Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Lost to Flyers 1-7, playoff odds down 10.4 to 25.3%
0 points   0 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers 7 Ducks 1 -3.8
-0.3
Blue Jackets 2 Sharks 4 -0.4
Canucks 4 Blackhawks 7 +0.3
Predators 2 Blues 4 +0.2
SaturdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
117-158In100194*
1165417-8In98248*
1155317-9In963168*
1145318-8In9532128*
1135218-9In9253182*
1125219-8In9073251*
1115119-9In86950411*
1105120-8In82990611*
1095020-9In74131301926*
1085021-8In6915150001,406*
1074921-9In6020180202,038*
1064922-8In5421230202,789*
1054822-9In4624261303,896*
1044823-8In35263026005,344*
1034723-9In252835380107,204*
1024623-10In1728356120109,262*
1014624-9In12253491703012,076*
1004524-10100.0%622311322150015,566*
994525-9100.0418251725281019,599*
984425-1099.821419202841220023,986*
974426-999.519132128816400029,435*
964326-1098.906720261221710035,185*
954327-996.9044172016251230041,599*
944227-1093.20221314192617610048,547*
934228-986.101199192523113000054,881*
924128-1075.7106418202717610062,135*
914129-961.000321415262312410068,963*
904029-1045.40021109232718720075,183*
894030-930.30010751727241341080,814*
883930-1018.1000421123282082085,575*
873931-99.4000216172826144089,812*
863831-104.5000103112430228191,969*
853832-91.900101618292814392,892*
843732-100.80000312263221592,451*
833733-90.300017213328990,767*
823633-100.10000141531351587,520*
813634-90.00002927402283,810*
803534-100.00001522413178,541*
793535-90.00000316414073,377*
783435-100.0000211384966,796*
773436-9Out0017345859,630*
763336-10Out005296653,205*
753337-9Out003247346,279*
743237-10Out02197939,907*
733238-9Out01158433,781*
723138-10Out00118928,012*
713139-9Out0089123,342*
703039-10Out069418,500*
693040-9Out049614,734*
682940-10Out039711,690*
672941-9Out2988,886*
662841-10Out1996,926*
652842-9Out1995,122*
642843-8Out001003,855*
632743-9Out01002,776*
622744-8Out01002,005*
612644-9Out01001,441*
602645-8Out100960*
592545-9Out0100627*
0-58Out1001,445*
Total:25.3%1223345678101215221,899,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers 7 Ducks 1 +0.8
Canucks 4 Blackhawks 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Capitals*-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117-158100
1165417-89622
1155317-994131
1145318-888632
1135218-987553
1125219-883773
1115119-973129500
1105120-866169090
1095020-9551913012001
1085021-84623150140000
1074921-93426191171020
1064922-82529192221020
1054822-91729213242130
1044823-89262152652600
1034723-94212182683080010
1024623-102161710221360121010
1014624-911113121717901510300
1004524-1006814112012118315000
994525-904514520143187208010
984425-10022122171461612401112000
974426-9119112121012167014240000
964326-100060781261910115570100
954327-9004044132181241410111300
944227-10002221211411810161446100
934228-901118098125201481031000
924128-10100604414219111613831000
914129-9000322120145211313831000
904029-1000021010092219151510410000
894030-9000100705017411171712620000
883930-100000420111512192014731000
873931-90000201060261320211693100
863831-100000103002613212318104100
853832-9001010002613212318103100
843732-100000000026142224189300
833733-90000002615242518820
823633-100000001281726251551
813634-90000001310212824112
803534-100000015142630195
793535-9000002820322810
783435-100001414303517
773436-9000028254025
763336-100014184136
753337-9002133846
743237-1000183456
733238-90052966
723138-100032374
713139-90011880
703039-10011486
693040-9001090
682940-1000793
672941-90595
662841-100397
652842-90298
642843-80199
632743-9199
622744-8199
612644-90100
602645-80100
592545-90100
582546-8100
572547-70100
0-56100
Total:0111111212132324223344455678912