Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.5%

52 points 23 4-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Devils 2 Senators 3	+0.9
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1	-0.7
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2	-0.3
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Sabres vs Stars	-0.3-1.1-0.5-0.2*+0.1+0.6
Avalanche vs Canucks	+0.5-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.7-0.3		+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Blues vs Sharks	+0.3+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.2-0.3
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings	+0.3-0.0+0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

124	-150						In		100.0	%	100																3,869	*
123		33	11		-	5	In		99.6		100	0	0														2,187	*
122		33	12		-	4	In		99.7		100	0															3,341	*
121		32	12		-	5	In		99.3		100	0	0														4,643	*
120		32	13		-	4	In		99.2		100	0	0														6,752	*
119		31	13		-	5	In		98.5		99	1	0														9,063	*
118		30	13		-	6	In		97.9		99	1	0														12,246	*
117		30	14		-	5	In		96.5		98	1	0														15,503	*
116		29	14		-	6	In		94.5		97	2	1														19,577	*
115		29	15		-	5	In		91.6		96	3	1		0												24,052	*
114		28	15		-	6	In		87.9		94	4	1		0												28,973	*
113		28	16		-	5	In		82.3		92	6	2	0	0												33,666	*
112		27	16		-	6	In		75.0		88	8	3		0												38,803	*
111		27	17		-	5	In		66.5		84	11	5	0	0												42,805	*
110		26	17		-	6	In		55.8		78	14	8	0	0												47,289	*
109		26	18		-	5	In		44.2		72	17	11	0	0												49,666	*
108		25	18		-	6	In		32.7		63	21	15	0	1		0										52,272	*
107		25	19		-	5	In		22.0		55	24	19	0	1		0										52,974	*
106		24	19		-	6	In		13.2		45	27	25	0	2		0										53,104	*
105		24	20		-	5	In		6.8		36	29	30	1	4		0										51,084	*
104		23	20		-	6	In		3.0		27	29	35	2	6		0	0									48,692	*
103		23	21		-	5	In		1.0		19	28	39	3	10	0	1	0									45,216	*
102		22	21		-	6	In		0.3		13	26	41	5	15	0	1	0									40,689	*
101		22	22		-	5	In		0.1		7	23	39	7	20	0	3	0									36,351	*
100		21	22		-	6	In		0.0		4	18	36	10	26	0	5	0									31,512	*
99		21	23		-	5	100.0	%	0.0		2	13	29	13	33	1	8	0	0								26,632	*
98		20	23		-	6	100.0		No		1	9	22	15	37	2	13	1	0								22,221	*
97		20	24		-	5	99.9		No		0	6	15	16	38	4	19	2	0								17,893	*
96		19	24		-	6	99.8		No		0	3	8	14	36	7	26	5	0								14,100	*
95		19	25		-	5	99.2		No		0	2	4	12	31	9	32	8	1	0							11,130	*
94		18	25		-	6	98.1		No		0	1	2	9	23	12	37	14	2	0	0						8,258	*
93		18	26		-	5	95.8		No			0	1	6	14	13	40	22	4	0							6,226	*
92		17	26		-	6	91.1		No			0	0	4	9	13	37	29	8	1	0	0					4,436	*
91		17	27		-	5	81.8		No			0	0	1	4	10	32	35	15	3	0	0					3,078	*
90		16	27		-	6	69.4		No					1	2	9	23	35	22	7	1						2,040	*
89		16	28		-	5	52.9		No					0	0	4	15	33	30	13	3	1					1,420	*
88		15	28		-	6	38.2		No						0	3	7	28	33	22	5	1	0				947	*
87		15	29		-	5	23.1		No						0	1	3	18	34	24	16	3	0				620	*
86		14	29		-	6	13.4		No							1	1	11	30	32	19	5	1				387	*
85		14	30		-	5	5.8		No							0	1	4	19	32	31	8	4				226	*
84		13	30		-	6	3.4		No									3	3	27	35	25	6				117	*
83		14	32		-	3	Out		No										3	20	42	25	10				96	*
82		13	32		-	4	Out		No										5	13	38	26	15	3			39	*
81		12	32		-	5	Out		No											4	30	35	30				23	*
80		11	32		-	6	Out		No												25	38	31	6			16	*
79		12	34		-	3	Out		No												14	29	57				7	*
78		11	34		-	4	Out		No													50		50			2	*
77		9	33		-	7	Out		No															100			1
75	-76						Out		No														100				3	*
52	-74						Out		No															100			73	*

Total:							99.5	%	34.0	%	50	16	18	3	8	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)	+0.1
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Canucks	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Blues vs Sharks	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

127	-150						100
126		35	10		-	4	100	0
124	-125						100
123		33	11		-	5	100	0	0		0
122		33	12		-	4	100	0	0
121		32	12		-	5	99	0	0		0
120		32	13		-	4	99	0	0		0
119		31	13		-	5	98	1	1		0
118		30	13		-	6	98	1	1		0
117		30	14		-	5	96	2	1		0
116		29	14		-	6	95	3	2		1
115		29	15		-	5	92	4	3	0	1				0
114		28	15		-	6	88	6	4		1				0
113		28	16		-	5	82	9	6	0	2	0	0		0
112		27	16		-	6	75	13	8	0	3	0			0
111		27	17		-	5	66	17	11	0	5	0	0		0
110		26	17		-	6	56	22	14	0	8	0	0		0
109		26	18		-	5	44	27	17	0	11	0	0		0
108		25	18		-	6	33	31	20	1	14	1	0		1				0
107		25	19		-	5	22	33	22	2	18	1	0		1	0			0
106		24	19		-	6	13	32	23	4	22	3	0		2	0			0
105		24	20		-	5	7	29	23	7	24	7	1	0	4	0			0
104		23	20		-	6	3	24	20	9	24	11	2	0	6	0			0		0
103		23	21		-	5	1	18	16	13	21	18	3	0	9	1	0		1		0
102		22	21		-	6	0	12	11	15	16	25	4	0	13	2	0		1	0	0
101		22	22		-	5	0	7	7	16	10	30	7	1	15	5	0	0	3	0	0
100		21	22		-	6	0	4	4	15	5	31	8	2	16	10	0	0	4	0	0	0
99		21	23		-	5	0	2	2	12	2	27	8	5	15	18	1	0	7	1	0		0
98		20	23		-	6		1	1	8	0	21	7	8	11	27	2	0	10	3	1	0	0
97		20	24		-	5		0	0	6	0	14	5	11	6	32	3	1	11	8	2	0	0	0
96		19	24		-	6		0	0	3		8	3	12	2	34	5	2	11	15	4	1	0	0
95		19	25		-	5		0	0	2		4	1	11	1	31	4	5	8	24	6	3	1	0
94		18	25		-	6		0		1		2	0	8	0	23	4	8	4	33	7	7	2	0	0		0
93		18	26		-	5				0		1	0	5	0	14	2	11	2	38	6	15	3	1	0	0
92		17	26		-	6				0		0		4		9	1	11	1	36	4	25	4	3	1	0	0	0
91		17	27		-	5				0		0		1		4	0	10	0	32	2	33	4	6	5	3	1	0	0
90		16	27		-	6								1		2	0	9		23	0	35	2	8	8	7	4	1	0	0
89		16	28		-	5								0		0		4		15		33	1	4	9	12	11	7	2	0	0
88		15	28		-	6										0		3		7		28	0	2	8	14	17	13	5	1	0
87		15	29		-	5										0		1		3		18		0	3	11	20	20	14	7	1	0
86		14	29		-	6												1		1		11		0	1	5	15	26	21	11	6	1	0
85		14	30		-	5												0		1		4				2	10	13	24	25	14	5	1
84		13	30		-	6																3					1	6	21	23	26	11	6	2
83		14	32		-	3																					1	2	9	25	30	24	5	3
82		13	32		-	4																						3	3	15	31	31	15	3
81		12	32		-	5																								13	22	17	30	17
80		11	32		-	6																									19	25	44	6	6
79		11	33		-	5																									14	14	29	43
78		11	34		-	4																											50	50
75	-77																																	100
74		8	35		-	6																													100
52		0	49		-	0																														100

Total:							34	16	11	5	10	8	2	1	4	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0