Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 69%
64 points   27 20-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers 3 Devils 2 (so)-0.6
-0.0
Sabres 3 Jets 2 +0.5
Kings 2 Flyers 1 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Flames+0.8*-0.0*-0.1-0.9-1.1-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Capitals vs Predators+0.8*-0.0*+0.0-0.8-1.0-1.0
Canucks vs Sharks*+0.0-0.7-0.6-0.3-0.5+0.4
+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
Wild vs Avalanche*-0.0-0.6-0.6*-0.2-0.4+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
114250-0In24.1%8416315
112241-0InNo1004*
111231-1InNo56449*
110221-2InNo465426*
109222-1In0.843561119*
108212-2InNo26694376*
107213-1InNo217360953*
106203-2InNo1475912,077*
105193-3InNo9741524,635*
104194-2InNo57219409,256*
103184-3InNo365247016,916*
102185-2InNo156281410029,715*
101175-3InNo146292320047,848*
100176-2InNo035273350073,997*
99166-3InNo02522449100106,291*
98167-2InNo016155214210145,376*
97157-3InNo0109542053090,843
168-1InNo0109541952098,704*
96158-2100.0%No65512211500112,601
147-4100.0No54512212600121,009*
95148-399.9No2242222010200131,581
159-199.9No2242222010200142,840*
94149-299.5No1132172816410200,944*
138-499.3No10311630165100106,749
93139-397.4No002010352111200157,424
1410-197.3No002110352011200169,985*
921310-292.0No001353421197100156,315
129-490.5No001153421208100178,007*
911210-378.0No006228162617510154,279
1311-178.2No006228162616510168,176*
901211-260.0No0030201027261220139,736
1110-456.5No0020199252713300160,440*
891111-335.8No0101141932248100264,799*
881112-218.8No006211283317300104,739
1011-416.7No005110273319400119,150*
871012-36.9No002041834291010179,329*
861013-22.1No0101927382130138,992*
85913-30.5No0000317383381101,772*
84914-20.1No0018304316272,381*
83814-30.0No0003194627447,834*
82815-20.0No001104138930,939*
81715-3OutNo0532461718,550*
80716-2OutNo0223482710,837*
79616-3OutNo011347395,859*
78617-2OutNo0841503,093*
77517-3OutNo534611,525*
76518-2OutNo22573694*
75519-1OutNo02080315*
74419-2OutNo11585156*
64-73OutNo100390*
Total:69.0%0.0%053198169109874203,828,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Oilers 3 Devils 2 (so)+0.1
Kings 2 Flyers 1 (so)+0.0
Sabres 3 Jets 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Flames-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Sharks-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Capitals vs Predators-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114250-02460160
112241-0100
111231-15644
110221-2463519
109222-114228291
108212-226304022
107213-1212449330
106203-2141956371
105193-39136131220
104194-2510622173000
103184-335601237000
102185-213530281310100
101175-3114402820302000
100176-2013402726704000
99166-3002502230140900000
98167-20016152823014200100
97157-3001092233020410200
168-1001092232019410200
96158-2065143702282050000
147-4054133802293060000
95148-302263622128010010000
159-1226362212801001000
94149-211229171216016040000
138-4102291612180160500000
93139-30012010926021011011000
1410-10012010926020011011000
921310-2000125430210191331000
129-4000115430210201432000
911210-3000621261602605863100
1311-1000621271602604763100
901211-2003001910260310131041000
1110-40020018925031014115100
891111-30100114190171619146100
881112-20006211003102124166100
1011-4000511000292024177200
871012-300204014122427187100
861013-2010101414262818610
85913-300000001515283016400
84914-20000161832291120
83814-300001824372460
82815-200002133335142
81715-30152340266
80716-20113363713
79616-3006264523
78617-202184436
77517-31113948
76518-263262
75519-1012474
74419-221880
64-73100
Total:00050351408412090100124454432110