Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Lost to Sharks 3-4 (so), playoff odds up 0.5 to 79.1%
38 points   16 14-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 1 Wild 2 -0.9
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 +0.6
+0.1
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+0.5
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild vs Jets-0.5-0.6-0.7*+0.0*+0.1+1.1
Blues vs Sharks-0.5-0.7-0.5*+0.1*-0.1+0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
130460-0In99.0%9900209
119-122InYes1004*
118384-4In25.02513638*
117385-3In40.040605*
116375-4In18.218235922*
115376-3In16.0171167581*
114366-4In8.01415674125*
113367-3In4.87107507227*
112357-4In2.861072120471*
111358-3In1.747711160807*
110348-4In0.9266812221,490*
109349-3In0.1146312922,486*
108339-4In0.10355335404,114*
107329-5In0.00247342606,581*
1063210-4InNo013854601009,977*
1053110-5InNo0131550014014,785*
1043111-4InNo0023552019121,132*
1033011-5InNo016552025129,393*
1023012-4InNo011550032239,951*
1012912-5InNo07446139351,826*
1002913-4InNo04341146566,145*
992813-5100.0%No022341528081,352*
982814-4100.0No0122725612097,530*
972714-599.9No0121259170113,131*
962715-499.8No0115359230129,527*
952615-599.6No00103582900142,839*
942616-499.1No0062543610153,626*
932516-598.2No0042484420160,956*
922517-496.3No0022425140163,785*
912417-593.2No00113457700163,322*
902418-488.6No00127611110158,416*
892318-582.0No001206117100149,553*
882319-473.6No0014592330137,426*
872219-563.0No0095431500122,397*
862220-451.3No00646381010107,754*
852120-539.7No0033743152091,690*
842121-428.6No00227452240075,966*
832021-519.2No0118423081062,265*
822022-412.0No01237361320049,053*
811922-56.9No0730392040038,303*
801923-43.4No0322382781028,484*
791823-51.6No02143633132020,731*
781824-40.7No0182937204014,927*
771724-50.3No052337267110,250*
761725-40.1No021634331326,883*
751625-5OutNo11030362034,673*
741626-4OutNo1622372773,093*
731526-5OutNo02173534111,882*
721527-4OutNo1113240161,090*
711427-5OutNo016244723691*
701428-4OutNo4174534399*
691328-5OutNo0143947237*
681329-4OutNo73954118*
671330-3OutNo7395459*
661129-6OutNo6207435*
651130-5OutNo297121*
641131-4OutNo198116*
631132-3OutNo40605*
38-62OutNo100216*
Total:79.1%0.0%0021101313512521002,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.1
Predators 1 Wild 2 +0.0
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Wild vs Jets+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130460-09900
119-122100
118384-4251363
117385-34060
116375-4182359
115376-316111675
114366-486156614
113367-3531073207
112357-433100701120
111358-322706931160
110348-4115061612202
109349-30131531012802
108339-400214313335140
107329-5001132153041160
1063210-400021175042401000
1053110-500013185043701300
1043111-400071750421101801
1033011-50031341361602411
1023012-4001104128220030320
1012912-500073119271033630
1002913-400422113010351150
992813-500211529103319710
982814-4001012252027291020
972714-500112021203913400
962715-4001014111246149000
952615-5000010127511316000
942616-40000612351112510000
932516-5000040214783711000
922517-400201041447111000
912417-500101034255222100
902418-4000102716013431000
892318-5000102006113553100
882319-4001405902687300
872219-500905401510127200
862220-4006460031017135100
852120-50033700171821112000
842121-4002270141526186100
832021-50118002112527133000
822022-40120162131217100
811922-50700214302914400
801923-4030182432228100
791823-50200416302915400
781824-401019243322810
771724-50051830291430
761725-40021025332271
751625-5015183230122
741626-4031228332040
731526-500623352790
721527-403163234131
711427-50182543211
701428-4052240302
691328-511433465
681329-4742438
671330-32334547
661129-63265714
651130-5107614
641131-4195625
631132-36040
62830-86733
61932-56733
38-59100
Total:00001100370172553001123432110000