Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 83.9%
51 points   21 14-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stars 2 Oilers 4 -0.7
-0.1
Wild 6 Blues 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Flames vs Ducks-4.2*-0.2-0.3+3.7+4.1+4.5
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Blues vs Maple Leafs-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.1*+0.3+0.5
Avalanche vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.3-0.3*+0.0-0.4+0.3
Jets vs Lightning-0.2*-0.3-0.2*+0.2*+0.1+0.4
Predators vs Rangers-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119-127InYes100282*
118323-3In70.8%96424*
117324-2In81.0972263*
116314-3In70.99614134*
115315-2In57.19244301*
114305-3In49.68965615*
113306-2In40.784881,225*
112296-3In27.97612122,308*
111286-4In18.06915164,119*
110287-3In10.0601822007,002*
109277-4In5.74922290011,377*
108278-3In2.24024350017,812*
107268-4In0.93126420027,004*
106269-3In0.222265011039,193*
105259-4In0.015255622054,388*
1042510-3In0.0102361430073,183*
1032410-4InNo51963750096,249*
1022411-3InNo31661118000121,160*
1012311-4InNo112561713010146,947*
1002312-3InNo19482318010171,574*
992212-4InNo06372924130195,550*
982213-3100.0%No032633293500214,176*
972113-4100.0No021633327910228,757*
962114-399.9No01931321214200235,802*
952014-499.7No0426281820400236,136*
942015-398.8No02192124258100228,705*
931915-496.0No0113132728154000215,619*
921916-389.8No00872627238200195,378*
911816-478.0No004321212816510173,649*
901817-361.1No00211514292511300148,711*
891717-441.8No10107233020710123,667*
881718-324.4No005315292815400100,260*
871618-411.8No0031822322391078,680*
861619-34.8No0103142931174059,759*
851519-41.6No010172234268143,995*
841520-30.5No0000314313415231,446*
831420-40.1No0017243925422,006*
821421-30.0No00003163735814,631*
811321-40.0No00193344139,685*
801322-3OutNo0052548216,117*
791222-4OutNo021950303,683*
781223-3OutNo011149392,215*
771123-4OutNo0741511,263*
761124-3OutNo143660681*
751024-4OutNo22870357*
741025-3OutNo12475212*
73925-4OutNo158599*
72926-3OutNo59540*
71826-4OutNo109030*
51-70OutNo100291*
Total:83.9%0.1%25191615101186432103,346,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars 2 Oilers 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Ducks+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.1
Avalanche vs Blackhawks-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Blue Jackets vs Devils*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-127100
118323-371254
117324-2811622
116314-3712514
115315-2573544
114305-35039605
113306-241447080
112296-32848102111
111286-41851123151
110287-3105014419300
109277-464415722600
108278-323814112312000
107268-413012142320000
106269-3022917212910100
105259-4015718164020100
1042510-301051811504021000
1032410-453176577132000
1022411-33115358102350000
1012311-41111155134310000000
1002312-3108047168316001100
992212-40060371613222101100
982213-300302614191283014000
972113-40021610230325117000
962114-300196250328411311000
952014-40432302899119130000
942015-30211802191502517100000
931915-40101213621028114121000
921916-30008732302702224310000
911816-40004312002102815752100
901817-30002101514029151012831000
891717-401001070230291616104100
881718-30005315014132120124100
871618-40003180026172422124100
861619-30103002919262212410
851519-401010131021272211300
841520-30000001412232921820
831420-40000151527301850
821421-30000017193128122
811321-4012102635224
801322-300151834329
791222-40210314116
781223-314244526
771123-402154538
761124-30193951
751024-4053262
741025-323068
73925-412178
72926-31388
71826-41387
69-70100
68728-35050
51038-02872
Total:0214217510114370100701222222111000