Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Lost to Penguins 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 2.1 to 13.4%
11 points   4 8-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Coyotes 3 Penguins 4 (ot)-0.7
-0.1
Canucks 3 Flames 4 (so)-0.4
Rangers 2 Blues 1 +0.1
SundayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115-145InYes100174*
1144812-7InNo1001
1134914-4In33.3%50506*
1124713-7In30.0505010*
1114714-6In37.5564416*
1104614-7In37.56633132*
1094514-8In17.242345964*
1084515-7In11.935461184*
1074516-6In5.82655613154*
1064416-7In4.423455017226*
1054417-6In0.5155551222408*
1044317-7In1.2115512292644*
1034217-8In0.37349334030908*
1024218-7In0.143443410401,415*
1014118-8InNo23375441802,190*
1004119-7InNo122974811113,206*
994019-8InNo022184821624,623*
984020-799.8%No0114947422306,460*
973920-899.8No019844627408,614*
963921-799.4No00573893271011,656*
953821-898.6No0036301236111015,377*
943721-997.1No00152215381730020,027*
933722-893.5No0031416372361025,621*
923622-987.5No00281533291020031,954*
913623-878.2No001413273317410038,921*
903523-965.5No001211203323920047,105*
893524-851.2No001813302915410055,338*
883424-936.2No0057233122920064,913*
873425-823.5No00341628281541073,597*
863325-913.6No00221024302282081,622*
853326-87.3No00116173028144090,388*
843226-93.3No0103112531217197,632*
833227-81.4No00016193228122103,443*
823127-90.6No00003132833184107,951*
813128-80.2No000282335257110,745*
803028-90.1No0001418343211111,783*
793029-80.0No000212313817110,199*
782929-90.0No00018264124107,281*
772930-8OutNo004204232102,022*
762830-9OutNo00215414195,867*
752831-80.0No000111385088,423*
742731-9OutNo017345980,610*
732732-8OutNo004296671,209*
722632-9OutNo03247362,162*
712633-8OutNo002198053,822*
702533-9OutNo01158444,853*
692534-8OutNo00118837,847*
682535-7OutNo0089230,500*
672435-8OutNo0069424,534*
662335-9OutNo049619,294*
652336-8OutNo039714,827*
642337-7OutNo29811,357*
632237-8OutNo01998,344*
622238-7OutNo1996,184*
612138-8OutNo1994,340*
602139-7OutNo01003,018*
592039-8OutNo01002,221*
582040-7OutNo01001,399*
571940-8OutNo0100916*
561941-7OutNo0100673*
11-55OutNo1001,170*
Total:13.4%0.0%0000224579111419272,100,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Coyotes 3 Penguins 4 (ot)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets vs Avalanche-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-145100
1144812-7100
1134914-4331750
1124713-730204010
1114714-6381944
1104614-73828331
1094514-817253459
1084515-71223125471
1074415-86204151613
1064416-741832478017
1054417-601432411512112
1044317-711032302122812
1034217-80712242630313030
1024218-704121431203470400
1014118-82138294132121800
1004119-7102425513018101111
994019-8002120532424201522
984020-700101445163230184300
973920-801092693551198400
963921-700005163357318146110
953821-80003151297614229210
943721-90010402169829116300
933722-80003014412433111251000
923622-9000208213132821741000
913623-8000141130264298752100
903523-90001201002023169963100
893524-80010801302938131283100
883424-900050702315111616104100
873425-8000340160271420181041000
863325-9000220100139172319104100
853326-800116001411202419103100
843226-90103000151322251883000
833227-800010026162425177100
823127-9000000003818262414410
813128-800000014112228221020
803028-9000000161527291750
793029-80000029223125101
782929-9000014152932162
772930-800292436245
762830-900151835339
752831-8000212324014
742731-90017274520
732732-80004214728
722632-9002154736
712633-8001114445
702533-900074052
692534-80043660
682535-7033167
672435-8022673
662335-9012178
652336-801683
642337-701387
632237-801090
622238-70792
612138-80694
602139-7496
592039-8397
582040-7397
571940-8298
561941-7298
551841-8199
541842-7199
11-53100
Total:0000000001021315111234567810121512