Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 2%
42 points   17 21-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lightning 4 Canucks 1 +0.1
Senators 3 Blues 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Coyotes vs Penguins+0.5+0.5+0.3-0.4-0.4-1.0
+0.0*NoNo*No*NoNo
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Blue Jackets vs Avalanche+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Capitals vs Jets+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
114360-0In33.7%74917276
105292-5InNo1001
103294-3InNo2060205*
102284-4InNo7162417*
101285-3InNo556152339*
100275-4InNo149242670*
99276-3InNo113426344160*
98266-4InNo1233033392334*
97267-399.8%No012273861620593*
96257-499.5No072334922401,239*
95258-398.9No03152814309102,280*
94248-496.8No0110191734163003,983*
93249-391.6No006111633247106,703*
92239-481.0No0351427311540010,882*
91229-565.1No0121019342492016,755*
902210-444.8No10610283117610025,635*
892110-525.9No00351831271330037,227*
882111-412.6No00121025312281052,414*
872011-54.9No0004152930174070,918*
862012-41.6No0001721322610192,668*
851912-50.4No0003132933184117,461*
841913-40.1No000162135298143,487*
831813-50.0No0000313323815169,925*
821814-40.0No00017254324195,092*
811714-5OutNo003174336215,873*
801715-4OutNo00111404789,278
1614-6OutNo001114048141,369*
791615-5OutNo006346089,778
1716-3OutNo0063459150,123*
781616-4OutNo032769126,520*
1515-6OutNo0032769114,630*
771516-5OutNo0012178233,880*
761517-4OutNo01158486,054
1416-6OutNo011585134,595*
751417-5OutNo001090201,581*
741418-4OutNo0793178,185*
731318-5OutNo0496152,085*
721319-4OutNo0397125,991*
711219-5OutNo029899,974*
701220-4OutNo019977,476*
691120-5OutNo19957,853*
681121-4OutNo010042,292*
671021-5OutNo010029,261*
661022-4OutNo010019,779*
65922-5OutNo010012,826*
64923-4OutNo01007,938*
63924-3OutNo01004,760*
62824-4OutNo1002,731*
61825-3OutNo01001,578*
42-60OutNo1001,986*
Total:2.0%0.0%000000012351020583,346,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators 3 Blues 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Coyotes vs Penguins-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114360-03440917
105292-5100
103294-3206020
102284-46656618
101285-3535415518
100275-4149177421
99276-31113318833113
98266-412316143320372
97267-3012121403850213110
96257-407616034821202200
95258-3032122810512936100
94248-401191998034314210
93249-300051151103322343100
92239-40035311027130485200
91229-50121919033311127210
902210-4010061002829161693100
892110-5000351804132119114100
882111-40001210016162421125100
872011-500040028182423145100
862012-400010028182524145100
851912-5000002818262414510
841913-4000000392028241230
831813-5000000131123302291
821814-40000141427311840
811714-500001620333010
801715-4000211293818
791615-500152242300
781616-40021441430
771516-5001836560
761517-400428680
751417-500221770
741418-400115850
731318-50010900
721319-406940
711219-504960
701220-402980
691120-51990
681121-401990
671021-51990
661022-40990
65922-50990
64923-40991
63924-30991
62824-40982
61825-30964
60725-4955
59726-3937
58626-4919
57627-318217
56527-49010
55528-38119
54529-23367
53530-1100
51431-15050
42036-0199
Total:000000000000000100011234571119430