Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Red Wings 2-5, playoff odds down 14.1 to 57.2%
82 points   38 31-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings 5 Kings 2 -15.8
-0.7
Stars 2 Sabres 6 +1.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks vs Red Wings+2.0-2.2-1.9-3.2-3.1-0.4
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Avalanche vs Rangers-1.4-1.3-1.4*+0.0*-0.2+1.9
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Flames vs Blue Jackets-1.1-1.1-1.3*-0.1*-0.1+1.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Coyotes vs Penguins-0.3-0.5*-0.2*+0.0+0.5+0.4
Flyers vs Wild+0.2*+0.2*-0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9670-0In9010022,878
9560-1In74232036,915
9461-0100.0%52381010122,036
50-2100.05039101025,648
9351-199.6264324500170,301
40-399.5254325619,808
9252-097.21033371730281,933
41-296.993238183098,830
30-496.59313919302,335
9142-188.32153734111325,931
31-387.3214363512130,311
20-589.5216373591325
9043-069.40523422740360,849
32-268.70422422740151,685
21-467.204214229405,299
10-676.25510572421
8933-141.001833441400335,164
22-339.80173245151034,770
11-535.963048160462
00-7Out1001
8834-018.200216473130278,571
23-217.80216473130116,553
12-417.701164732404,042
01-617.417433923
8724-14.4043250141193,776
13-33.904304916117,902
02-52.732252231182
8625-00.80116493130128,509
14-20.8011547334044,324
03-40.81124538401,008
8515-10.003305412059,442
04-3Out325601303,529
8416-00.0011456263032,794
05-20.001105927306,810
8306-1Out0242451017,553
8207-0Out0234924303,940
Total:57.2%71217212214610002,914,460
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings 5 Kings 2 +1.3
Stars 2 Sabres 6 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Blue Jackets+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Avalanche vs Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1
Ducks vs Red Wings-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.0
Jets vs Maple Leafs-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Coyotes vs Penguins+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9670-00901900
9560-10740230200
9461-052038090100
50-250038010010
9351-12604302415000
40-325430251500
9252-010330370161100
41-29320380171200
30-493139118210
9142-121503703437200
31-32143603537200
20-521637351720
9043-0052304231510200
32-204220423151120
21-40421423161120
10-6551057195
8933-101833218251220
22-301732218261320
11-5630120261520
00-7100
8834-00021611130291010
23-2021611130301010
12-4011601030301010
01-6174303017
8724-1040318382970
13-3040318372980
02-531414333313
8625-00101727412220
14-201016264123200
03-41052242263
8515-1001934451000
04-3173150110
8416-0000217522530
05-200214552630
8306-10340431310
8207-0020452770
Total:07012017021181111741000