Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Predators 5-1, playoff odds up 0.9 to 96.7%
42 points   18 3-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Kings 5 Predators 1 +1.1
+3.3
+0.3
Flames 3 Blue Jackets 2 (so)*-0.2
Blues 3 Panthers 2 -0.1
Ducks 4 Bruins 2 *-0.1
-0.0
Hurricanes 1 Sabres 2 -0.5
Penguins 1 Lightning 2 -0.4
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 1 -0.4
Red Wings 3 Avalanche 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Sharks+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-152In99.9%1002,341*
1223712-6In99.810001,351*
1213713-5In99.610002,011*
1203613-6In99.2100002,952*
1193614-5In99.1100004,191*
1183514-6In98.0100005,756*
1173515-5In96.899007,958*
1163415-6In95.0991110,376*
1153416-5In92.59811013,317*
1143316-6In89.39712017,254*
1133317-5In84.29523021,135*
1123217-6In78.19334025,490*
1113218-5In70.290460030,484*
1103118-6In60.686580035,399*
1093119-5In49.58171200039,983*
1083019-6In38.77591601044,478*
1073020-5In27.267112001048,567*
1062920-6In17.7581326030051,171*
1052820-7In10.049153205053,479*
1042821-6In5.0391637071054,527*
1032721-7100.0%1.9291741111010054,913*
1022722-6100.00.6211643216020053,576*
1012622-7100.00.1141542323040051,399*
1002623-6100.00.081239428071048,621*
992523-7100.0No410336340121044,568*
982524-699.8No27258371173040,569*
972424-799.5No151783822461035,588*
962425-698.9No031083433091030,634*
952325-797.5No015729535152026,236*
942326-694.8No0126217372250022,160*
932226-789.6No0131373629910017,888*
922227-681.8No002773135153014,308*
912127-769.9No0013623372371011,180*
902128-656.2No0014163430112008,712*
892129-539.7No000292835195106,661*
882029-625.2No0014193327113004,743*
872030-514.9No0012122831186103,493*
861930-66.6No001521312712302,373*
851931-53.3No00313253220711,650*
841831-61.0No172032281111,153*
831832-50.1No05133033163768*
821732-6OutNo172335268485*
811733-5OutNo1416333115321*
801633-6OutNo210283822178*
791533-7OutNo7234624111*
781534-6OutNo22393974*
771434-7OutNo33454829*
761536-4OutNo9573523*
751436-5OutNo406020*
741437-4OutNo1002
731539-1OutNo50502*
42-72OutNo10082*
Total:96.7%22.3%40921212174210000954,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 5 Predators 1 -0.6
Ducks 4 Bruins 2 +0.1
Flames 3 Blue Jackets 2 (so)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Sharks-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-152100
1274010-5991
1264011-4100
1253911-51000
1243811-6100
1233812-51000
1223712-610000
1213713-510000
1203613-699100
1193614-599100
1183514-698200
1173515-597300
1163415-695411
1153416-59251100
1143316-68981020
1133317-58411230
1123217-6781530400
1113218-57020406000
1103118-66125508000
1093119-5503170120000
1083019-6393680151010
1073020-527401011910100
1062920-6184111223303000
1052820-710391232560400
1042821-65341152611007010
1032721-722710723181011101000
1022722-61207918251014202000
1012622-701351012302018504000
1002623-60831063331199070100
992523-741823042171700111100
982524-620712544122410143300
972424-710501736731201685010
962425-6003010273322115158110
952325-701516128321124114200
942326-6012050212463112104100
932226-70103013162341019731000
922227-60020716131629863100
912127-700130602323579852000
902128-6001040161344912106210
892129-5000029027261216148310
882029-60014190271621168310
872030-500121201391823189310
861930-600150141221251910300
851931-5003001412232617931
841831-61161725241961
831832-500292126231540
821732-601311232522142
811733-5161525261971
801633-611519312913
791533-73113630192
781534-692438244
771434-73734487
761536-41730439
751436-5404515
741437-4100
731539-15050
42-72100
Total:2218541011116701342210000000000000