Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Flyers 3-4 (so), playoff odds down 1.9 to 53.5%
49 points   22 19-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kings 3 Flyers 4 (so)-0.9
-0.1
Wild 2 Rangers 1 (ot)*-0.6
Avalanche 1 Oilers 3 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Islanders vs Canucks+1.0*-0.3*-0.3*-0.5*-0.8-0.8
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Jets vs Hurricanes-0.5*-0.5-0.8*+0.3*+0.7+0.6
Flames vs Coyotes*-0.0*-0.4-0.8-0.7-0.9+0.4
Red Wings vs Predators+0.4*+0.0*-0.4*-0.2*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121360-0In92.3%95565
115311-4InYes1001
113302-4In25.025754*
112303-3InNo1005*
111304-2In20.0455520*
110294-3In6.7208030*
109295-2In1.63293261*
108285-3In1.610836124*
107275-4InNo30888267*
106276-3InNo3850111528*
105266-4In0.12790190911*
104267-3InNo10742401,536*
103257-4InNo006503312,556*
102258-3InNo0055141204,046*
101248-4InNo00471470405,900*
100249-3InNo00372540708,607*
99239-4100.0%No283580110012,136*
982310-3100.0No00184601161016,795*
972210-4100.0No0124581242021,789*
962211-399.9No63522314027,387*
952111-499.4No334343981033,551*
942112-398.8No1232644141039,533*
932012-496.8No01218452130045,410*
922013-392.8No01119432971050,226*
911913-485.6No00583537132027,375*
2014-286.2No006836361220026,192*
901914-373.6No002626402150055,631*
891814-457.1No0141637301120055,831*
881815-338.5No002828362051055,008*
871715-422.4No0131834291220051,710*
861716-310.5No01927342171047,429*
851616-44.2No004173230143042,295*
841617-31.4No00182535237136,827*
831517-40.4No000416323214230,548*
821518-30.1No0018253822524,847*
811418-40.0No004173633919,615*
801419-3OutNo021030411714,878*
791319-4OutNo00524452611,014*
781320-3OutNo021644387,918*
771220-4OutNo011040495,565*
761221-3OutNo00634593,744*
751121-4OutNo0327702,312*
741122-3OutNo0121771,503*
731022-4OutNo11783899*
721023-3OutNo01189570*
71923-4OutNo694312*
70823-5OutNo397159*
69824-4OutNo69487*
68825-3OutNo29841*
49-67OutNo100102*
Total:53.5%0.0%0031133181613109753793,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 3 Flyers 4 (so)+0.1
Avalanche 1 Oilers 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders vs Canucks-0.2+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Jets vs Hurricanes+0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.0
Flames vs Coyotes+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Capitals vs Senators-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121360-09235
115311-4100
113302-42575
112303-3100
111304-2202555
110294-371380
109295-22228772
108285-3298036
107275-43076128
106276-3368170111
105266-402562301800
104267-310042322310
103257-400283703121
102258-30016401036620
101248-4008401036110400
100249-30043311342000600
99239-412621263100101000
982310-30001812184300133100
972210-400121394810168200
962211-30603449211616410
952111-430314223122662100
942112-310203225836861000
932012-4001021173428132100
922013-30101118142524421000
911913-4005080363344542000
901914-30020502613937862000
891814-4010401603726121372000
881815-30028028141119178200
871715-4013180171724188200
861716-3019003102226188200
851616-40040014132427187200
841617-30010016162626166100
831517-4000002718282614410
821518-30000292130241020
811418-4000141327311960
801419-300161832291220
791319-40021027362140
781320-301518363280
771220-4002113240151
761221-30172543241
751121-4031646333
741122-3011243405
731022-400536527
721023-33315710
71923-42225918
70823-51166123
69824-4155332
68724-575934
67725-455541
66726-32971
65626-43367
63628-2100
49036-0100
Total:000013012110331521412356665443210