Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 62.1%
6 points   3 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2 +0.5
+0.0
Winnipeg 3 Calgary 0 +0.0
Anaheim 2 Colorado 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Calgary vs Edmonton-5.1*-0.5-1.7+3.8+3.7+4.3
-1.2*-0.3*-0.2+0.7+0.9+1.0
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
NY Islanders vs San Jose+0.6*+0.0*-0.3*-0.6*+0.1-0.5
+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs Nashville+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Boston-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-162InYes100251*
1195217-9In99.0%991103*
1185218-8In99.4991171*
1175118-9In97.79810259*
1165119-8In97.9991373*
1155120-7In94.49721520*
1145020-8In92.19632734*
1134920-9In89.59532986*
1124921-8In82.091631,298*
1114821-9In76.5887501,713*
1104822-8In67.38310602,261*
1094722-9In57.676169002,875*
1084622-10In48.3711811013,591*
1074623-9In35.961231501004,554*
1064624-8In24.95028201205,260*
1054524-9In16.041332213006,456*
1044525-8In8.4313527250007,688*
1034425-9In3.9233629560008,798*
1024426-8In1.415343181001010,021*
1014326-9In0.593329131312011,499*
1004226-10In0.152925181724012,635*
994227-999.9%0.0224192420461013,722*
984127-1099.9No11814262371020014,956*
974128-999.5No013827211214400015,682*
964028-1098.3No08426181817610016,358*
954029-995.3No052211323191241016,660*
943929-1090.3No0311682619178200017,178*
933930-981.5No201152517211351016,871*
923830-1067.6No1072231322191031016,637*
913831-951.0No0041188202416720016,424*
903731-1034.6No0201341525231341015,466*
893732-920.9No010821022272082014,875*
883632-1011.2No010515152727154013,490*
873633-95.9No0302102429228112,389*
863533-102.3No0101517292815311,071*
853534-91.1No010031025332369,920*
843434-100.5No00016203329118,657*
833435-90.1No0003133036177,503*
823335-100.1No00182541246,397*
813336-90.0No00151943335,290*
803236-100.0No0021440444,484*
793237-90.1No0011037523,609*
783137-10OutNo1631622,886*
773138-9OutNo0326702,308*
763038-10OutNo0221771,851*
753039-9OutNo116831,356*
742939-10OutNo11188983*
732940-9OutNo01189773*
722840-10OutNo0694586*
712841-9OutNo0595395*
702741-10OutNo397276*
692742-9OutNo298197*
682642-10OutNo298136*
672643-9OutNo19999*
6-66OutNo100209*
Total:62.1%4.5%810797966677666351,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 3 Calgary 0 -0.1
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2 -0.1
Anaheim 2 Colorado 5 -0.1
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Edmonton+1.1+0.1+0.3-0.8-0.8-0.9
Arizona vs Boston+0.1+0.1*+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs San Jose-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Ottawa vs Nashville-0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Columbus-0.0*+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Florida vs Dallas-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195217-9991
1185218-8991
1175118-998110
1165119-89811
1155120-794321
1145020-892432
1134920-989632
1124921-882963
1114821-97612750
1104822-8671610060
1094722-958181608000
1084622-10482317011001
1074623-9362522115001000
1064624-82525261191120
1054524-9162530320213000
1044525-8823295234250000
1034425-94192792375060000
1024426-8114221221108090010
1014326-919171614141301211200
1004226-100511179161711532400
994227-902717415204155406010
984127-10131511218813970912000
974128-9011208151291212112240000
964028-1000804101541416212560100
954029-90052516112176109101410
943929-10003121408151271213472000
933930-9020111059163141291151000
923830-10100702518112814141162000
913831-9000412160831712161262100
903731-10002011204114614181483100
893732-901008209281520171141000
883632-10010051050381621191362000
873633-900300201381521211472000
863533-1001010128162222168200
853534-9010000013716232317720
843434-100000013817242416610
833435-900001391826231441
823335-100001411222823102
813336-90025142730184
803236-100000282133269
793237-9001414303516
783137-10029254025
773138-9015184235
763038-1002123947
753039-9083655
742939-100052768
732940-9032473
722840-1021880
712841-911386
702741-100991
692742-9793
682642-10694
672643-9199
662543-10298
652544-9298
6-64100
Total:445543543345333333333333333322