San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 69.3%
5 points   2 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bruins vs Coyotes+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.5
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
121-161In100917*
1205417-7In991471*
1195317-8In991692*
1185217-9In99101,014*
1175218-8In98101,497*
1165219-7In97212,196*
1155119-8In962103,049*
1145120-7In95324,282*
1135020-8In93435,793*
1124920-9In905407,751*
1114921-8In86860010,239*
1104821-9In821080013,265*
1094822-8In76131000017,244*
1084722-9In69171401021,719*
1074723-8In61211701026,572*
1064623-9In532421120033,026*
1054624-8In44272513038,585*
1044524-9In3430292400046,007*
1034525-8In2631334700053,444*
1024425-9100.0%183034610010061,044*
1014426-8100.01229331014020068,007*
1004326-9100.0726301418130074,281*
994327-8100.0422251922251081,472*
984227-999.92171922255910086,964*
974228-899.8113132426812200091,597*
964128-999.409824251317510095,231*
954129-898.106422201821820097,320*
944029-995.50321815222313410097,387*
934030-890.202113102423188200096,403*
923930-981.40109523202313410095,152*
913931-868.90063201625199200091,250*
903831-953.700311610232415610086,229*
893832-837.600201161827221030080,257*
883732-924.3010731325271761073,503*
873733-813.8000418192824123066,597*
863633-97.2000314142628186159,333*
853634-83.30102821302611252,032*
843534-91.30101415283118444,951*
833535-80.6000029243424738,543*
823435-90.2000151833321132,375*
813436-80.1000031230381826,991*
803336-90.00001825412522,006*
793337-8Out01419423417,462*
783237-90.0000314404413,759*
773238-80.000110375210,796*
763138-9Out01633608,357*
753139-8Out0427696,304*
743039-9Out0223754,821*
733040-8Out0118803,415*
722940-9Out114862,539*
712941-8Out011891,735*
702841-9Out06931,191*
692842-8Out694837*
682843-7Out595596*
672743-8Out496359*
662744-7Out100251*
652644-8Out199161*
642544-9Out100107*
632444-10Out39767*
5-62Out100275*
Total:69.3%9910998877665431,979,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Bruins vs Coyotes-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Oilers vs Ducks+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Wild vs Blues+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-161100
1205417-79901
1195317-89811
1185217-998110
1175218-896210
1165219-794321
1155119-8924210
1145120-788732
1135020-8849403
1124920-9791250400
1114921-87115806000
1104821-963191008000
1094822-85323130100000
1084722-94227161130010
1074723-832291911610100
1064623-922312222011200
1054624-814302342231300
1044524-97272362452040000
1034525-83222192394070000
1024425-911718132013601000100
1014426-801113151518101121002000
1004326-907917921132153103000
994327-804517521154167205010
984227-9221521815714114081100
974228-81112013121210168010220000
964128-90080881651911212540100
954129-800604517218135119712000
944029-90030221611512108141034100
934030-8002111201091551811772000
923930-9010090551821991410620000
913931-80006032180155201111631000
903831-90003111501022181313841000
893832-80002001106018410151511520000
883732-90010073013151218181362100
873733-8000041080261320211583100
863633-9000031400261421221683100
853634-80102000261422231783100
843534-9010100127152324178200
833535-800000012817242416610
823435-9000001391927231340
813436-8000000141123292192
803336-9000026162829164
793337-80003102232258
783237-90001516313314
773238-8000210274021
763138-90016204231
753139-803154042
743039-901103752
733040-80163261
722940-9032770
712941-8022177
702841-911385
692842-811386
682843-71991
672743-8892
662744-7397
652644-8397
642544-9298
632444-10496
5-62100
Total:454545454535353522223333222221