Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 39.9%
13 points   5 5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers 3 Bruins 2 (so)-0.4
-0.0
Blackhawks 2 Canadiens 1 -0.2
Predators 3 Blues 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kings vs Ducks-0.2*-0.4*-0.3*-0.1*+0.2+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119-151In99.3%100270*
1184913-7In88.798262*
1174914-6In96.710092*
1164814-7In89.59721171*
1154815-6In84.69433279*
1144715-7In82.39442468*
1134615-8In77.19252665*
1124616-7In66.3896401,137*
1114516-8In56.1831071,650*
1104517-7In46.678139002,404*
1094518-6In35.9711612013,573*
1084418-7In25.76421140104,872*
1074318-8In16.75425191206,951*
1064319-7In9.14428241209,724*
1054219-8In4.2333227350012,692*
1044220-7In1.92434314701017,139*
1034120-8In0.617333181001021,660*
1024121-7In0.2103130121412027,724*
1014021-8100.0%0.0626271718240034,493*
1004022-7100.0No322222122361042,066*
993922-899.9No1161625246920050,292*
983923-799.6No0121026241114300059,399*
973823-898.9No085242116176100069,178*
963824-797.1No053211721211030077,990*
953724-893.5No0311611242216510087,530*
943725-786.5No0201272521211030096,210*
933625-876.0No1083231724166100102,961*
923626-762.1No00511912242312300108,761*
913526-846.4No00311482127197100113,366*
903527-731.6No001010416282512300116,402*
893427-819.4No0106210243020610116,654*
883428-710.6No0004161931271120115,372*
873328-85.3No002031228321840111,622*
863329-72.4No0101722342671106,368*
853229-81.0No00004163333131100,064*
843230-70.4No000210293819392,275*
833130-80.2No000016224027583,629*
823131-70.1No0003163933874,619*
813031-80.0No00021135401265,478*
803032-70.0No001730451756,401*
792932-80.0No000424482347,660*
782933-70.0No000219493039,847*
772833-8OutNo0114473832,896*
762834-7OutNo0010444626,357*
752734-8OutNo007405320,686*
742735-7OutNo004356016,033*
732635-8OutNo03306712,211*
722636-7OutNo225739,320*
712536-8OutNo121786,971*
702537-7OutNo0118824,966*
692437-8OutNo013873,535*
682438-7OutNo010902,625*
672338-8OutNo07921,715*
662339-7OutNo4961,203*
652340-6OutNo397779*
642240-7OutNo397492*
632140-8OutNo199316*
622141-7OutNo0100204*
13-61OutNo100501*
Total:39.9%0.5%2436586891012121162,220,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Oilers 3 Bruins 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings vs Ducks+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-151100
1205012-7964
1195013-6983
1184913-789102
1174914-6973
1164814-789821
1154815-685933
1144715-7821242
1134615-8771552
1124616-7662360400
1114516-8562710070
1104517-747311319000
1094518-6363515111101
1084418-72638192131010
1074318-81737213172120
1064319-793521620410200
1054219-8429221020735000
1044220-72221915191240600100
1034120-81161518151670910100
1024121-7010102010201011221200
1014021-806620622143135204000
1004022-733192191571393060100
993922-811151151311111360812000
983923-70011010101671710111330000
973823-800805618318133126601000
963824-700503318116138101091300
953724-80030111501111137151245100
943725-700200110771741713893100
933625-8010070341911610141383100
923626-700051217012619141373100
913526-80003111308219111715831000
903527-7001001004115615201683100
893427-801006020102918221793100
883428-700004106141221241783000
873328-8002003015142324167200
863329-701010027162525156100
853229-8000000139192724134100
843230-70000014112328219200
833130-800000001615262817610
823131-7000002920292511300
813031-8000001413273019610
803032-7000272031261120
792932-8000031328321840
782933-70001823352570
772833-80014163332131
762834-7002102937202
752734-80172239274
742735-70031738347
732635-800212354111
722636-70018304616
712536-8004235022
702537-703194928
692437-801144936
682438-71104446
672338-8084250
662339-7033858
652340-6033563
642240-722771
632140-812673
622141-71585
612041-81684
601941-9991
591942-8991
581943-71189
55-57100
541846-53367
13-53100
Total:011312241325243534455666655321