Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.3 to 13.5%
21 points   8 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Devils 4 Oilers 2 +0.3
Blues 2 Bruins 4 +0.2
Canucks 3 Avalanche 2 (so)-0.2
Jets 0 Stars 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Maple Leafs vs Jets+0.3*+0.1*-0.1-0.3*-0.1-0.3
Flames vs Sharks+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.3*-0.2*-0.1
Canadiens vs Predators+0.3*-0.0*+0.1*-0.2*+0.1-0.2
Avalanche vs Sabres-0.1*+0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.2+0.2
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks+0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
113-137In99.5%100220*
112429-7In64.393714*
1114210-6In35.394617*
1104211-5In37.08511446*
1094212-4In29.376149258*
1084011-7In20.8751492101*
1074012-6In13.66220171162*
1063912-7In5.152252012292*
1053913-6In3.345312013548*
1043813-7In1.032342734884*
1033814-6In0.42236315601,381*
1023714-7In0.2153432990102,161*
1013715-6In0.09322914141203,277*
1003615-7InNo5272520182304,742*
993616-6100.0%No22221242246007,051*
983516-7100.0No117142724891010,041*
973517-699.8No01282824131320014,003*
963417-799.3No0842621191751018,964*
953418-698.1No05222162421920025,258*
943318-795.0No0311611272315410033,142*
933319-688.9No10116282220920042,171*
923219-779.0No107325182516510052,627*
913220-665.3No004120132723920064,254*
903120-749.5No0020148242816510076,108*
893121-633.5No010951830241020089,170*
883021-720.6No0006212273017510101,968*
873022-611.2No0003172232241020114,518*
862922-75.5No0002031530311640125,262*
852923-62.4No0102924342371135,243*
842823-70.9No00015173230131143,413*
832824-60.3No00002112935193147,646*
822724-70.1No0000172337276149,430*
812725-60.0No00031636359147,713*
802625-70.0No000211324114143,236*
792626-60.0No00016274521137,277*
782526-7OutNo004204728129,107*
772527-6OutNo002154736117,598*
762427-7OutNo001104445105,571*
752428-6OutNo007405392,424*
742328-7OutNo004356179,929*
732329-6OutNo002296867,224*
722229-7OutNo01247555,411*
712230-6OutNo01198045,132*
702130-7OutNo00158435,911*
692131-6OutNo0128828,051*
682031-7OutNo099121,367*
672032-6OutNo079315,835*
661932-7OutNo059511,654*
651933-6OutNo03978,106*
641833-7OutNo3975,708*
631834-6OutNo2983,919*
621734-7OutNo1992,706*
611735-6OutNo1991,710*
601635-7OutNo01001,202*
591636-6OutNo199728*
581536-7OutNo0100430*
21-57OutNo100839*
Total:13.5%0.0%0102132479121621212,622,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues 2 Bruins 4 -0.0
Devils 4 Oilers 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars vs Coyotes-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0
Flames vs Sharks-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-137100
115437-8100
113-114100
112429-764297
1114210-635596
1104211-53748114
1094212-4294712292
1084011-72154131812
1074012-614481641251
1063912-754718711912
1053913-63422011119120
1043813-7131161810172041
1033814-6021132382350510
1023714-701492562681720100
1013715-609725425112861200
1003615-7532312414681120300
993616-621210201211616404200
983516-7111601411164207154100
973517-600118820222103672000
963417-70080442212012751241100
953418-60052220016121341753200
943318-700311150119182216841000
933319-6100116622121515631000
923219-7100733220183227742000
913220-6000411180131266101062100
903120-70002001408024491413831000
893121-60100950181613181693100
883021-700006201202817211793100
873022-600003170141120241893000
862922-7000020300151323251782000
852923-601020027162525166100
842823-700010002919262413410
832824-600000014112228221020
822724-700000001515272817510
812725-600000282031261120
802625-70000141328321940
792626-6000001722342780
782526-70003153335130
772527-600292740211
762427-700152142302
752428-60021440394
742328-701937466
732329-600631539
722229-7003255814
712230-6002196119
702130-701146125
692131-6095931
682031-70075538
672032-6055145
661932-7034651
651933-624257
641833-713564
631834-613069
621734-702277
611735-602079
601635-71783
591636-601288
581536-7892
571537-6793
561437-7397
551337-8199
541338-7100
531339-6892
21-52100
Total:0000000101130204112345678101213133