Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Flyers 2-1 (so), playoff odds up 1.5 to 97.3%
75 points   36 21-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Kings 2 Flyers 1 (so)+1.5
+0.1
+0.3
Oilers 3 Devils 2 (so)-0.2
Sabres 3 Jets 2 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Flames+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.2*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Capitals vs Predators+0.1*+0.2*+0.1-0.2*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119220-0In86.9%99199
117211-0In75.088138*
116201-1In58.396424*
115191-2In46.395580*
114192-1In39.8928274*
113182-2In30.9919728*
112183-1In20.485151,546*
111173-2In13.6792103,121*
110174-1In7.973275,890*
109164-2In4.06436010,346*
108165-1In1.85644016,825*
107155-2In0.747530026,527*
106145-3In0.238620037,789*
105146-2In0.130700051,464*
104136-3In0.0217810030,872
147-1InNo22771035,810*
103137-2InNo158320043,076
126-4InNo148320038,286*
102127-3InNo986310043,624
138-1InNo98631049,967*
101128-2InNo587530072,792*
117-4InNo5876300030,041
100118-3InNo2847610049,929
129-1InNo3847610057,473*
99119-2InNo17781210074,904*
108-4InNo176913200031,964
98109-3InNo066821310047,271
1110-1InNo066821310053,181*
971010-2InNo054631631046,776
99-4InNo052632631043,950*
96910-3100.0%No0384399820036,450
1011-1100.0No03944087200040,975*
95911-299.8No025241916510063,359*
94811-398.6No150377278510048,371*
93812-294.2No7027434111151036,308*
92712-382.4No301713410181341024,991*
91713-262.6No109027619221230016,714*
90613-338.4No04018214272491010,402*
89614-217.6No01917233221606,373*
88514-37.4No0040314313114203,618*
87515-21.9No01016223728501,910*
86516-10.5No12113440111990*
85416-20.2No042646213447*
84417-1OutNo11549278177*
83317-2OutNo1735401775*
82318-1OutNo336421833*
81218-2OutNo1375138*
80219-1OutNo50502*
79220-0OutNo1001
75022-0OutNo289099
Total:97.3%0.2%96041425111100001,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 2 Flyers 1 (so)-0.6
Oilers 3 Devils 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Flames-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canucks vs Sharks-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119220-087121
117211-0751313
116201-158384
115191-246495
114192-1405280
113182-2316090
112183-12064141
111173-2146519200
110174-1865225
109164-24602790
108165-1255291400
107155-21463122000
106145-30383032000
105146-20292743000
104136-302123540100
147-12223540100
103137-215186502000
126-4141865020000
102127-3913730310000
138-191373031000
101128-258780520000
117-4587905200000
100118-3247907520000
129-13579075100000
99119-212750875010000
108-4127409850200000
98109-30165810120310000
1110-10166089110310000
971010-20053692106210100
99-400526102206210100
96910-3003847320953020000
1011-1003947320853020000
95911-200252438979050100000
94811-301501367719080511000
93812-2700274430011011122100
92712-33001712321001713652100
91713-210090027601902711105200
90613-30400182140141118168310
89614-20191701616232112310
88514-3004030181726241231
87515-201010281826291320
86516-110027203427910
85416-2003924372150
84417-15173333112
83317-21817392312
82318-1321422112
81218-213255013
80219-15050
79220-0100
75022-021088
Total:0995204410021401010000000000000