Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 87.4%
36 points   16 8-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 1 Sharks 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Coyotes vs Canucks-0.5-0.5-0.5*+0.2*+0.3+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Canadiens vs Oilers+0.8*-0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6
Wild vs Panthers-0.1*-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Predators vs Jets+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Maple Leafs vs Sharks+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-144InYes100255*
123418-5In97.1%97335*
122419-4In94.2941469*
121398-7In81.285510101*
120399-6In79.486212247*
1193910-5In78.984611388*
1183810-6In67.1757180627*
1173811-5In59.56972311,111*
1163711-6In49.96092911,799*
1153712-5In38.9531134202,840*
1143612-6In29.644124044,399*
1133613-5In20.93513470606,789*
1123513-6In13.12712520909,725*
1113514-5In7.3201254013113,932*
1103414-6In3.81411560181019,385*
1093415-5In1.999560242026,536*
1083315-6In0.768530303034,819*
1073316-5In0.336490365045,139*
1063216-6In0.124431428056,598*
1053217-5In0.01335148012069,785*
1043117-6InNo0229150017083,842*
1033118-5100.0%0.001221520231098,319*
1023018-6100.0No011515103010112,403*
1013019-5100.0No001114803820126,308*
1002919-6100.0No00714304530139,282*
992920-599.9No004137051500148,479*
982820-699.8No002131057800155,628*
972821-599.5No011241601310159,998*
962721-698.9No010181621710160,302*
952722-598.0No00131602320157,427*
942622-696.3No00915730400151,345*
932623-593.7No0051513660141,449*
922523-689.8No003144421010130,379*
912524-584.2No0021364615100117,571*
902424-676.6No0011284721300103,154*
892425-566.8No00020462850089,228*
882325-655.6No00144234910074,590*
872326-544.1No00935391520061,526*
862226-632.2No00527412151049,404*
852227-522.1No03193829910039,296*
842127-613.3No011234341530030,351*
832128-57.6No01726362371022,873*
822028-63.6No03193529122017,183*
812029-51.6No02123034183012,235*
801929-60.8No17243626608,644*
791930-50.3No031635331116,119*
781830-60.1No021030381734,098*
771831-5OutNo1624392552,705*
761731-6OutNo0317363681,693*
751732-50.1No02123638131,127*
741632-6OutNo07324317665*
731633-5OutNo15254327395*
721533-6OutNo3164537246*
711534-5OutNo1124344152*
701535-4OutNo7444973*
691334-7OutNo5217439*
681436-4OutNo386226*
671336-5OutNo109010*
661236-6OutNo10108010*
36-65OutNo100227*
Total:87.4%0.4%119122036187311002,703,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Sharks 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs vs Sharks-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Canucks-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Oilers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-144100
123418-5973
122419-49414
121398-7814510
120399-6797212
1193910-5795611
1183810-66787180
1173811-55910702301
1163711-6501192901
1153712-5391411034020
1143612-630141204014
1133613-52114120461060
1123513-613131115020900
1113514-57131115040131
1103414-6410102497018010
1093415-527824610024020
1083315-615524013029030
1073316-50342321700351500
1063216-60222232010402800
1053217-5011215211043501200
1043117-60019201042901700
1033118-50001418103813023110
1023018-60012141032190292100
1013019-500011010232500344200
1002919-60000711152800378300
992920-500004018290037145000
982820-600002014270034238100
972821-50010112300273311210
962721-601000180019431351000
952722-500001301114914102000
942622-60000901551121831000
932623-5000501249927421000
922523-6003011435364321000
912524-5002010363434542100
902424-60010102814636752100
892425-500000200462591062000
882325-60014042138131161000
872326-500090350261417124100
862226-600527013112020103000
852227-5031900161725188200
842127-60112003122426155100
832128-501701618282411300
822028-60300211252919820
812029-50201518292714410
801929-6100210243123820
791930-500151530291730
781830-60002923342381
771831-514163132142
761731-60292634245
751732-501520362890
741632-604123635130
731633-5292643200
721533-6042044301
711534-511443393
701535-41845441
691334-73323693
681436-44384612
671336-58020
661236-610107010
63-65100
36054-0100
Total:01104500101200142251311122211100000