Winston Lights 100s Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat Kaleb Steinhauer 106-66, playoff odds up 10.6 to 39.2%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kaleb Steinhauer 66 Drew Wills 106 | +9.9 | +0.8 | ||
| Wes Baldwin 106 Jon Andrusak 90 | -0.3 | |||
| Jordan Dean 80 Justin Woods 78 | +0.2 | |||
| Grayson Holt 73 Michael Andrusak 93 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Drew Wills vs Wes Baldwin | +11.8-3.3-11.4 | +0.8-0.2-0.8 | ||
| Michael Andrusak vs Jon Andrusak | -0.5+0.9+0.4 | |||
| Kaleb Steinhauer vs Jordan Dean | +0.4+0.7-0.4 | |||
| Grayson Holt vs Stephen Crouch | *-0.0+1.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | ||
| Justin Woods vs Chase Newell | -0.1+0.8*+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Drew Wills finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 4,295 | |||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 2,754 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 25,499 | |||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 99 | 1 | 1,387 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 26,589 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 91 | 9 | 429 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | 127,366 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | 12,929 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 120,916 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3,544 | * | |||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 382,318 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 47 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 50,772 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.1 | 14 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 670 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 31 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 321,923 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.0 | 9 | 38 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12,454 | * | |||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 765,000 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 97.4 | 5 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 118,662 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 61.7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1,917 | * | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 90.2 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 562,971 | |||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 51.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24,890 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | 23 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 198 | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 57.5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,071,529 | |||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 34.8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 177,862 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 3,216 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 677,824 | ||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 31,211 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 23 | 41 | 31 | 4 | 274 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,071,225 | ||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 177,754 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 2 | 16 | 39 | 37 | 7 | 3,255 | * | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 564,493 | |||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 41 | 11 | 25,329 | * | |||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 764,516 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 17 | 118,428 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 8 | 42 | 50 | 1,945 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 28 | 322,250 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 5 | 37 | 58 | 12,484 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 49 | 382,820 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 32 | 65 | 50,647 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 12 | 87 | 654 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 24 | 75 | 120,933 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 3,665 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 13 | 86 | 127,457 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 7 | 93 | 12,873 | * | ||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 26,904 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 99 | 437 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 25,578 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 99 | 1,418 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 2,702 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 4,374 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 39.2 | % | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8,351,540 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:06 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
