Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 91.6%
85 points   38 28-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lightning 5 Red Wings 4 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks vs Ducks+1.3-0.3-0.4-1.9-1.9-2.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canucks vs Stars+1.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.9-0.9-0.9
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Senators vs Kings+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1-1.2-1.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Wild vs Avalanche+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9970-0In94060112,510
9860-1In8001910165,730
9761-0In66031300548,036
50-2In5803750099,046
9651-1In400451410656,534
40-3In34048171031,250
9552-0100.0%2543284001,090,173
41-2100.0204332600308,668
30-4In164334705,529
9442-199.9102843162001,023,308
31-399.9826441930073,109
20-599.6721482130567
9343-099.341341329101,132,186
32-299.131240341010363,694
21-499.021037361319,410
10-6In629481631
9233-195.11324422550804,525
22-394.3132142286061,915
11-594.20120413250603
9134-082.90193340161670,054
23-280.80083141181204,435
12-478.601729422024,919
01-680.040402010
9024-157.300215413660339,013
13-354.30011340397022,156
02-547.7111354210153
8925-031.1000426491910225,359
14-228.800042550201054,896
03-428.232549221870
8815-110.4011045387073,168
04-39.60094340802,864
8716-02.603295217040,018
05-22.60327501905,765
8606-10.40114641206,377
8507-00.0043357703,619
Total:91.6%18021231812620008,140,500
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Canucks vs Stars-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Senators vs Kings-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Sharks vs Ducks-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Wild vs Avalanche-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9970-009401500
9860-108001190000
9761-0066003113000
50-2058003714000
9651-14000451130100
40-3340048116010
9552-02504302814000
41-220043031150000
30-416430341600
9442-1102804311611000
31-38260441181200
20-572148121120
9343-041304103217100
32-231204003419100
21-421037036111100
10-662948313
9233-1132404212432000
22-3132104212732000
11-5012041131230
9134-00193304068200
23-20083104179300
12-40172904281030
01-6404020
9024-10021504171912300
13-30011304082113400
02-5111351023137
8925-00004026422271320
14-20004025422281430
03-432552428124
8815-1011011230311320
04-300911230311420
8716-0030419372970
05-2030418373080
8606-10052443261
8507-000111394360
Total:018002102301801123210000