San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 67%
72 points   30 24-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flames 3 Canucks 2 +0.7
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers vs Oilers+1.3-0.4-0.4-2.0-1.8-2.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Jets vs Coyotes-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.5+0.6+1.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Canucks vs Devils-0.7-0.8-0.6+0.3+0.4+1.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bruins vs Wild+0.8-0.2-0.2-1.1-1.1-1.0
Blues vs Senators-0.2-0.3*-0.2*+0.1*+0.2+0.3
Blackhawks vs Ducks+0.2*+0.0-0.2-0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
104160-0InNo2944847
103150-1InNo1871020857
102151-0InNo07816513,932*
101141-1InNo06322123010,210*
100142-0InNo047232190028,655*
99132-1InNo3120311702056,204*
98122-2InNo17143528150116,436*
97123-1InNo8734382110186,924*
96113-2100.0%No33264162200167,159
124-0InNo4327415200139,520*
95114-1100.0No111737103310278,071
103-3100.0No111534113720139,030*
94104-299.9No008251448400315,369
115-099.9No0010281345300183,955
93-499.8No0072215506068,264*
93105-199.4No00415155510100418,745
94-399.1No00312155613100238,973*
9295-296.6No0015125424300427,906
106-097.3No0027145421300237,661*
84-495.5No01411522740097,711
9196-189.5No000294335910473,387
85-386.8No00017403812200292,203*
9086-271.5No0042542235000431,167
97-075.2No0005284120400223,254
75-466.9No003224126710111,018*
8987-150.1No00213363414200407,111
76-344.9No00110333616300259,704*
8877-224.5No0004203728910326,889
88-028.0No0015233726810169,111
66-420.3No003173631111084,940*
8778-110.2No0019293720400270,494
67-38.1No0017263823500169,984*
8668-22.5No0021535341310187,702
79-02.7No0031535341210147,383*
8569-10.5No001625402540137,692
58-30.4No00052241285081,576*
8459-20.1No00111364011080,374
610-00.1No0212363911064,231*
83510-10.0No004254722182,005*
82410-2OutNo01134636347,274*
81411-1OutNo063848822,874*
80311-2OutNo0227571411,161*
79312-1OutNo11758244,446*
78212-2OutNo0855371,968*
77213-1OutNo044848598*
76214-0OutNo13268186*
75114-1OutNo4346247*
74115-0OutNo178312
73015-1OutNo1002
72016-0OutNo991598
Total:67.0%No0115106261813964107,205,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames 3 Canucks 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Oilers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Blackhawks vs Ducks-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1
Jets vs Coyotes+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Bruins vs Wild-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canucks vs Devils+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104160-02652914
103150-1147400102000
102151-0033440165001
101141-1019440211110300
100142-0093802317308000
99132-13282021901700020
98122-2117141817028100500
97123-108711230382001100
96113-20334214142022000
124-0043522413202000
95114-1011116374503301000
103-3111143446037020000
94104-20008253110480400000
115-000010284100450300000
93-400072231150060000
93105-1000415213550100000000
94-300031211356013000000
9295-200015012540240011000
106-000027113540210011000
84-40014011520270122100
9196-1000208433500243100
85-300010741037002541000
9086-2000425420027116100
97-00000528410027105100
75-4000322410028138200
8987-100021336001617186100
76-30001103301618208100
8877-20004200031530206100
88-000015230031629185100
66-400317031531228100
8778-10019018273218500
67-30017017253220610
8668-200200213303216300
79-00030021531311430
8569-10010051935291010
58-30000041733321220
8459-20001724382550
610-00001724372450
83510-100021234381410
82410-200422432730
81411-10110394180
80311-20042850171
79312-1011751274
78212-20745408
77213-104314817
76214-01204732
75114-12135728
74115-03367
73015-1100
72016-012376
Total:0010114010150260180012576532100