Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Red Wings 1-2, playoff odds down 4.8 to 76.4%
40 points   18 12-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -4.2
-0.5
-0.4
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)*-0.4
Predators 1 Wild 2 *-0.1
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Sharks+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-136InYes100115*
117367-5In94.3%961370*
116368-4In91.9952286*
115369-3In85.58929172*
114359-4In80.58659298*
113349-5In74.1835120506*
1123410-4In65.5756190770*
1113310-5In57.26892311,266*
1103311-4In46.062102712,047*
1093211-5In33.9521134033,049*
1083212-4In24.74413380404,339*
1073112-5In15.43414450606,205*
1063113-4In9.126144811008,408*
1053013-5In4.0191451115111,421*
1043014-4In1.612125222002014,882*
1032914-5In0.58104932603018,737*
1022814-6In0.1484443306023,340*
1012815-5100.0%0.02637639090028,247*
1002715-6100.0No14298430141033,367*
992716-5100.00.003219451201038,390*
982616-6100.0No01149452263043,104*
972617-599.9No01884143440047,199*
962517-699.6No00463554080050,518*
952518-599.1No0025277451210052,297*
942418-697.8No01319847192053,522*
932419-595.4No002129462640053,438*
922319-690.5No00178423391051,795*
912320-583.0No0013635381420049,481*
902220-671.7No0015254022610045,802*
892221-557.8No0131738291120041,710*
882121-642.5No00210313418510036,596*
872122-528.0No00152234251020032,035*
862022-616.7No0021430301751027,147*
852023-59.0No0018233324102022,399*
841923-63.9No004153030164018,098*
831924-51.6No00182433239114,421*
821824-60.7No001417313015211,027*
811825-50.2No021027352158,301*
801725-60.1No001619362996,112*
791726-5OutNo03143236154,471*
781626-6OutNo0172842223,035*
771627-5OutNo042143322,262*
761527-6OutNo021542401,400*
751528-5OutNo194150902*
741428-6OutNo053362571*
731429-5OutNo32770385*
721329-6OutNo32077212*
711330-5OutNo1684134*
701331-4OutNo148666*
691332-3OutNo109049*
681232-4OutNo49625*
671132-5OutNo33679*
40-66OutNo10082*
Total:76.4%0.9%221031832315964311874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 +0.9
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+0.1
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.0
Hurricanes 2 Panthers 1 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Sharks-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Stars-0.0+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-136100
117367-594113
116368-492322
115369-385329
114359-481559
113349-57485120
1123410-4651061900
1113310-5571092301
1103311-446161002601
1093211-5341911033103
1083212-42519131371040
1073112-515191314230600
1063113-491713243511000
1053013-541511342911401
1043014-421194371520191020
1032914-517642921302520300
1022814-604441925402940600
1012815-5022410275131909000
1002715-61135256128150013110
992716-5000221963222310183100
982616-600101344143120216200
972617-500108357343021124000
962517-6000041533241192271000
952518-500021412643133293100
942418-6010301935740109200
932419-500020122734391731000
922319-60001717141627531000
912320-500013060343365542100
902220-60010402513937863100
892221-501031703726101284100
882121-600021003113915161041000
872122-5001522014121919114100
862022-600214001616242011410
852023-500180003920262010310
841923-6004014122326199200
831924-50010015152527177200
821824-6001002719272514510
811825-500013102229241020
801725-6000151427301940
791726-5002821322791
781626-6003132935172
771627-50172337275
761527-6021836368
751528-5019334116
741428-604255219
731429-52204830
721329-61134342
711330-584250
701230-624850
691332-322473
681131-61684
671132-55644
661133-42080
40-65100
Total:111146126111271731211223332221100