Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Beat Canucks 3-2 (so), playoff odds up 6.6 to 38.9%
29 points   12 13-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Coyotes 3 Canucks 2 (so)+3.0
+0.2
Canadiens 3 Oilers 2 +2.1
Wild 2 Panthers 4 +0.3
Predators 3 Jets 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks vs Ducks+0.6*-0.3*-0.1-0.8-0.9-0.8
Blues vs Kings-0.3*-0.3-0.3*-0.0*+0.0+0.3
Penguins vs Stars+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-133InYes100234*
117426-4InNo1001
116438-1InNo4020405*
115417-4In66.7%1003*
114407-5In27.336945911*
113408-4In22.2371544427*
112398-5In8.3311057372*
111399-4In4.41915588137*
110389-5In2.41315580131252*
109379-6In2.2910620162453*
1083710-5In0.979580232808*
1073711-4In0.3495303041,343*
1063611-5In0.02647138702,210*
1053511-6InNo13421421113,406*
1043512-5100.0%No023314616105,390*
1033412-6100.0No012514822207,996*
1023413-599.9No0119146294011,916*
1013313-699.9No00122440356016,645*
1003314-599.7No008238041110023,304*
993214-699.4No005132046151031,077*
983215-598.9No03126049211041,197*
973115-697.8No01119049282053,154*
963116-596.1No01013046354065,988*
953016-693.6No009042426081,792*
943017-589.7No00513648100097,032*
932917-684.6No003029521510112,519*
922918-578.2No002022542110127,924*
912818-670.2No010165327200142,029*
902819-560.7No0000114934500154,422*
892719-650.8No00074341800163,319*
882720-540.2No00436461310168,773*
872620-630.2No002284819300171,550*
862621-521.1No001204626610168,777*
852521-613.9No0011342331010163,629*
842522-58.3No008353816300154,459*
832422-64.6No05263923600142,772*
822423-52.3No0021937301110128,907*
812323-61.0No011233361720113,596*
802324-50.4No0072638245098,061*
792224-60.2No041937328182,681*
782225-50.0No0212333813168,058*
772125-60.0No017284220355,637*
762126-50.0No004214327543,307*
752026-6OutNo02154135833,167*
742027-5OutNo01937411225,539*
731927-6OutNo00531461818,727*
721928-5OutNo0324482413,326*
711828-6OutNo021947329,618*
701829-5OutNo11344426,491*
691729-6OutNo0942494,434*
681730-5OutNo0637572,948*
671630-6OutNo0331661,795*
661631-5OutNo226721,161*
651531-6OutNo02278695*
641532-5OutNo11584438*
631432-6OutNo1288243*
621433-5OutNo892155*
611434-4OutNo128865*
601233-7OutNo39734*
29-59OutNo100271*
Total:38.9%0.0%00103011242415107312,823,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Coyotes 3 Canucks 2 (so)-0.4
Canadiens 3 Oilers 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Blackhawks vs Ducks-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-133100
117426-4100
116438-1402040
115417-46733
114407-52799459
113408-42215114444
112398-5822815613
111399-44151325448
110389-521013253501201
109379-62783491301602
1083710-51664431502212
1073711-403633419002924
1063611-502332523135270
1053511-611217251375111
1043512-501210241038816010
1033412-600142010351322120
1023413-5001217102918272400
1013313-60001121121230314600
1003314-500008111325034710000
993214-600050172500331314110
983215-5030132300282019210
973115-600100118002127244200
963116-5010001300133325104000
953016-6000090073424186100
943017-500005003321929821000
932917-600003001281339942000
922918-5002000227479741000
912818-6010001635089841000
902819-500000011148591294100
892719-60000704327131493000
882720-5004036151218157200
872620-60020280281722145100
862621-5001020014132323113000
852521-60011300271927208200
842522-50080003132627165100
832422-6050017203024113000
822423-5002003122630196100
812323-601001619302713300
802324-500000311253121710
792224-6000161831291320
782225-500021126342150
772125-6000161934291010
762126-500031230361730
752026-601724382550
742027-500417373390
731927-602113439140
721928-50162744211
711828-6042144292
701829-5011541393
691729-611039465
681730-50633547
671630-603255813
661631-52216116
651531-61156123
641532-51126126
631432-675835
621433-535641
611434-484349
601233-734156
591234-63862
581336-33367
56-57100
55935-8100
29-53100
Total:0000010012003842022457887654210