Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 29.6%
13 points   5 6-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Penguins 4 Jets 5 -0.3
Sharks 0 Flames 1 +0.3
Wild 2 Senators 3 +0.2
Avalanche 1 Kings 3 -0.2
Oilers 1 Canucks 3 *+0.1
*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Coyotes-3.8*-0.1*+0.2+4.6+4.9+5.4
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0+0.0+0.4+0.4+0.5
Kings vs Sharks+0.1-0.6-0.3-0.5*-0.4*+0.1
Flames vs Red Wings-0.2*-0.3*-0.1*+0.3*-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117-149InYes100262*
1164813-7In94.0%99167*
1154814-6In91.59811106*
1144815-5In81.99433216*
1134715-6In79.09254305*
1124615-7In66.786760538*
1114515-8In60.3841060804*
1104516-7In46.575151001,270*
1094517-6In34.7691614011,906*
1084417-7In23.66021180102,690*
1074317-8In15.9512522124,084*
1064318-7In8.541272714005,630*
1054218-8In4.331303035008,046*
1044219-7In1.62331325801011,058*
1034119-8100.0%0.4143033912010014,732*
1024120-7100.00.1828311316120019,244*
1014020-8100.00.0524261821240024,767*
1004021-7100.0No218202224471031,575*
993921-899.8No11414252581120039,080*
983922-799.5No010825241315400047,903*
973822-898.5No06423201819710057,713*
963823-796.2No0421915232212310067,641*
953723-891.3No021149252217720078,172*
943724-783.0No101052519221241088,630*
933624-870.9No106222152419820098,270*
923625-756.1No00411810232414410108,033*
913525-840.2No00201361927219200116,051*
903526-726.2No00109313262815400121,983*
893426-815.5No000518223123810128,003*
883427-78.3No0003141630301420129,812*
873327-83.9No02021026342250129,800*
863328-71.7No000101619342991127,484*
853228-80.7No00003133236141123,788*
843229-70.3No0000182640213118,150*
833129-80.1No0000042041295110,336*
823130-70.0No00021439368101,453*
813030-80.0No0001935421291,600*
803031-70.0No000530471880,980*
792931-80.0No000324492470,285*
782932-7OutNo0218503160,710*
772832-8OutNo0113483851,091*
762833-7OutNo009454542,743*
752733-8OutNo006405334,306*
742734-7OutNo04366027,820*
732634-8OutNo03316621,379*
722635-7OutNo02267216,663*
712535-8OutNo1217812,771*
702536-7OutNo117839,429*
692436-8OutNo014866,923*
682437-7OutNo011895,117*
672337-8OutNo008913,491*
662338-7OutNo06942,428*
652238-8OutNo5951,599*
642239-7OutNo3971,129*
632139-8OutNo298686*
622140-7OutNo298475*
612040-8OutNo199323*
602041-7OutNo100167*
592042-6OutNo298105*
581841-9OutNo29861*
13-57OutNo100297*
Total:29.6%0.2%1224375681013151592,462,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche 1 Kings 3 +0.0
Sharks 0 Flames 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Coyotes+0.7-0.0-0.1-0.9-0.9-1.0
Flames vs Red Wings+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
Kings vs Sharks-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Lightning vs Ducks-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117-149100
1164813-79441
1154814-692711
1144815-5821233
1134715-6791354
1124615-76719760
1114515-8602310600
1104516-747281411000
1094517-6353415114101
1084417-72436192171010
1074317-8163521319312
1064318-793222522513000
1054218-84272010228305000
1044219-7221171319145080010
1034119-8014131715188111101000
1024120-70891992211114312000
1014020-805518522144156204000
1004021-722162181571410407110
993921-811131131312101570912000
983922-70090891661811212340000
973822-80060451831814512770100
963823-7004022161141410101210231000
953723-8002111309111561613562000
943724-710010057183161210115100
933624-810060231911491614104100
923625-70004111601041914151041000
913525-8002001206117917171041000
903526-70010090301351420191141000
893426-80000510827162320114100
883427-7000031040310192420114100
873327-80020020141222251993000
863328-70001010015142426187200
853228-8000000027172625155100
843229-7000000131021282311300
833129-800000001413252919710
823130-700002719302713300
813030-800001312263220610
803031-7000161932281120
792931-800031328331840
782932-7001723362670
772832-80004173433120
762833-70002113038181
752733-800162541252
742734-70041842333
732634-80021339415
722635-701935487
712535-806295411
702536-704245814
692436-802186020
682437-71146025
672337-801105831
662338-7075439
652238-8055143
642239-7024751
632139-814058
622140-713961
612040-802971
602041-72773
592042-622474
581841-91387
571943-61882
561843-7793
551844-62278
541845-5100
531644-82080
13-52100
Total:011211131225132433456677777531