Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 4.1 to 73.2%
85 points   39 30-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kings 1 Blue Jackets 3 +5.3
+0.2
Red Wings 5 Predators 4 -2.0
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks vs Avalanche-15.8+1.9+1.9+16.2+16.1+17.4
-0.7+0.0+0.0+0.7+0.7+0.7
Flames vs Kings+2.8-1.3-1.3-4.9-4.7-2.8
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Blackhawks vs Stars+1.3-0.5-0.4-1.6-1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Coyotes+0.3*+0.1+0.2-0.5-0.4-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9760-0In2376195,871
9650-1In11791000160,351
9551-0In5702230531,765
40-2In5672440108,201
9441-1100.0%138421720720,207
30-3100.013542193037,454
9342-099.80204131801,193,633
31-299.80173933100373,512
20-499.801538351206,940
9232-195.803204330401,239,280
21-395.6031841344092,329
10-596.3218403540650
9133-085.001831461411,371,035
22-281.90062848162458,473
11-478.705254919210,583
00-677.826522227
9023-150.10184139111,012,906
12-347.600741411270,283
01-545.605404312487
8924-022.30022146301838,090
13-218.5011746341233,165
02-416.8116463613,825
8814-14.304306060386,982
03-33.40329626016,584
8715-00.501164250256,844
04-20.3096526041,489
8605-10.0015345054,533
8506-0Out2672230,941
Total:73.2%1141620221510209,346,440
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 1 Blue Jackets 3 -0.3
Red Wings 5 Predators 4 +0.2
Rangers 5 Jets 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks vs Avalanche+1.4-0.1-0.1-1.5-1.5-1.5
Blackhawks vs Stars-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Flames vs Kings-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9760-02307501
9650-11107909000
9551-050700221200
40-25670241300
9441-1138421161100
30-313542119210
9342-002041031250000
31-20173903337000
20-4015380343900
9232-1032004322822000
21-303180412322200
10-521840233211
9133-00183114546410
22-20062814758410
11-4052514879510
00-626521174
9023-1018414152181
12-3007414162391
01-505405162491
8924-000221111312670
13-20117111322880
02-4116112332980
8814-1040319413030
03-303021842313
8715-000052949160
04-200052850160
8605-10001151370
8506-00231652
Total:10140160201212587410