Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Lost to Wild 2-3, playoff odds down 1.4 to 88.6%
84 points   39 29-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild 3 Avalanche 2 -4.9
-0.6
Sharks 3 Ducks 2 +1.2
+0.0
Senators 5 Kings 3 +0.8
+0.1
Canucks 4 Stars 2 +0.8
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars vs Sabres-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Red Wings vs Kings+0.2-1.2-1.3-0.9-1.0+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10080-0In08701233,344
9970-1In078022063,717
9871-0In6403600210,942
60-2In64035052,209
9761-1In4705030348,420
50-3In470503024,049
9662-0In30060900577,433
51-2In300591010238,180
40-4In29591116,790
9552-1100.0%165724300790,815
41-3In1655253087,377
30-5In18542451,151
9453-0100.0741391110874,923
42-2100.07404012100436,091
31-4100.073741131018,636
20-6In73540172133
9343-199.62214327600964,956
32-399.62204329600123,411
21-599.521843297102,373
10-783.35033176
9244-096.51730402030799,302
33-296.21628402140410,627
22-495.9162741214019,001
11-693.5163234206154
9134-185.601133536131679,495
23-384.10111343714183,811
12-582.4011233371621,441
01-783.35033176
9035-060.400318393270450,727
24-258.500317393380209,465
13-457.4002163934808,327
02-657.43153939361
8925-132.3000527462200277,031
14-329.505254723127,786
03-530.962544241314
8826-010.800110414440153,864
15-29.601941455055,074
04-48.608394851,313
8716-12.3022559130061,016
05-31.90225591403,585
8617-00.3001056322028,662
06-20.3095533205,910
8507-1Out34347705,631
8408-0Out121562112,941
Total:88.6%012026221712830008,140,500
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Wild 3 Avalanche 2 +1.3
Canucks 4 Stars 2 -0.1
Senators 5 Kings 3 -0.1
Sharks 3 Ducks 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars vs Sabres+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Red Wings vs Kings-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10080-001860066
9970-100770061700
9871-006400333000
60-2064023300
9761-104701491200
50-34701491200
9662-0300060190000
51-23000591100000
40-42905911001
9552-11605702412000
41-3160550251200
30-5185402313
9453-07410391101100
42-27400401121100
31-473741112010
20-6735403142
9343-122104312724000
32-322004302825000
21-5218431291500
10-7503317
9244-0173004021821000
33-216280401193100
22-41627041120310
11-6163234218241
9134-1011303513576200
23-3011103413677200
12-50112330378730
01-7503317
9035-00031803991810200
24-20031703991811300
13-4002160399171330
02-63153982015
8925-10005027622261220
14-305025521271430
03-5625419261830
8826-000101021331301210
15-201921130331410
04-408193035151
8716-1020419393150
05-3020317383370
8617-00001626452010
06-200525462210
8507-10111433960
8408-0032553181
Total:00120002602201711123321000