Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.009 to 99.9%
62 points   29 13-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks 1 Canucks 2 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks vs Stars+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
134360-0In93.5%937276
129321-3In25.025754*
128322-2In71.4792114*
127323-1In44.4505036*
126313-2In19.8237786*
125303-3In13.11981237*
124304-2In9.21684509*
123294-3In5.71090962*
122295-2In3.59912,105*
121285-3In2.36943,996*
120286-2In0.939707,234*
119276-3In0.4209812,142*
118277-2In0.119919,806*
117267-3In0.11099030,166*
116257-4In0.01099044,430*
115258-3In0.00100062,928*
114248-4In0.000100085,203*
113249-3In0.0010000111,270*
112239-4InNo010000139,311*
1112310-3InNo0010000167,360*
1102210-4InNo009901194,586*
1092211-3InNo009802218,415*
1082111-4InNo0097030235,387*
1072112-3InNo0096040245,849*
1062012-4InNo0093060248,241*
1052013-3InNo00891100241,753*
1041913-4InNo008421400227,135*
1031914-3InNo007841900207,817*
1021814-4InNo0069625000182,440*
1011815-3InNo0059832010155,299*
1001715-4InNo0481239010128,610*
991716-3InNo0361447130103,068*
981616-4100.0%No251652250079,826*
971617-3100.0No151756380059,565*
961517-4100.0No915567141043,485*
951518-399.9No4125110212030,587*
941418-499.8No184315284020,955*
931419-399.4No1631193581013,803*
921319-498.3No0320194015208,669*
911320-396.3No0112194123405,419*
901220-491.1No151638318103,271*
891221-383.0No0211313815201,851*
881121-470.2No182141255001,025*
871122-351.5No041136351210542*
861022-439.0No273039184328*
851023-322.1No51744277145*
84923-414.9No114283422187*
83924-36.5No6323226331*
82925-2OutNo833332512*
81724-5OutNo2550254*
80826-225.0No2525504*
62036-0OutNo0100276
Total:99.9%0.0%00813141100000003,346,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Sharks 1 Canucks 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks vs Stars-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
134360-0937
129321-32575
128322-271721
127323-144650
126313-220377
125303-313581
124304-29684
123294-36490
122295-24591
121285-323940
120286-2139700
119276-3020980
118277-201980
117267-30109900
116257-40009910
115258-3009810
114248-40009820
113249-30096400
112239-4093600
1112310-300891000
1102210-40083160010
1092211-30075230010
1082111-400663200200
1072112-300544200400
1062012-400415200600
1052013-300296110910
1041913-400186620113000
1031914-300106821135000
1021814-40046532141100000
1011815-30025845131900100
1001715-4004738102900100
991716-30036312740002100
981616-40252144491132000
971617-30151161551235000
961517-49014055253101000
951518-340120512931811000
941418-410843114126130000
931419-310631118134170000
921319-4032001904011411000
911320-3011201904102201110
901220-415163803112420
891221-30211031038136610
881121-4182141031010510
871122-304113602122012310
861022-4273018242070
851023-3517626281341
84923-4114293124153
83924-3619133513103
82925-281717508
81724-52575
80826-225252525
62036-033670
Total:0000453612580001000000000000000