San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 21.9%
31 points   12 15-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Capitals 1 Kings 3 -0.5
Flyers 3 Avalanche 4 -0.5
Ducks 2 Panthers 4 +0.5
Flames 2 Red Wings 1 -0.3
Predators 4 Lightning 2 -0.2
Wild 5 Coyotes 3 +0.2
Blues 4 Blue Jackets 5 (so)*+0.1
*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Jets vs Sharks-4.5-0.9-0.7+4.0+4.6+4.8
-0.0No-0.0-0.0*No+0.0
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Blackhawks vs Oilers+0.4*-0.2-0.3-0.6*-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Bruins-0.3*-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.6
Coyotes vs Maple Leafs-0.3*-0.1-0.4*+0.2*+0.0+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
111-127In89.5%100238*
110376-5In4.591922*
109377-4In5.7792170*
108367-5In2.674252114*
107368-4In1.2652680246*
106358-5In0.95333130444*
105359-4InNo47371501760*
104349-5InNo364318111,324*
1033410-4InNo254623342,141*
1023310-5InNo194427550003,663*
1013311-4InNo114228990105,589*
1003211-5InNo6352814140208,523*
993212-4100.0%No329252018140012,372*
983112-5100.0No122192423371017,789*
973113-499.9No01513252661220024,916*
963013-599.6No09724261017400033,419*
953014-498.7No0642122152391043,932*
942914-596.4No0311616192815300056,029*
932814-691.3No101010202822710069,729*
922815-581.8No10651824281430084,714*
912715-667.6No0032141831238200100,782*
902716-549.9No0011911282916410115,679*
892616-632.6No0105621312410200129,234*
882617-518.1No0003213283018510142,474*
872517-68.8No0001172132261120150,933*
862518-53.7No001031328321951157,524*
852418-61.3No000017213327101160,285*
842419-50.4No00003133033173158,560*
832319-60.1No00172336266152,748*
822320-50.0No0000416353411144,415*
812220-60.0No000210304018132,765*
802221-50.0No0016244326119,360*
792121-6OutNo003184336104,538*
782122-5OutNo0112414689,946*
772022-6OutNo018365574,321*
762023-5OutNo004316460,980*
751923-6OutNo003257348,197*
741924-5OutNo01207937,368*
731824-6OutNo01148528,816*
721825-5OutNo00108921,153*
711725-6OutNo089215,223*
701726-5OutNo059510,667*
691626-6OutNo04967,258*
681627-5OutNo2984,835*
671527-6OutNo2983,151*
661528-5OutNo1992,079*
651529-4OutNo01001,245*
641429-5OutNo0100769*
631430-4OutNo0100453*
31-62OutNo100748*
Total:21.9%0.0%01122457911131416162,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks 2 Panthers 4 -0.1
Capitals 1 Kings 3 +0.1
Flyers 3 Avalanche 4 +0.1
Flames 2 Red Wings 1 +0.0
Wild 5 Coyotes 3 -0.0
Rangers 1 Hurricanes 2 (so)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets vs Sharks+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.9-0.9
Canucks vs Bruins+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Blackhawks vs Oilers-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Maple Leafs+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Devils vs Sabres+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127480-0100
114394-5100
113395-45050
112385-51783
111386-4892
110376-55869
109377-4673139
108367-53711782
107368-41641610260
106358-515220133110
105359-4471721213001
104349-53614291171011
1033410-42512341222012
1023310-51993602641140000
1013311-41163702863170000
1003211-5633202886113001100
993212-432270259111181012000
983112-51121198160233125100
973113-4001513520026422101100
963013-500974210266411622000
953014-4006421902278122361000
942914-500311151661202731221000
932814-61001010416028220332000
922815-5100652160241274652100
912715-600032113018031381073100
902716-50011091102827141493100
892616-601005602114132017931000
882617-500003201302818241993100
872517-600001170031121251893000
862518-50010300151424261882000
852418-6000010016162626166100
842419-500000002819272513410
832319-6000013112329221020
822320-5000000151527291851
812220-60000282031261120
802221-5000131327331940
792121-6001721352880
782122-5003143236140
772022-600182742220
762023-50042043320
751923-60021341430
741924-501837521
731824-600531632
721825-500325703
711725-60118764
701726-5114806
691626-609819
681627-5068113
671527-6038016
661528-527523
651529-417326
641429-516831
631430-406534
621330-55743
611331-45644
601231-54852
591232-41882
581132-51882
571032-61189
561033-53367
31-55100
Total:000101020213050711345678899970