San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 44%
52 points   21 18-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings 3 Blues 1 +0.5
+0.0
Canucks 5 Coyotes 3 -0.5
-0.0
Wild 3 Stars 2 (ot)-0.5
Panthers 5 Blackhawks 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators vs Sharks-6.5*-0.3*-0.2+6.9+7.8+8.4
-0.5-0.0+0.0+0.5+0.6+0.6
Jets vs Flames+0.4-0.5-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Avalanche vs Ducks+0.3-0.4-0.3-0.5-0.6*-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118330-0In88.6%9911273
114312-0InNo1001
113291-3In50.01002
112292-2In20.070201010*
111293-1In21.27691533*
110283-2In6.248341865*
109273-3In2.03240271152*
108274-2In0.63039311359*
107264-3In0.221324510815*
106265-2In0.1163349211,710*
105255-3InNo103155413,231*
104256-2InNo6275862006,034*
103246-3InNo322601130010,294*
102247-2InNo117571860016,868*
101237-3InNo11251241101026,678*
100227-4100.0%No08413216110039,826*
99228-3100.0No05303822230057,506*
98218-4100.0No03194027560079,078*
97219-399.9No011037281111100104,693*
96209-499.6No15322518164000132,324*
952010-398.5No02241924218100161,407*
941910-494.9No0016122824154100190,548*
931911-386.9No0095272223102000215,338*
921811-472.5No0052221727197100235,189*
911812-352.8No00211510252715410247,678*
901712-432.8No0109518292511200250,503*
891713-318.1No005211253119610105,939
1612-516.3No005210243121710139,637*
881613-47.2No002041631301420231,498*
871614-32.5No0102924352460211,409*
861514-40.7No00004163333131186,610*
851515-30.2No0000182740222158,593*
841415-40.0No00031840335130,533*
831416-30.0No00011036439103,460*
821316-40.0No000528511579,130*
811317-3OutNo00220552258,435*
801217-4OutNo0113553142,075*
791218-3OutNo008514128,396*
781118-4OutNo05455019,476*
771119-3OutNo02385912,458*
761019-4OutNo132677,619*
751020-3OutNo0124754,628*
74920-4OutNo020802,681*
73921-3OutNo015851,411*
72922-2OutNo1189780*
71822-3OutNo694406*
70823-2OutNo694189*
69723-3OutNo39776*
68724-2OutNo39731*
52-67OutNo100295*
Total:44.0%0.0%01385108910111111933,306,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Wild 3 Stars 2 (ot)+0.1
Canucks 5 Coyotes 3 +0.1
Flyers 1 Blue Jackets 3 +0.0
Red Wings 3 Blues 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators vs Sharks+1.0+0.0-0.0-1.1-1.2-1.3
Jets vs Flames-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Avalanche vs Ducks-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bruins vs Penguins-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118330-0891011
114312-0100
113291-35050
112292-220502010
111293-1215563123
110283-26422212153
109273-323024161891
108274-2129231517141
107264-30211221202510
106265-201610221633200
105255-31072412434000
104256-26522652601100
103246-333194571101200
102247-2111615617125000
101237-311120512232900000
100227-40080412661151011000
99228-300503027101212012000
98218-400301924160265015000
97219-30011018200281011101100
96209-4015112102514311513000
952010-302518019178021171100
941910-4002140121513024114221000
931911-30019510170221223631000
921811-400052517017027311841000
911812-300021213010025212161141000
901712-400100950181818201351000
891713-3000052010031222231562000
881613-400002040151423251672000
871614-30010200151525261772000
861514-40000000016162627166100
851515-300000002717282715410
841415-400000282030261120
831416-30000031125322261
821316-400014163132142
811317-300182437245
801217-400315363510
791218-30018304219
781118-4004224529
771119-301144441
761019-40184051
751020-3043264
74920-4022671
73921-3120790
72922-201486
71822-3991
70823-2892
69723-3595
68724-2397
64-67100
52033-07921
Total:000103350546070913566666554210