San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.5 to 41.6%
23 points   10 11-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Devils 4 Oilers 2 +0.6
+0.0
Blues 2 Bruins 4 +0.6
Canucks 3 Avalanche 2 (so)-0.4
Jets 0 Stars 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Flames vs Sharks-4.7*+0.2*-0.2+5.2+6.0+6.5
-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.0-0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Maple Leafs vs Jets+0.5*-0.0*-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.7
Stars vs Coyotes+0.2*+0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.2
Canadiens vs Predators+0.4*+0.1*+0.0*-0.2*-0.3-0.2
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks+0.2*+0.1*-0.1*-0.3*-0.2-0.2
Avalanche vs Sabres-0.1*-0.4*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
116-139In98.4%100254*
1154410-4In81.696449*
1144310-5In71.9945196*
1134210-6In65.99541173*
1124211-5In52.68974293*
1114111-6In46.5861040507*
1104112-5In37.4811360895*
1094012-6In27.47714901,300*
1084013-5In17.4692011002,167*
1073913-6In9.85926140103,311*
1063914-5In5.648301912004,947*
1053814-6In2.438352323007,176*
1043815-5In0.8283726440010,319*
1033715-6In0.2203828770014,362*
1023716-5In0.012372911901019,839*
1013616-6In0.083327161312026,092*
1003516-7InNo42924211723034,146*
993517-6100.0%No223182621550043,361*
983417-7100.0No117132923981054,241*
973418-699.9No01283023141120066,157*
963318-799.4No084282020164100078,729*
953319-698.4No05223152619710091,813*
943219-795.8No03118103021134100104,919*
933220-690.9No0201363120197100116,902*
923120-782.5No109328182413400128,605*
913121-670.1No0051231426218100137,650*
903021-755.4No0030189252714300144,989*
893022-639.9No00101352031217100148,839*
882922-726.1No0108314302813300149,982*
872923-615.5No000519253220610148,261*
862823-78.2No0003051932271120143,889*
852824-64.0No001021229331840136,336*
842724-71.8No0101723342581125,990*
832725-60.7No00004163331132114,301*
822625-70.3No0002102836204102,510*
812626-60.1No00016223827790,113*
802526-70.0No00031636341176,738*
792527-60.0No00011032401764,892*
782427-7OutNo01626442453,484*
772428-60.0No000320453243,211*
762328-7OutNo0214444034,144*
752329-6OutNo00110404926,833*
742229-7OutNo007365719,991*
732230-6OutNo004306614,904*
722130-7OutNo02257310,965*
712131-6OutNo0120797,835*
702031-7OutNo115855,285*
692032-6OutNo011883,808*
681932-7OutNo08912,677*
671933-6OutNo06941,678*
661833-7OutNo5951,091*
651834-6OutNo298666*
641835-5OutNo298414*
631735-6OutNo298256*
621635-7OutNo199163*
611636-6OutNo19987*
601637-5OutNo10054*
591537-6OutNo49623*
23-58OutNo100248*
Total:41.6%0.1%13264106911121210852,622,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Devils 4 Oilers 2 -0.1
Canucks 3 Avalanche 2 (so)+0.1
Blues 2 Bruins 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Sharks+0.9-0.0+0.0-0.9-1.1-1.2
Stars vs Coyotes-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Maple Leafs vs Jets-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-139100
118458-58317
117459-47525
116449-5955
1154410-482144
1144310-5722251
1134210-6662941
1124211-5533674
1114111-64739101300
1104112-53744121500
1094012-62750122810
1084013-517511739100
1073913-610502061130100
1063914-56422010137101000
1053814-623521141310202000
1043815-512718191116403100
1033715-601915238206151000
1023716-50121026525101630100
1013616-608726325133761100
1003516-7442512314771120200
993517-6222101814125164041000
983417-7111601312183198143100
973418-6001208822121113562000
963318-700804523019138511311000
953319-600522210151214316431000
943219-7003111701010202195731000
933220-602001306625120414531000
923120-7100933250183216641000
913121-600051122014125598520000
903021-7000300180902438131162000
893022-60001001350201612171472100
882922-701008301403817201572000
872923-6000051090141220231672000
862823-700003050016152423156100
852824-60010200028182623134100
842724-70101001310212722103000
832725-600000001514252818710
822625-70000002718282614400
812626-6000001311243022810
802526-70000151629301530
792527-60000021024342360
782427-70015173332110
772428-60002112938191
762328-700162341272
752329-600031740363
742229-70021137456
732230-6017315210
722130-7004255715
712131-602196019
702031-701136125
692032-60105931
681932-7065638
671933-6044946
661833-734651
651834-613960
641835-513168
631735-62773
621635-72872
611636-61486
601637-51585
591537-61783
581538-51189
571539-42080
23-56100
Total:011302150328151812345666665431