Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 4.8%
40 points   19 22-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sabres 4 Kings 2 +0.3
Rangers 3 Oilers 6 -0.3
-0.0
Blackhawks 2 Blues 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oilers vs Panthers-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1*-0.0+0.4
Flyers vs Jets+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118390-0In0.4%298279
105-106InNo1002*
103306-3InNo33531315*
102296-4InNo982911*
101297-3InNo26957923*
100287-4InNo142681765*
99277-5InNo10257129136*
98278-4InNo43531372251*
97268-5InNo11513422523*
96269-499.7%No114034870967*
95259-599.6No01295551001,794*
942510-499.0No00195581613,025*
932410-597.8No001265724205,120*
922411-494.4No0755132508,236*
912311-588.7No034423910113,208*
902312-480.7No133344172019,888*
892212-569.3No022344255028,830*
882213-454.9No01153934101040,927*
872113-539.3No00831401830055,884*
862114-426.0No00422392770074,597*
852014-514.8No02133536131095,842*
841914-67.4No00727402240119,183*
831915-53.2No003183932810144,153*
821815-61.2No011033391510169,765*
811816-50.4No000524432340192,040*
801716-60.1No00216413380211,930*
791717-50.0No0193541141226,153*
781617-60.0No0042745222234,804*
771618-5OutNo02184530487,147
1517-70.0No0021844315149,125*
761518-6OutNo011140398231,030*
751519-5OutNo006334614219,109*
741520-4OutNo03255022109,649*
1419-6OutNo00326502191,087*
731420-5OutNo01185030178,689*
721421-4OutNo01124840154,962*
711321-5OutNo0074350129,447*
701322-4OutNo043660104,473*
691222-5OutNo02296882,269*
681223-4OutNo01237662,234*
671123-5OutNo1178345,620*
661124-4OutNo0128832,752*
651024-5OutNo089222,612*
641025-4OutNo059514,993*
63925-5OutNo03979,683*
62926-4OutNo2985,922*
61826-5OutNo1993,605*
60827-4OutNo1992,099*
59828-3OutNo1991,126*
40-58OutNo1001,456*
Total:4.8%0.0%0000013610172223173,386,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Blackhawks 2 Blues 3 +0.1
Rangers 3 Oilers 6 +0.0
Predators 2 Senators 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Jets-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118390-00298
105-106100
103306-320135377
102296-4945369
101297-32644173944
100287-41422938125
99277-5102124511245
98278-44024490018192
97268-510134821182320
96269-41011391214346100
95259-500102913946640
942510-40001914454610100
932410-50012052555182100
922411-4070515042822100
912311-5030404223834310
902312-41030331432574100
892212-5022304426128300
882213-401150391514168200
872113-500831031322165100
862114-400422019232512300
852014-502130051930228100
841914-6007002122730175100
831915-500301619322611200
821815-601002112632206100
811816-500001517322913300
801716-6000029253422710
791717-5000041632311430
781617-6000019253523610
771618-5000041734311320
761518-6001928372140
751519-500520373080
741520-4002123338140
731420-50172643221
721421-40031944322
711321-50011240424
701322-4007345180
691222-50032757120
681223-40021961180
671123-5011361250
661124-40858330
651024-50554410
641025-40348490
63925-50142560
62926-4134651
61826-5027711
60827-4022762
59828-3015823
58728-412835
57729-38876
56629-468510
55630-338314
54530-48515
53531-38119
52532-28317
51533-1100
40039-0991
Total:000000000001030012579121415151230