Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 66.9%
35 points   15 11-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Coyotes 1 Maple Leafs 3 +0.5
Canucks 5 Bruins 3 -0.4
-0.0
Blackhawks 5 Oilers 1 +0.3
+0.0
Jets 3 Sharks 4 (ot)*-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bruins vs Ducks-4.5+0.4+0.5+5.1+5.8+5.8
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.5+0.5+0.5
Maple Leafs vs Oilers+0.6*-0.1*-0.1-0.7-0.9-0.8
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Avalanche vs Capitals-0.3-0.6-0.3*+0.1*-0.1+0.6
Canadiens vs Wild+0.4*+0.2*+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3
Sharks vs Predators*-0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117-137In86.5%100384*
116388-5In45.2982126*
115389-4In41.99730265*
114379-5In31.49640484*
1133710-4In20.59450826*
1123610-5In16.191811,371*
1113611-4In10.0881112,340*
1103511-5In5.78414203,773*
1093411-6In2.976204005,642*
1083412-5In1.470245008,654*
1073312-6In0.56130800012,644*
1063313-5In0.25236120118,014*
1053213-6In0.142411611024,984*
1043214-5In0.03244202200033,938*
1033114-6InNo234624430044,805*
1023115-5InNo1545277600057,002*
1013015-6InNo9422711901070,788*
1003016-5InNo53726171311087,117*
992916-6100.0%No2302222182300102,960*
982917-5100.0No1231727224500119,209*
972817-6100.0No01611302579100135,205*
962818-599.9No011629251214200149,699*
952718-699.5No07325221919500161,589*
942719-598.4No0412016232410100168,773*
932619-695.4No02014102626164100174,267*
922620-589.3No10962525239200175,281*
912520-678.6No0053212129165100171,273*
902521-563.5No00311615292410200165,422*
892421-646.2No0101092630186100154,050*
882422-529.5No0106418312611200141,118*
872322-616.4No0003211263119610126,756*
862323-57.9No002161931271230110,623*
852223-63.3No0102122732196194,748*
842224-51.2No0001620332711278,943*
832124-60.4No0000313293418464,468*
822125-50.1No00017233626751,589*
812025-60.0No000041634341240,003*
802026-50.0No002929401930,350*
791926-6OutNo01523432822,809*
781927-5OutNo00316433816,461*
771827-6OutNo0111394911,661*
761828-5OutNo01734588,236*
751728-6OutNo0428685,621*
741729-5OutNo0222763,676*
731629-6OutNo117822,318*
721630-5OutNo013871,487*
711530-6OutNo01188956*
701531-5OutNo0694532*
691532-4OutNo496332*
681432-5OutNo199200*
671433-4OutNo10096*
661333-5OutNo29853*
35-65OutNo100299*
Total:66.9%0.1%3961181010109865322,864,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Canucks 5 Bruins 3 +0.1
Blackhawks 5 Oilers 1 -0.1
Coyotes 1 Maple Leafs 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Bruins vs Ducks+0.9-0.1-0.1-1.0-1.1-1.1
Maple Leafs vs Oilers-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kings vs Flames-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Sharks vs Predators+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0
Panthers vs Rangers-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
137510-0100
123414-6100
121416-4100
120417-38020
119407-46733
118397-56337
117398-46337
116388-545522
115389-4425530
114379-5316440
1133710-420745000
1123610-516758010
1113611-410789210
1103511-5679112110
1093411-637314622000
1083412-516916823000
1073312-616118122600000
1063313-50521817290000
1053213-60421724214101000
1043214-5032152911820110000
1033114-62312341233112000
1023115-51583702651140000
1013015-69537027841700000
1003016-55334026108112101100
992916-6212902210121172012000
982917-5112301791802231140000
972817-6001611723024521800000
962818-5001164250257511311000
952718-60073223022810119140000
942719-5004111901681602428110000
932619-6002001410520026115221000
922620-5100963220251232431000
912520-60005312002102826752000
902521-5000310151502916111162000
892421-600100109026041117146200
882422-501006401802817211462000
872322-600003211014132323145100
862323-50002160016172623134100
852223-601020029212722113100
842224-500010014122327209200
832124-600000001515262717610
822125-5000000281928261330
812025-600000131124302181
802026-500015172930153
791926-60021024342460
781927-50015173332120
771827-6002102839200
761828-50162142300
751728-6031541410
741729-5011036520
731629-600531621
721630-50225702
711530-6121753
701531-5011854
691532-46877
681432-538810
671433-418613
661333-526830
651233-638313
641234-57426
631235-46040
621337-16733
59-61100
35051-0100
Total:03180528082801001011344443322110