Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 3.3%
9 points   4 10-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks 0 Flames 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lightning vs Ducks-0.7*+0.0*+0.0+1.1+1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
111-143In99.5%100207*
1104814-5In50.05033176*
1094512-10In36.4732711*
1084614-7In18.236273611*
1074615-6In15.662729245*
1064414-9In13.249292276*
1054415-8In8.2332731351110*
1044315-9In1.5213434481195*
1034417-6In1.520273361211323*
1024216-9In0.410303281612500*
1014318-6InNo526271521230755*
1004218-7InNo3182319264811,217*
994118-899.8%No115152525710201,851*
984018-999.6No0109242611153002,675*
974019-898.5No075222216207103,875*
963919-996.4No04218172123123005,594*
953920-891.9No02115102323187107,792*
943820-984.0No101062321231241010,554*
933821-870.6No10632016251982014,183*
923721-955.7No0041161124241451018,617*
913722-839.7No00201271927211020024,228*
903622-924.5No0010731326271651030,674*
893623-813.9No0000418202924112038,395*
883523-96.8No000204142730175146,892*
873524-83.1No0010282232259156,445*
863424-91.3No0101415303115366,161*
853425-80.5No000029253523576,792*
843325-90.2No000015193530987,405*
833326-80.1No000031333371497,441*
823226-90.0No00018284221106,893*
813227-80.0No0005224529114,987*
803127-9OutNo002164437122,029*
793128-8OutNo001114246126,930*
783028-9OutNo0173855130,240*
773029-8OutNo0053263130,276*
762929-9OutNo0032770128,929*
752930-8OutNo022276124,987*
742830-9OutNo0011881118,907*
732831-8OutNo001486111,867*
722731-9OutNo001089102,885*
712732-8OutNo089292,381*
702632-9OutNo069482,912*
692633-8OutNo049672,162*
682533-9OutNo039761,760*
672534-8OutNo029852,074*
662434-9OutNo019843,022*
652435-8OutNo19934,785*
642335-9OutNo19927,965*
632336-8OutNo010021,720*
622236-9OutNo010016,792*
612237-8OutNo010012,751*
602137-9OutNo01009,259*
592138-8OutNo01007,016*
582139-7OutNo01004,978*
572039-8OutNo1003,528*
562040-7OutNo01002,384*
551940-8OutNo01001,612*
9-54OutNo1003,119*
Total:3.3%0.0%000001112361021542,462,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Lightning vs Ducks+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-143100
1114611-105050
1104814-5503317
1094512-10363627
1084614-718182736
1074615-616477292
1064414-91336227203
1054415-8825207247351
1044315-921921132410481
1034417-6219141318156011111
1024216-9010112010227115212
1014318-656206211321752300
1004218-7331532013615114701
994118-8111411414101214609120
984018-90010099158181011333000
974019-800755174191341367010
963919-900423151151381211101300
953920-80211140101113815144610
943820-9100906716417149114100
933821-81006331711510151594100
923721-900041114011518151693100
913722-8002011106217111817104100
903622-900100731136152119104100
893623-800000410828172320114100
883523-9000020040310192420114100
873524-800010201411212519114100
863424-901010015132326199300
853425-8000000026152526177200
843325-9000000028182725144100
833326-80000013102229231020
823226-9000001515272918510
813227-80000282131251010
803127-900141429321730
793128-80002823352570
783028-90014173433110
773029-8002113039170
762929-900172542251
752930-80031843332
742830-90021340423
732831-801836505
722731-900531568
712732-80003256111
702632-9002206415
692633-801156519
682533-900116425
672534-8086230
662434-9055836
652435-8035542
642335-9024949
632336-8014455
622236-9013960
612237-803366
602137-902872
592138-802377
582139-71981
572039-801585
562040-701288
551940-8991
541941-7793
531841-8595
521842-7694
511742-8496
501743-7397
491542-10199
9-48100
Total:000000000001000101122345791319248