Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 56.9%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 2 Oilers 3 (ot)-0.4
-0.1
Islanders 1 Blues 3 -0.3
Canucks 2 Kings 3 (so)*-0.2
Jets 4 Blackhawks 3 *+0.1
Predators 1 Wild 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks vs Oilers+3.5+3.1+2.8-2.1-2.0-6.1
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In100677*
1195619-7In1000305*
1185519-8In991466*
1175419-9In9901754*
1165420-8In99101,028*
1155320-9In98111,528*
1145321-8In972102,142*
1135221-9In95322,951*
1125222-8In94434,002*
1115122-9In915405,618*
1105123-8In8776007,331*
1095023-9In829809,722*
1085024-8In7712110012,238*
1074924-9In68161401015,631*
1064925-8In60201802019,500*
1054825-9In512422120024,000*
1044826-8In422727140028,881*
1034726-9In3129313600034,234*
1024727-8In2329335901040,730*
1014627-9In15293381302047,168*
1004628-8100.0%926311218130053,420*
994528-9100.05222716222610059,386*
984529-899.92182120254910065,697*
974429-999.711315222671330071,763*
964329-1099.009922241117610076,614*
954330-997.5065202016219200081,538*
944230-1094.00321615202315510084,506*
934231-987.702112921232092000085,937*
924131-1077.201085201924166100087,401*
914132-963.300521714242211410087,131*
904032-1047.10031139222618720085,531*
894033-931.70010951626241341082,672*
883933-1018.7010521022272092078,949*
873934-910.1000316162726155174,825*
863834-104.8000203102329239168,767*
853835-92.100101617282816362,924*
843735-100.80000311243323656,794*
833736-90.30000161833301150,510*
823636-100.10000131330361743,789*
813637-90.00001826402538,102*
803537-100.0001520413432,473*
793538-90.0000214404327,414*
783438-10Out0019375222,502*
773439-9Out016326118,711*
763339-10Out004276914,853*
753340-9Out02227611,956*
743240-10Out0116829,084*
733241-9Out013877,031*
723141-10Out09905,484*
713142-9Out07923,999*
703042-10Out05953,019*
693043-9Out3972,205*
682943-10Out3971,560*
672944-9Out3971,056*
662945-8Out199803*
652845-9Out199503*
63-64Out100590*
622747-8Out199147*
0-61Out100388*
Total:56.9%777777777777771,818,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars 2 Oilers 3 (ot)+0.1
Canucks 2 Kings 3 (so)*+0.0
Blue Jackets 3 Sharks 2 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks vs Oilers-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.4+0.5+1.3
Avalanche vs Flames-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Canucks*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0
Sabres vs Maple Leafs*-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-164100
1225717-8991
1215718-7991
1205618-8100
1195619-79910
1185519-89811
1175419-999101
1165420-897210
1155320-996211
1145321-8934210
1135221-990532
1125222-886843
1115122-97911540
1105123-87215706000
1095023-9631990800
1085024-8542312010000
1074924-94226160140010
1064925-83129191171020
1054825-9213021221212000
1044826-8122923423414000
1034726-96252362463060000
1024727-8320201023105090010
1014627-911416131815701210200
1004628-8091115131811115213000
994528-90561572014217520601000
984529-80231431815515940811000
974429-911121141391214701123000
964329-100090991371810113450100
954330-900605515317133138912000
944230-10003022141141289131235100
934231-90021111099125181378310000
924131-1000100805515217101412731000
914132-900005022150145191312831000
904032-100003111209220815141041000
894033-900010080501641016171262100
883933-100010050201015111819158310000
873934-900003106015111922171041000
863834-100002003001512192319114100
853835-900101001511192420124100
843735-100000000151220252011410
833736-90000000025132225201030
823636-1000000000261524271871
813637-900000028182926133
803537-10000014122431227
793538-900001618323112
783438-10000312283720
773439-90017224030
763339-100004163941
753340-902103652
743240-100173162
733241-9032671
723141-10022177
713142-9011683
703042-1001188
693043-90892
682943-100595
672944-9595
662945-80396
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-90100
622747-8199
0-61100
Total:343434343434343533333333333333