Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 49.1%

4 points 1 1-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)					*-0.0
Detroit 3 Carolina 2					-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Boston	-5.1-1.1*-0.7+3.7+4.5+4.1		-0.8*-0.2-0.3+0.5+0.5+0.7		-0.6*-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.4
Florida vs Dallas	-0.5-0.3-0.2+0.0-0.1+0.5				-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Toronto					+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

118	-160						In		99.2	%	100																244	*
117		52	17		-	9	In		99.1		99		1														115	*
116		52	18		-	8	In		97.1		100																172	*
115		51	18		-	9	In		94.6		98	1	1														259	*
114		51	19		-	8	In		90.9		97	2	1														397	*
113		50	19		-	9	In		89.8		96	2	2														527	*
112		50	20		-	8	In		81.6		92	4	5														734	*
111		49	20		-	9	In		76.6		89	5	5		0												964	*
110		49	21		-	8	In		67.0		85	7	7		0												1,326	*
109		48	21		-	9	In		58.9		81	9	9		0		0										1,746	*
108		48	22		-	8	In		48.5		75	12	13	0	1												2,167	*
107		47	22		-	9	In		35.5		64	17	18	0	1		0										2,916	*
106		47	23		-	8	In		24.1		55	21	22	0	2		0										3,500	*
105		46	23		-	9	In		15.9		46	23	26	1	3	0	0										4,500	*
104		46	24		-	8	In		8.4		35	27	31	2	5	0	0										5,455	*
103		45	24		-	9	In		4.4		27	27	33	3	9	0	1	0									6,577	*
102		45	25		-	8	In		1.4		18	27	35	6	13	0	1	0									7,717	*
101		44	25		-	9	100.0	%	0.4		11	26	33	9	16	1	3	0	0								8,934	*
100		44	26		-	8	100.0		0.0		6	22	29	14	21	1	6	1	0								10,084	*
99		43	26		-	9	99.8		No		3	18	22	18	25	3	9	2	0								11,209	*
98		42	26		-	10	99.5		No		1	14	15	20	27	6	13	3	0	0							12,604	*
97		42	27		-	9	98.9		No		0	9	10	21	25	10	19	6	1	0							13,757	*
96		41	27		-	10	97.1		No		0	6	5	18	21	14	23	11	3	0	0	0					14,852	*
95		41	28		-	9	93.2		No		0	3	2	15	15	18	24	17	6	1	0	0					15,725	*
94		40	28		-	10	84.8		No		0	2	1	11	8	19	22	22	11	4	0	0	0				16,343	*
93		40	29		-	9	71.9		No			1	0	7	4	18	18	24	18	8	2	0	0				16,780	*
92		39	29		-	10	55.3		No			0	0	4	2	15	11	23	23	14	5	1	0	0			16,909	*
91		39	30		-	9	36.7		No			0	0	2	0	10	6	17	26	21	12	4	1	0			17,347	*
90		38	30		-	10	21.8		No			0		1	0	7	3	11	23	25	18	9	3	0	0		16,703	*
89		38	31		-	9	10.9		No			0		0	0	4	1	6	16	26	25	15	6	1	0	0	16,051	*
88		37	31		-	10	4.6		No					0	0	2	0	2	9	20	26	22	13	4	1	0	15,553	*
87		37	32		-	9	1.9		No					0		1	0	1	4	12	24	27	20	8	2	0	14,443	*
86		36	32		-	10	0.6		No					0		0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1	13,516	*
85		36	33		-	9	0.2		No							0	0	0	1	3	10	22	31	23	9	1	12,281	*
84		35	33		-	10	0.1		No							0		0	0	1	5	16	28	30	16	4	11,164	*
83		35	34		-	9	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	10	24	32	24	7	9,987	*
82		34	34		-	10	Out		No											0	1	5	17	33	31	12	8,817	*
81		34	35		-	9	Out		No											0	0	3	11	29	38	19	7,513	*
80		33	35		-	10	Out		No												0	1	6	23	42	28	6,235	*
79		33	36		-	9	Out		No												0	0	4	17	41	38	5,314	*
78		33	37		-	8	Out		No													0	2	11	39	48	4,403	*
77		32	37		-	9	Out		No												0	0	1	8	34	58	3,626	*
76		31	37		-	10	Out		No														0	5	30	64	2,940	*
75		31	38		-	9	Out		No														0	3	24	72	2,347	*
74		30	38		-	10	Out		No															1	18	80	1,842	*
73		30	39		-	9	Out		No															1	13	86	1,382	*
72		29	39		-	10	Out		No															1	10	90	1,059	*
71		29	40		-	9	Out		No															0	7	93	737	*
70		28	40		-	10	Out		No															0	5	94	567	*
69		28	41		-	9	Out		No																5	95	410	*
68		27	41		-	10	Out		No																2	98	304	*
67		27	42		-	9	Out		No																	100	214	*
66		26	42		-	10	Out		No																2	98	131	*
65		26	43		-	9	Out		No																1	99	103	*
64		25	43		-	10	Out		No																1	99	72	*
63		25	44		-	9	Out		No																	100	55	*
62		24	44		-	10	Out		No																3	97	29	*
4	-61						Out		No																	100	82	*

Total:							49.1	%	2.7	%	6	6	6	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	351,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)	*+0.1
Detroit 3 Carolina 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Boston	+1.1*+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.9-0.9
Florida vs Dallas	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs Nashville	+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Chicago vs Columbus	-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Toronto	-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

120	-160						100
119		54	17		-	7	98	2
118		53	17		-	8	99	1
117		52	17		-	9	99				1
116		52	18		-	8	97	3
115		51	18		-	9	95	3	1		1
114		51	19		-	8	91	7	2		1
113		50	19		-	9	90	6	2		2
112		50	20		-	8	82	10	4		5
111		49	20		-	9	77	12	5		5				0
110		49	21		-	8	67	18	7	0	7	0			0
109		48	21		-	9	59	23	9	0	9	0			0				0
108		48	22		-	8	49	26	12	0	12	0	0		1
107		47	22		-	9	35	29	16	1	17	1	0		1				0
106		47	23		-	8	24	31	19	2	21	1	0		2				0
105		46	23		-	9	16	30	21	3	24	2	1		3	0	0		0
104		46	24		-	8	8	27	22	5	25	5	2		5		0		0
103		45	24		-	9	4	23	20	7	24	9	3	0	8	0	0		1		0
102		45	25		-	8	1	16	17	11	21	13	6	0	12	1	0		1		0
101		44	25		-	9	0	11	13	13	16	17	9	0	15	1	1		3	0	0		0
100		44	26		-	8	0	6	8	14	9	19	13	1	18	4	1		6	0	1		0
99		43	26		-	9		3	4	13	5	18	15	3	18	7	3	0	9	0	2	0	0
98		42	26		-	10		1	2	12	2	14	14	6	15	12	6	0	12	1	3	0	0	0
97		42	27		-	9		0	1	8	0	9	11	9	10	16	9	0	16	3	6	0	1	0
96		41	27		-	10		0	0	6	0	5	7	11	5	16	12	2	16	6	10	0	3	0	0	0
95		41	28		-	9		0	0	3	0	2	3	12	1	13	13	5	13	11	15	2	6	1	0	0
94		40	28		-	10		0	0	2		1	1	9	0	8	11	8	9	14	17	5	11	4	1	0	0
93		40	29		-	9			0	1		0	0	6	0	4	7	11	4	15	14	9	16	9	3	0	0	0
92		39	29		-	10				0		0	0	4		2	3	11	1	10	9	14	18	16	8	2	1	0
91		39	30		-	9				0		0	0	2		0	1	9	0	6	4	14	15	20	17	8	3	1	0	0
90		38	30		-	10				0				1		0	0	6	0	3	1	10	8	18	21	17	9	4	1	0	0
89		38	31		-	9				0				0		0	0	4	0	1	0	6	2	9	18	23	19	11	5	1	0	0
88		37	31		-	10								0		0	0	2		0	0	2	1	3	9	17	23	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
87		37	32		-	9								0				1		0		1	0	1	3	8	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
86		36	32		-	10								0				0		0		0		0	1	3	8	17	23	22	15	8	2	0	0
85		36	33		-	9												0		0		0		0	0	1	2	8	16	23	24	16	7	2	0	0
84		35	33		-	10												0				0			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	25	15	7	1	0
83		35	34		-	9												0							0	0	0	1	3	9	19	26	25	13	4	1
82		34	34		-	10																					0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	11	2
81		34	35		-	9																						0	0	1	5	14	27	30	19	4
80		33	35		-	10																							0	0	2	8	20	32	28	9
79		33	36		-	9																								0	1	4	14	31	34	17
78		33	37		-	8																								0	0	2	8	25	40	26
77		32	37		-	9																									0	1	4	17	41	36
76		31	37		-	10																										0	2	12	39	47
75		31	38		-	9																										0	1	8	33	58
74		30	38		-	10																											0	4	29	66
73		30	39		-	9																										0	0	3	21	76
72		29	39		-	10																												1	16	82
71		29	40		-	9																												1	12	87
70		28	40		-	10																												0	10	90
69		28	41		-	9																												0	9	91
68		27	41		-	10																													5	95
67		27	42		-	9																													1	99
66		26	42		-	10																													2	98
65		26	43		-	9																													2	98
64		25	43		-	10																													1	99
63		25	44		-	9																													2	98
62		24	44		-	10																													3	97
4	-61																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4