Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Penguins 4-1, playoff odds up 0.8 to 98.5%
64 points   31 14-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Penguins 1 Kings 4 +0.8
+2.6
+0.2
Sharks 3 Sabres 4 (so)-0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Kings vs Devils+0.5+0.6+0.5*+0.0*+0.0-0.7
+3.0+2.7+2.3-0.8*-0.5-3.6
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3
Oilers vs Red Wings-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Canucks-0.2*-0.0*-0.0*+0.2*+0.2+0.2
Sabres vs Lightning-1.1-1.0-0.9*+0.2*+0.4+1.2
Flyers vs Canadiens-0.4-0.5-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-134In99.2%1001,276*
119266-3In98.110001,104*
118256-4In97.910001,902*
117257-3In95.599003,286*
116247-4In92.999105,292*
115248-3In89.89918,169*
114238-4In85.0982012,112*
113239-3In78.1973017,057*
112229-4In69.8964023,676*
1112210-3In59.9936031,136*
1102110-4In48.9919040,170*
1092111-3In37.6871210049,311*
1082011-4In26.4821710058,658*
1072012-3In17.2762120027,056
1911-5In16.4752230040,400*
1061912-4In9.3682840031,286
2013-2In9.4682840044,178*
1051913-3In4.5603460031,885
1812-5In4.1583470049,577*
1041813-4In1.749401000084,788*
1031814-3In0.53946141135,889*
1713-5In0.538461411050,291*
1021714-4In0.1284919220034,732
1815-2In0.1285019220048,995*
1011715-3In0.02050234300041,889*
1614-5In0.01850244400037,559*
1001615-4InNo1148268600030,528
1716-2InNo1148278600042,880*
991616-3InNo64226141011065,159*
981516-4InNo33423211523056,373*
971517-3100.0%No126172720451047,360*
961417-499.9No0181030229910038,174*
951418-399.5No01152920161540029,907*
941318-497.8No6224152319920022,888*
931319-393.3No31179282016510016,569*
921219-482.4No101042718221341012,007*
911220-364.5No05120132421113108,131*
901120-442.9No0301461927199205,415*
891121-324.7No018312252816513,527*
881021-410.5No0141518302612302,196*
871022-34.8No020210263220611,293*
86922-42.3No115173030142831*
85923-30.2No02112337226449*
84823-40.4No00314393310250*
83824-30.8No19254719118*
82724-4OutNo324393462*
81725-3OutNo413542924*
80625-4OutNo6256916*
79626-3OutNo75258*
64-78OutNo100101*
Total:98.5%13.0%422911652211000001,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Penguins 1 Kings 4 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings vs Devils-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Oilers vs Red Wings+0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Canucks-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-134100
121275-3991
120276-2991
119266-39820
118256-49820
117257-395400
116247-493610
115248-39091
114238-4851320
113239-37819300
112229-47026400
1112210-360336000
1102110-449428000
1092111-338491211000
1082011-426551521000
1072012-317591832000
1061912-495821731000
2013-210582173100
1051913-3455231143000
1041813-42472318550000
1914-22482218550000
1031814-31382125591010
1713-5038202651010100
1021714-4028173341520110000
1011715-3020123832030210000
1614-5018113822241220000
1001615-41174112562240000
991616-364390258528001000
981516-43233023912114101100
971517-311250178191193123000
961417-400181052502263281100
951418-3001152270207911423000
941318-46212301561701927110000
931319-33101794240201152221000
921219-41001042260180212464200
911220-3051020013024149107410
901120-4030014619027131512620
891121-3018312039162117820
881021-401415012101826199310
871022-3020200310232622930
86922-41100411232620940
85923-30241225292061
84823-4024162931163
83824-3181831348
82724-48344513
81725-34254625
80625-46132556
79626-3136325
77-78100
64035-03367
Total:1329121829241412020100000000000000