Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 66.3%

7 points 3 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2	+0.6				+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Minnesota					-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Boston	+3.6+4.3+2.8-0.7-0.5-4.5		+1.2+1.0+0.7-0.1-0.4-1.4		+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.5
NY Islanders vs San Jose	+0.6+0.2-0.2-0.6-0.6-0.4				+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Ottawa vs Nashville					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

120	-163						In		99.7	%	100																363	*
119		52	18		-	8	In		99.5		99	1															195	*
118		52	19		-	7	In		98.1		100	0															260	*
117		51	19		-	8	In		97.6		99	1															370	*
116		50	19		-	9	In		95.8		98	1	1														530	*
115		50	20		-	8	In		93.9		97	2	1														760	*
114		49	20		-	9	In		92.2		95	4	2														996	*
113		49	21		-	8	In		86.3		93	5	2		0												1,269	*
112		48	21		-	9	In		82.2		90	6	3														1,755	*
111		48	22		-	8	In		76.1		88	8	4		0												2,226	*
110		47	22		-	9	In		66.7		83	11	6		0												2,862	*
109		47	23		-	8	In		57.5		75	16	9	0	0												3,656	*
108		46	23		-	9	In		47.6		70	18	12	0	0												4,436	*
107		46	24		-	8	In		36.9		61	23	15	0	1												5,433	*
106		45	24		-	9	In		25.0		51	28	18	1	2		0										6,464	*
105		45	25		-	8	In		15.5		42	32	22	1	3		0										7,536	*
104		44	25		-	9	In		8.8		32	35	26	3	4	0	0										8,674	*
103		43	25		-	10	In		3.7		22	36	29	6	6	0	0										10,197	*
102		43	26		-	9	In		1.3		15	36	30	9	10	0	1	0									11,195	*
101		42	26		-	10	In		0.3		9	33	29	13	13	1	2	0									12,901	*
100		42	27		-	9	100.0	%	0.1		5	29	25	18	17	2	3	0	0								13,668	*
99		42	28		-	8	100.0		No		2	23	20	24	20	4	6	1	0								14,800	*
98		41	28		-	9	99.8		No		1	18	13	27	23	7	9	2	0								15,665	*
97		40	28		-	10	99.5		No		0	13	9	28	21	12	13	4	0	0		0					16,329	*
96		40	29		-	9	98.4		No		0	9	4	26	18	18	16	7	1	0	0						16,942	*
95		39	29		-	10	95.8		No		0	6	2	22	13	23	18	12	3	1	0						17,137	*
94		39	30		-	9	90.0		No		0	3	1	17	9	26	19	16	8	2	0	0	0				17,111	*
93		38	30		-	10	80.1		No			2	0	12	4	26	17	20	14	5	1	0	0				16,702	*
92		38	31		-	9	66.7		No			1	0	7	2	22	12	22	20	10	3	1	0				16,388	*
91		37	31		-	10	50.1		No			0	0	4	1	17	8	20	24	17	7	2	0				15,454	*
90		37	32		-	9	33.5		No			0		2	0	12	4	14	25	23	13	4	1	0			14,575	*
89		36	32		-	10	21.1		No			0		1	0	8	2	9	21	27	20	9	2	0			13,566	*
88		36	33		-	9	11.5		No			0		1		5	1	5	16	27	27	14	4	1			12,390	*
87		35	33		-	10	5.8		No			0		0		3	0	2	10	22	30	22	8	1			11,243	*
86		35	34		-	9	2.8		No					0		1	0	1	5	16	30	29	14	3			9,895	*
85		34	34		-	10	1.1		No					0		1	0	0	3	11	25	33	22	5			8,616	*
84		34	35		-	9	0.4		No					0		0		0	1	6	19	33	30	11			7,570	*
83		33	35		-	10	0.2		No							0		0	0	2	12	31	37	17			6,226	*
82		33	36		-	9	0.1		No							0			0	1	8	26	40	24			5,409	*
81		32	36		-	10	0.0		No							0			0	1	4	19	42	35			4,444	*
80		32	37		-	9	Out		No											0	2	14	40	44			3,523	*
79		31	37		-	10	Out		No											0	1	9	37	52			2,786	*
78		31	38		-	9	0.0		No							0					1	6	31	62			2,290	*
77		31	39		-	8	Out		No												0	3	26	71			1,792	*
76		30	39		-	9	Out		No												0	2	22	76			1,436	*
75		29	39		-	10	Out		No													2	18	80			1,004	*
74		29	40		-	9	Out		No													1	12	87			775	*
73		29	41		-	8	Out		No													1	9	90			578	*
72		28	41		-	9	Out		No													0	7	93			412	*
71		28	42		-	8	Out		No														4	96			272	*
70		27	42		-	9	Out		No														6	94			198	*
69		27	43		-	8	Out		No														2	98			154	*
67	-68						Out		No															100			166	*
66		25	44		-	9	Out		No														4	96			47	*
7	-65						Out		No															100			99	*

Total:							66.3	%	5.6	%	10	11	8	10	7	9	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	4			351,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 San Jose 2	-0.1
Columbus 1 Toronto 2 (so)	*-0.1
Winnipeg 3 Calgary 0	-0.1
Anaheim 2 Colorado 5	-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs St. Louis	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Los Angeles vs Minnesota	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Boston	-0.8-0.9-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.0
NY Islanders vs San Jose	-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ottawa vs Nashville	-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Florida vs Dallas	-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-163						100
120		53	18		-	7	99	1
119		52	18		-	8	99		1
118		52	19		-	7	98	2	0
117		51	19		-	8	98	2	1
116		50	19		-	9	96	2	1		1
115		50	20		-	8	94	3	2		1
114		49	20		-	9	92	3	4		2
113		49	21		-	8	86	6	5		2				0
112		48	21		-	9	82	8	6	0	3
111		48	22		-	8	76	11	8	0	4				0
110		47	22		-	9	67	16	11	0	6	0			0
109		47	23		-	8	57	18	16	0	9	0	0		0
108		46	23		-	9	48	22	18	0	12	0	0		0
107		46	24		-	8	37	25	22	1	14	0	0		1	0
106		45	24		-	9	25	26	26	2	17	1	1		2				0
105		45	25		-	8	16	27	28	4	20	2	1		3	0			0
104		44	25		-	9	9	23	29	6	22	4	3		4	0	0		0
103		43	25		-	10	4	19	27	9	23	7	5	0	6	0	0		0
102		43	26		-	9	1	14	23	13	19	10	8	0	9	0	0		1		0
101		42	26		-	10	0	9	17	15	15	14	13	1	12	1	1		2	0	0
100		42	27		-	9	0	5	11	18	9	16	17	2	15	3	2		3	0	0		0
99		42	28		-	8		2	6	17	4	16	20	4	15	5	4	0	6	0	1		0
98		41	28		-	9		1	3	14	1	12	19	8	13	10	7	0	9	1	2		0
97		40	28		-	10		0	1	12	0	8	15	13	8	12	11	1	11	2	4	0	0	0		0
96		40	29		-	9		0	0	8	0	4	10	16	4	14	16	2	12	4	7	0	1	0	0
95		39	29		-	10		0	0	6	0	2	5	16	1	12	17	6	10	8	10	1	3	1	0
94		39	30		-	9		0	0	3		1	2	15	0	9	14	11	7	12	12	4	7	2	0	0	0
93		38	30		-	10			0	2		0	1	11	0	4	9	16	3	14	12	9	12	6	2	0	0	0
92		38	31		-	9				1		0	0	7	0	2	5	18	1	11	7	15	14	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		37	31		-	10				0		0	0	4		1	2	15	0	7	3	17	11	16	13	7	2	0	0	0	0
90		37	32		-	9				0				2		0	1	12	0	4	1	13	6	14	18	15	8	3	1	0	0
89		36	32		-	10				0				1		0	0	8		2	0	9	2	7	15	19	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
88		36	33		-	9				0				1			0	5		1	0	5	1	2	8	16	21	19	13	6	2	0	0
87		35	33		-	10				0				0			0	3		0		2	0	1	2	7	16	22	21	15	7	3	0	0
86		35	34		-	9								0				1		0		1		0	1	2	7	15	21	22	16	8	3	0	0	0
85		34	34		-	10								0				1		0		0			0	1	2	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
84		34	35		-	9								0				0				0			0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	1	0
83		33	35		-	10												0				0					0	0	2	8	18	26	24	15	5	1
82		33	36		-	9												0									0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	9	2
81		32	36		-	10												0									0		0	2	5	13	26	30	18	5
80		32	37		-	9																							0	0	2	8	20	32	28	9
79		31	37		-	10																								0	1	4	14	30	35	16
78		31	38		-	9												0													0	2	9	24	40	25
77		31	39		-	8																										0	4	17	40	38
76		30	39		-	9																										0	3	13	39	45
75		29	39		-	10																										0	1	9	33	57
74		29	40		-	9																											0	6	27	67
73		29	41		-	8																											0	2	25	73
72		28	41		-	9																										0		2	17	81
71		28	42		-	8																												0	11	89
70		27	42		-	9																													14	86
69		27	43		-	8																													8	92
68		26	43		-	9																													4	96
67		25	43		-	10																													8	92
66		25	44		-	9																													4	96
64	-65																																			100
63		24	46		-	8																													11	89
7	-62																																			100

Total:							6	4	6	5	4	4	5	5	4	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2