8In26.15821190205,352*
1054524-9In16.74824241306,499*
1044525-8In9.637272825007,636*
1034425-9In4.5282931370108,956*
1024325-10In1.819303361101010,169*
1014326-9In0.612273391502011,221*
1004226-10100.0%0.1725291420151012,632*
994227-999.90.0320231823381013,557*
984127-1099.70.011516212651230014,913*
974128-999.2No11110222591751015,426*
964028-1097.9No07520211521920016,244*
954029-993.9No042171518231451016,594*
943929-1087.1No0211292122201030017,071*
933930-975.6No1085201824166200016,989*
923830-1058.8No00521613232213510016,632*
913831-940.9No00211171925201031016,232*
903731-1024.3No00107312232617720015,703*
893732-912.7No01041617262414510014,851*
883632-105.7No000203102027221131013,683*
873633-92.4No010151424271982012,361*
863533-100.9No000027182725154011,218*
853534-90.4No000014112330219110,046*
843434-100.1No0000161728291538,650*
833435-90.0No000131124322367,463*
823335-10OutNo0016183330126,396*
813336-90.0No0003123037185,410*
803236-10OutNo0182441264,439*
793237-9OutNo041840383,621*
783137-10OutNo0021340452,891*
773138-9OutNo01933572,319*
763038-10OutNo00530641,714*
753039-9OutNo325711,366*
742939-10OutNo0220791,018*
732940-9OutNo11484789*
722840-10OutNo11089545*
712841-9OutNo01090426*
702842-8OutNo595293*
692742-9OutNo496199*
682743-8OutNo298134*
672643-9OutNo298105*
662543-10OutNo29860*
652645-7OutNo10040*
642545-8OutNo59519*
6-63OutNo10091*
Total:59.3%4.6%9887867766655544351,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)*-0.0
Detroit 3 Carolina 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs Dallas-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.3*+0.1+1.0
Ottawa vs Nashville+0.1*+0.1+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Boston-0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Detroit*+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0*-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Toronto-0.1*-0.0+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
NY Islanders vs San Jose-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-162100
1185218-8982
1175118-997111
1165018-1097300
1155120-795411
1145020-890631
1134920-986832
1124921-88593030
1114821-975147040
1104822-870177060
1094722-957231108000
1084622-10482513012001
1074623-93729171151010
1064624-82632201181020
1054524-917322132221300
1044525-8102823524525000
1034425-95232182483070010
1024325-102171911211260110010
1014326-91111413161790141020
1004226-10069161019121163105010
994227-903515519143176307010
984127-10012132151561510501113000
974128-9111011012101114911435010
964028-100070581251613215680200
954029-90040241321414414101315100
943929-1000212100912991316493100
933930-901018058124141591572000
923830-1000052412112101318157200
913831-90002121007415142015720000
903731-10000101703111818211683100
893732-9010041063101923181041000
883632-100000200313101823201252000
873633-90010101410182321136200
863533-10000000149172322157200
853534-900000013917242215720
843434-100000013918242315610
833435-9000014102026231240
823335-1000141223282291
813336-900016152829164
803236-1000292231268
793237-901514313416
783137-1000210254024
773138-9015184037
763038-10002133846
753039-9183655
742939-10052768
732940-9032176
722840-1021781
712841-911584
702842-80991
692742-9991
682743-81693
672643-9298
662543-10298
652645-7100
642545-8595
6-63100
Total:554444334433434344333333333222