Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.5%
52 points   23 4-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.9
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 -0.7
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.3
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Sabres vs Stars-0.3-1.1*-0.5*-0.2*+0.1+0.6
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.5*-0.0*-0.2*-0.1*-0.7-0.3
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Blues vs Sharks+0.3*+0.4*+0.4*-0.1*-0.2-0.3
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+0.3*-0.0*+0.2*-0.1*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-150In100.0%1003,869*
1233311-5In99.6100002,187*
1223312-4In99.710003,341*
1213212-5In99.3100004,643*
1203213-4In99.2100006,752*
1193113-5In98.599109,063*
1183013-6In97.9991012,246*
1173014-5In96.5981015,503*
1162914-6In94.5972119,577*
1152915-5In91.69631024,052*
1142815-6In87.99441028,973*
1132816-5In82.392620033,666*
1122716-6In75.08883038,803*
1112717-5In66.5841150042,805*
1102617-6In55.8781480047,289*
1092618-5In44.27217110049,666*
1082518-6In32.763211501052,272*
1072519-5In22.055241901052,974*
1062419-6In13.245272502053,104*
1052420-5In6.836293014051,084*
1042320-6In3.0272935260048,692*
1032321-5In1.019283931001045,216*
1022221-6In0.313264151501040,689*
1012222-5In0.17233972003036,351*
1002122-6In0.041836102605031,512*
992123-5100.0%0.0213291333180026,632*
982023-6100.0No192215372131022,221*
972024-599.9No061516384192017,893*
961924-699.8No03814367265014,100*
951925-599.2No024123193281011,130*
941825-698.1No0129231237142008,258*
931826-595.8No01614134022406,226*
921726-691.1No004913372981004,436*
911727-581.8No0014103235153003,078*
901627-669.4No129233522712,040*
891628-552.9No00415333013311,420*
881528-638.2No037283322510947*
871529-523.1No0131834241630620*
861429-613.4No111130321951387*
851430-55.8No01419323184226*
841330-63.4No332735256117*
831432-3OutNo32042251096*
821332-4OutNo513382615339*
811232-5OutNo430353023*
801132-6OutNo253831616*
791234-3OutNo1429577*
781134-4OutNo50502*
77933-7OutNo1001
75-76OutNo1003*
52-74OutNo10073*
Total:99.5%34.0%50161838131000000874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+0.1
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Blues vs Sharks-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-150100
1263510-41000
124-125100
1233311-5100000
1223312-410000
1213212-599000
1203213-499000
1193113-598110
1183013-698110
1173014-596210
1162914-695321
1152915-59243010
1142815-6886410
1132816-5829602000
1122716-6751380300
1112717-566171105000
1102617-656221408000
1092618-5442717011000
1082518-63331201141010
1072519-522332221810100
1062419-613322342230200
1052420-572923724710400
1042320-63242092411206000
1032321-5118161321183091010
1022221-601211151625401320100
1012222-50771610307115500300
1002122-604415531821610004000
992123-502212227851518107100
982023-611802178112720103100
972024-5006014511632311182000
961924-600383122345211154100
951925-50024111131458246310
941825-60120802348433772000
931826-501050142112386153100
921726-60049111136425431000
911727-500140100322334653100
901627-612092303528874100
891628-5004153314912117200
881528-603728028141713510
871529-5013180311202014710
861429-6111101515262111610
851430-50142101324251451
841330-63162123261162
831432-312925302453
821332-433153131153
811232-51322173017
801132-619254466
791133-514142943
781134-45050
75-77100
74835-6100
52049-0100
Total:3416115108214400120100000000000000