San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Beat Coyotes 4-3 (so), playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.7%
47 points   23 12-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+0.1
+0.3
+0.1
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 +0.1
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.1
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Sharks-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.7+0.6
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131-139InYes100213*
130403-3In66.7%67333*
128-129InYes10047*
127384-4In94.2941586*
126385-3In94.79515188*
125375-4In87.58839345*
124376-3In85.586312668*
123366-4In79.1794171,250*
122367-3In73.1746212,155*
121357-4In64.4667273,564*
120358-3In57.2599325,976*
119348-4In47.750113908,962*
118349-3In39.5421246014,025*
117339-4In30.53413530020,560*
1163310-3In21.92614600028,535*
1153210-4In15.41914660138,757*
1143211-3In10.01413720151,957*
1133111-4In5.99127702066,252*
1123112-3In3.36108003082,148*
1113012-4In1.6498215099,548*
1102912-5In0.72782170116,837*
1092913-4In0.315812100132,136*
1082813-5In0.1147841400145,275*
1072814-4In0.00374518000157,234*
1062714-5In0.00267723000163,449*
1052715-4In0.00160929010166,110*
1042615-5InNo01511135020164,890*
1032616-4InNo00421342030158,872*
1022516-5InNo00331547050149,674*
1012517-4InNo0251552180136,250*
1002417-5100.0%No018155511100122,168*
992418-4100.0No012135621610106,143*
982318-5InNo071254422290,719*
972319-4100.0No0410496283074,652*
962219-5100.0No27437345060,015*
952220-499.9No15369409047,214*
942120-599.7No0327114413036,179*
932121-499.3No02201147191027,147*
922021-598.3No01131148252019,874*
912022-496.4No0181045333014,345*
901922-593.1No0484040709,686*
891923-487.5No026344512106,684*
881823-580.7No014265017204,385*
871824-469.9No003184825402,847*
861724-557.5No2134333911,754*
851725-444.6No01736401321,036*
841625-531.5No0328432130657*
831626-420.5No0119423071386*
821526-515.3No114373693222*
811527-48.2No828431721122*
801427-59.2No92634236265*
791428-43.1No319133825332*
781328-5OutNo720403315*
771329-4OutNo452791811*
761330-3OutNo3333333*
751230-4OutNo1003*
721132-3OutNo1001
47046-0OutNo100209
Total:99.7%2.1%33487281820000002,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)-0.2
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Sharks+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-139100
130403-36733
128-129100
127384-49415
126385-39515
125375-488039
124376-3850312
123366-4790417
122367-3731621
121357-4641727
120358-35729320
119348-4482113900
118349-3403124600
117339-430313053000
1163310-322414060000
1153210-415414066001
1143211-310413071101
1133111-4631207510200
1123112-3331007730300
1113012-422817751500
1102912-5126175810700
1092913-401416912201000
1082813-5013160184014000
1072814-40021492450171000
1062714-500113730702120000
1052715-400012535902540100
1042615-500015361012870200
1032616-400083411229130300
1022516-5000330114262100400
1012517-4001241052130107100
1002417-5000178715401083000
992418-400125894720106100
982318-50073845031101110
972319-40042824842919210
962219-521614343727420
952220-41050364553544000
942120-500302738242490000
932121-400202021014631500000
922021-5011311004722311000
912022-401809045132111100
901922-50408040040122210
891923-402063404512442100
881823-501042604902465200
871824-40031848013910610
861724-5213431391511400
851725-4017360171719920
841625-5032801413242141
831626-4011911026301030
821526-511406222820610
811527-484123029143
801427-591426261762
791428-43662522289
781429-32740277
771430-2183618189
761330-3333333
751230-4100
721132-3100
47046-0100
Total:213031175214141135010000000000000