Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Beat Kings 2-1, playoff odds up 4 to 25.5%
21 points   8 9-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Coyotes 2 Kings 1 +3.2
+0.3
Rangers 3 Ducks 2 (so)*-0.1
*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Devils vs Oilers+0.5*-0.0*-0.1-0.6*-0.1-0.6
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Blues vs Bruins-0.3*-0.2*-0.2*+0.3*+0.1+0.4
Canucks vs Avalanche*-0.0*-0.1-0.4*-0.0*-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115-141In99.1%100235*
1144310-7In65.5933329*
1134311-6In73.596449*
1124312-5In68.4897476*
1114212-6In61.09243146*
1104112-7In43.58884237*
1094113-6In36.0781570472*
1084013-7In21.37216120704*
1074014-6In14.6652212011,120*
1063914-7In7.65426181101,806*
1053915-6In3.14132222202,775*
1043815-7In1.1313527340004,233*
1033816-6In0.422372856006,104*
1023716-7In0.1143630990108,620*
1013717-6In0.093329141312012,072*
1003617-7100.0%0.0528252018230016,403*
993618-6100.0No223192521450022,077*
983518-799.9No1181428228810028,931*
973519-699.7No012829221312200037,094*
963419-799.1No08426192016510046,062*
953420-697.5No05222142519920055,976*
943320-793.9No0311710282115510068,119*
933321-686.7No101252819201030079,916*
923221-776.0No107325162417610092,018*
913222-661.2No00412011242412300103,834*
903122-745.1No00201572128197100115,419*
893123-629.9No01010415292612300125,369*
883023-717.7No0106210253120610133,240*
873024-69.5No0003151831271220138,858*
862924-74.5No002031228321940141,875*
852824-81.9No0101722342681142,348*
842825-70.7No00003153233142140,046*
832826-60.3No0000292737214135,766*
822726-70.1No000152138297127,598*
812727-60.0No0000314363611118,205*
802627-70.0No00019314217107,752*
792527-8OutNo00525452396,253*
782528-7OutNo00319473184,340*
772529-6OutNo00114454072,342*
762429-7OutNo019424860,626*
752430-6OutNo006375649,459*
742330-7OutNo04336440,604*
732331-6OutNo02277132,116*
722231-7OutNo01227724,513*
712232-6OutNo01178218,921*
702132-7OutNo0138714,035*
692133-6OutNo0109010,305*
682033-7OutNo08927,456*
672034-6OutNo05945,292*
661934-7OutNo04953,637*
651935-6OutNo02982,446*
641835-7OutNo2981,660*
631836-6OutNo1991,058*
621736-7OutNo199678*
611737-6OutNo100436*
601738-5OutNo0100238*
21-59OutNo100541*
Total:25.5%0.1%02142646811131515122,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Coyotes 2 Kings 1 -0.7
Rangers 3 Ducks 2 (so)*+0.0
Capitals 6 Sabres 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Devils vs Oilers-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Canucks vs Avalanche+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117-141100
1164510-58020
1154410-68911
1144310-7662833
1134311-673224
1124312-56821514
1114212-6613243
1104112-743448130
1094113-63642131610
1084013-721501421010
1074014-6155017410301
1063914-7846197135110
1053915-633820131492200
1043815-7130181712143040000
1033816-6022162210185051000
1023716-7014112572481620100
1013717-609726425113851200
1003617-705424123146810202000
993618-6222101815116154041000
983518-71117013121641971531000
973519-60012088212201136620000
963419-7008452211913751141100
953420-600522200141313416632000
943320-7003111601010192196842000
933321-60100125622119515742000
923221-7100733220163218852100
913222-6000411190111236111173100
903122-700020014070203101514931000
893123-6010010401516131817104100
883023-7010062010028162219114100
873024-600000310501391924201141000
862924-70002003001412212519103000
852824-8010100015142326188200
842825-70000002716262616610
832826-600000003920282412300
822726-70000001413253020710
812727-6000000161830281320
802627-7000031126342150
792527-80016193430100
782528-7003123137161
772529-600172541241
762429-700041842343
752430-60021339425
742330-701835507
732331-6005285611
722231-7002226115
712232-601166220
702132-701116226
692133-6085932
682033-7055639
672034-6045146
661934-7024552
651935-613960
641835-703565
631836-602971
621736-702377
611737-61981
601738-51486
591638-61189
581639-51288
571539-6496
561540-5100
551339-8694
21-54100
Total:000101130215031512345567889972