Dallas Stars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 57.1%
82 points   38 30-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canadiens vs Stars-12.5+1.0+1.1+13.6+13.6+13.6
-0.5+0.0+0.0+0.6+0.5+0.6
Hurricanes vs Ducks+3.0*+0.1*+0.1-3.1-3.2-3.2
+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canucks vs Red Wings+2.8-0.4-0.4-2.8-2.9-2.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Avalanche vs Blackhawks-1.1-1.1-1.1+0.3*+0.1+2.0
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Sharks vs Coyotes+0.5*+0.0*-0.0-1.1-1.3-1.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Wild vs Flames+0.3*-0.2-0.2-0.4*-0.3-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9880-0In9918,441
9770-1In937021,558
9671-0In81181071,242
60-2In80191025,199
9561-1In573850166,881
50-3In54406016,317
9462-0100.0%34491610275,479
51-2100.032491720160,551
40-4100.0314819206,311
9352-199.714453470534,248
41-399.61344358084,083
30-599.61141371001,546
9253-097.3529432030589,998
42-296.9427442230417,677
31-496.642545233025,084
20-694.722446235208
9143-187.61123837121924,070
32-386.31103738131167,654
21-584.51935401414,317
10-787.562525316616
9044-066.00321412860763,667
33-263.40320413070555,804
22-460.4021940318036,556
11-654.7118363411413
00-8Out1001
8934-136.10072944191922,983
23-333.20062744221160,900
12-531.20526442514,064
01-733.333531315
8835-014.60113394250611,343
24-213.00112364560401,302
13-411.411034496022,593
02-618.411730457158
8725-12.80032358160532,907
14-32.402206017074,650
03-52.20216651701,161
8626-00.6018513910293,228
15-20.4006514120147,600
04-40.204514324,917
8516-10.001365850163,970
05-30.00136586013,127
8417-0Out0167113077,522
06-2Out0156915021,846
8307-1Out764281020,688
8208-0Out14944509,165
Total:57.1%6131820191760008,341,460
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Canadiens vs Stars+1.1-0.0-0.0-1.2-1.2-1.2
Canucks vs Red Wings-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Avalanche vs Blackhawks+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Hurricanes vs Ducks-0.2+0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Wild vs Flames-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sharks vs Coyotes-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9880-039601
9770-10931600
9671-00810180100
60-2080019010
9561-1570380500
50-3540401600
9462-0340490160100
51-2320490170100
40-43148019110
9352-1144503316000
41-3134403517000
30-511410371900
9253-05290430201100
42-24270440211100
31-4425450221200
20-622446122320
9143-11123803736300
32-31103703837400
21-519350403840
10-7625253166
9044-003214131315300
33-203204131317400
22-402194021319500
11-6118362152260
00-8100
8934-100729213321520
23-300627112341720
12-50526111351930
01-733134013
8835-001130531361210
24-201120430381310
13-4110032841141
02-61173233718
8725-10030116433060
14-3020114433270
03-502112453280
8626-00100428442310
15-20000327442410
04-40032645251
8516-100012424340
05-30011424340
8417-0032561110
06-2032460130
8307-1112602610
8208-003494350
Total:0601301802015121284000