Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Wild 1-2, playoff odds down 3.8 to 10.8%

27 points 12 19-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Predators 1 Wild 2	-3.8		-0.4
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2	+0.2
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)	*-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sabres vs Stars	+0.3+0.3+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.3
Wild vs Jets	-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.2-0.3+0.2
Blues vs Sharks	-0.2-0.1-0.3+0.1-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

123		48	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																72
108		39	6		-	3	In		33.3	%	33	67															3
107		39	7		-	2	In		No		20	20	60														5	*
106		36	5		-	7	In		20.0		20	60	20														5	*
105		37	7		-	4	In		3.6		14	46	32	7													28	*
104		37	8		-	3	In		2.4		10	41	39	5	5												41	*
103		36	8		-	4	In		1.8		14	46	19	17	4												114	*
102		36	9		-	3	In		No		6	45	27	17	6												173	*
101		35	9		-	4	In		No		2	36	28	27	7												288	*
100		34	9		-	5	In		No		1	28	20	35	13	3	0										500	*
99		34	10		-	4	In		No		1	22	13	40	18	4	2	0									765	*
98		33	10		-	5	In		No		0	14	11	43	18	11	4	0									1,257	*
97		33	11		-	4	99.9	%	No			12	6	45	17	15	5	1	0								1,985	*
96		32	11		-	5	99.8		No		0	6	2	40	17	24	8	2	0								3,053	*
95		32	12		-	4	99.1		No			4	1	34	13	30	12	5	1	0							4,509	*
94		31	12		-	5	97.5		No			2	0	27	9	36	15	8	2	0							6,219	*
93		31	13		-	4	94.4		No			1	0	20	5	39	15	13	5	1	0	0					8,658	*
92		30	13		-	5	87.1		No			1	0	13	2	39	14	18	10	3	0						11,437	*
91		30	14		-	4	77.1		No			0	0	8	1	35	11	22	16	5	1	0					14,855	*
90		29	14		-	5	61.9		No			0	0	5	0	27	8	22	23	11	3	0	0				18,982	*
89		28	14		-	6	46.2		No			0		3	0	21	4	18	28	19	6	1	0				23,426	*
88		28	15		-	5	31.3		No			0		1	0	14	2	13	28	26	12	3	0	0			28,367	*
87		27	15		-	6	19.2		No					1	0	9	1	8	24	31	19	6	1	0			33,293	*
86		27	16		-	5	10.3		No			0		0		5	0	4	18	31	27	11	2	0			38,358	*
85		26	16		-	6	5.3		No					0		3	0	2	12	27	32	18	5	0			43,191	*
84		26	17		-	5	2.3		No					0		1	0	1	7	21	33	26	9	1			46,634	*
83		25	17		-	6	0.9		No					0		1	0	0	3	14	30	32	16	3			50,325	*
82		25	18		-	5	0.4		No					0		0		0	1	8	25	36	24	6			52,155	*
81		24	18		-	6	0.1		No							0		0	0	5	18	35	32	9			53,687	*
80		24	19		-	5	0.1		No					0		0		0	0	2	12	32	38	16			53,403	*
79		23	19		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	1	7	26	43	23			51,765	*
78		23	20		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	4	20	43	33			49,202	*
77		22	20		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	14	42	42			45,902	*
76		22	21		-	5	0.0		No							0				0	1	9	38	52			41,643	*
75		21	21		-	6	Out		No											0	0	6	33	61			37,006	*
74		21	22		-	5	Out		No												0	3	27	70			31,762	*
73		20	22		-	6	Out		No												0	2	21	77			27,155	*
72		20	23		-	5	Out		No												0	1	16	83			22,342	*
71		19	23		-	6	Out		No												0	0	11	88			18,203	*
70		19	24		-	5	Out		No													0	9	91			14,250	*
69		18	24		-	6	Out		No													0	6	94			11,175	*
68		18	25		-	5	Out		No														4	96			8,406	*
67		17	25		-	6	Out		No													0	3	97			6,196	*
66		17	26		-	5	Out		No														2	98			4,506	*
65		16	26		-	6	Out		No														1	99			3,056	*
64		16	27		-	5	Out		No														1	99			2,131	*
63		15	27		-	6	Out		No														0	100			1,353	*
61	-62						Out		No															100			1,572	*
60		14	29		-	5	Out		No														1	99			335	*
59		14	30		-	4	Out		No														1	99			218	*
27	-58						Out		No															100			354	*

Total:							10.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	2	0	5	1	3	6	9	12	16	20	27			874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Predators 1 Wild 2	+0.9
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)	*+0.0
Devils 2 Senators 3	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sabres vs Stars	-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Avalanche vs Canucks	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Wild vs Jets	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Senators vs Canadiens	-0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

123		48	0		-	0	100
108		39	6		-	3	33		67
107		39	7		-	2		20	20		60
106		36	5		-	7	20		60		20
105		37	7		-	4	4	11	36	11	32		7
104		37	8		-	3	2	7	34	7	34	5	5		5
103		36	8		-	4	2	12	30	17	10	10	17		4
102		36	9		-	3		6	21	23	10	17	16	1	5	1
101		35	9		-	4		2	15	21	10	18	25	2	6	1
100		34	9		-	5		1	7	21	3	17	29	5	9	3	3		0
99		34	10		-	4		1	4	18	1	12	29	11	10	8	4	0	2		0
98		33	10		-	5		0	2	13	0	10	23	20	7	11	11	0	3	1	0
97		33	11		-	4			1	11	0	6	19	26	3	14	13	2	4	1	1		0
96		32	11		-	5		0	0	6		2	11	29	1	16	19	5	5	3	1	0	0
95		32	12		-	4			0	4		1	5	29	0	13	18	12	4	8	4	1	1	0
94		31	12		-	5			0	2		0	2	25	0	9	15	21	3	12	5	3	2	0	0
93		31	13		-	4				1		0	1	19		5	11	29	1	14	5	8	4	1	0	0
92		30	13		-	5				1		0	0	13		2	6	33	0	13	3	15	6	4	2	1	0	0
91		30	14		-	4				0		0	0	8		1	2	32	0	11	2	20	5	7	6	3	1	0	0
90		29	14		-	5				0		0	0	5		0	1	27	0	8	1	21	3	8	11	9	5	1	0	0
89		28	14		-	6				0				3		0	0	20		4	0	18	1	6	12	15	12	6	2	0	0
88		28	15		-	5				0				1		0	0	14		2	0	13	0	2	8	15	19	14	7	2	0	0
87		27	15		-	6								1		0	0	9		1		8	0	1	3	10	19	22	16	7	2	0	0	0
86		27	16		-	5				0				0				5		0		4	0	0	1	5	13	22	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
85		26	16		-	6								0				3		0		2		0	0	1	6	15	24	24	16	6	1	0	0
84		26	17		-	5								0				1		0		1		0	0	0	2	7	18	26	24	14	5	1	0
83		25	17		-	6								0				1		0		0			0	0	0	3	10	21	28	23	11	3	0	0
82		25	18		-	5								0				0				0				0	0	1	4	13	24	29	20	7	1	0
81		24	18		-	6												0				0					0	0	1	6	17	28	29	15	3	0
80		24	19		-	5								0				0				0					0	0	0	2	10	23	32	24	8	1
79		23	19		-	6												0										0	0	1	5	16	31	32	15	2
78		23	20		-	5												0										0	0	0	2	9	26	37	23	4
77		22	20		-	6												0											0	0	1	5	18	37	32	7
76		22	21		-	5												0												0	0	2	12	34	41	12
75		21	21		-	6																								0	0	1	7	28	47	18
74		21	22		-	5																									0	0	3	21	50	26
73		20	22		-	6																									0	0	2	15	50	34
72		20	23		-	5																										0	1	9	47	43
71		19	23		-	6																										0	0	6	42	52
70		19	24		-	5																											0	4	36	60
69		18	24		-	6																											0	2	30	68
68		18	25		-	5																												1	25	75
67		17	25		-	6																												1	20	80
66		17	26		-	5																												0	15	85
65		16	26		-	6																												0	12	88
64		16	27		-	5																												0	7	93
63		15	27		-	6																													6	94
62		15	28		-	5																													3	97
61		15	29		-	4																												0	3	97
60		14	29		-	5																													3	97
59		14	30		-	4																													3	97
58		13	30		-	5																													1	99
57		12	30		-	6																													5	95
27	-56																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	3	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	11