Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Flames 1-3, playoff odds down 4.4 to 64.3%
6 points   3 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flames 3 Kings 1 -4.7
-0.5
Blue Jackets 2 Sharks 4 -0.5
-0.1
Flyers 7 Ducks 1 +0.4
Jets 1 Stars 3 *+0.1
Canucks 4 Blackhawks 7 +0.0
SaturdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-162In100389*
1195318-7In991215*
1185218-8In9910276*
1175118-9In10000425*
1165119-8In9911609*
1155120-7In9811832*
1145020-8In97211,179*
1134920-9In95321,715*
1124921-8In944202,221*
1114821-9In906403,074*
1104822-8In868503,938*
1094722-9In8111804,994*
1084723-8In7613100006,411*
1074623-9In681814017,846*
1064624-8In6021170109,586*
1054524-9In51252112011,466*
1044525-8In4229251300013,583*
1034425-9In3231293500015,790*
1024426-8In2332325801018,398*
1014326-9In15313291102020,455*
1004327-8100.0%1029311215130023,053*
994227-9100.05252617202400025,424*
984228-899.9320212123471027,315*
974128-999.811614242471120029,211*
964129-899.2011925231215410030,209*
954029-997.907523191619820031,413*
944030-895.10421915212112410032,305*
933930-989.803115102321188200032,671*
923931-880.61010523182213510032,231*
913831-967.01063201423201031031,428*
903832-851.40041169212416620029,972*
893732-935.90201151626221241028,676*
883733-822.30010831123271982026,731*
873633-912.200516172726144024,569*
863634-86.3000303112329218122,520*
853534-92.800101618292813320,203*
843535-81.2100312263121517,866*
833435-90.500017203329915,424*
823436-80.20000141430351513,279*
813336-90.10002927392311,245*
803337-80.000152141319,322*
793237-9Out0031641407,756*
783238-8Out0021138496,335*
773138-9Out01734584,980*
763139-8Out0428673,936*
753039-9Out0323743,078*
742939-10Out0219802,328*
732940-9Out113861,821*
722840-10Out0111881,324*
712841-9Out0793991*
702842-8Out0595658*
692742-9Out595504*
682743-8Out397338*
672643-9Out298260*
662644-8Out199153*
652544-9Out100117*
642444-10Out19971*
6-63Out100181*
Total:64.3%99888877766665673,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames 3 Kings 1 +1.1
Blue Jackets 2 Sharks 4 +0.1
Canucks 4 Blackhawks 7 -0.1
Flyers 7 Ducks 1 -0.1
SaturdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195318-7991
1185218-898110
1175118-998200
1165119-897211
1155120-796211
1145020-892521
1134920-989632
1124921-8859420
1114821-978126040
1104822-871168050
1094722-96120110800
1084723-85026130100000
1074623-9392817113001
1064624-829312011610100
1054524-919322231921200
1044525-811312452141030000
1034425-96272382273050000
1024426-8220201120115080010
1014326-911416151616801010200
1004327-8091118111911113313000
994227-90571862014315520400000
984228-83317219156149407110
974128-911141141411101470922000
964129-801100991561810111440100
954029-90070551821713411871200
944030-800423171141298131034100
933930-9003111401091441711773100
923931-80100100551821781310621000
913831-91006032180144191011731000
903832-8000411150911971213942000
893732-900200110501639151612621000
883733-80010083011141017191593100
873633-900051601411182118104100
863634-8000303001411192319115100
853534-900101001411192420124100
843535-8100000151221252011410
833435-90000001512222520930
823436-80000000261525261871
813336-9000128192926133
803337-800014122530227
793237-9002617323013
783238-801311283720
773138-9016224129
763139-803154041
753039-901113651
742939-10173261
732940-9032670
722840-10032275
712841-911485
702842-801387
692742-91891
682743-8694
672643-9496
662644-8496
652544-9298
642444-10199
632445-9100
622446-8397
6-61100
Total:454545353435342422223333333322