Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to Jets 1-2, playoff odds down 4.1 to 3.9%
72 points   32 31-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jets 2 Predators 1 -4.6
-0.5
Blues 4 Oilers 1 +0.8
+0.0
Kings 3 Avalanche 1 +0.4
+0.1
Lightning 1 Wild 4 -0.4
Red Wings 4 Canucks 3 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs vs Sharks+0.4-0.1*-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5
Canucks vs Canadiens-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
94110-099.4%No3729481213,609
93100-196.5No12194629308,239
92101-088.7No00103641111027,093
90-286.9No0010334412110,552
9191-170.6No00519462540069,979
80-367.4No04174628508,005
9092-049.2No002938381210115,680
81-244.6No00273640141083,169*
8982-124.5No0012224327500263,449
71-320.9No0219423070054,434*
8883-010.3No011034391420291,239
72-28.6No008324017200262,050
61-46.7No0062942203022,476*
8773-12.5No002184131700579,087
62-31.8No002154033910149,054
51-51.2No011338361116,515*
8663-20.4No000629422020493,208
74-00.5No001731421820479,453
52-40.3No052543233054,933*
8564-10.1No000215413470819,385
53-30.0No00113393790236,360
42-50.0No0111384011012,748*
8454-20.0No0052946181587,708
65-00.0No0063146161541,876
43-40.0No004254722171,817*
8355-10.0No0011647323780,947
44-3OutNo011446364232,456
33-5OutNo01114539413,333*
8245-2OutNo00637489461,280
56-0OutNo00840448431,114
34-4OutNo053452955,267*
8146-1OutNo002265516508,672
35-3OutNo02235818142,226
24-5OutNo012060197,536*
8047-0OutNo01165627240,763
36-2OutNo00135729235,995
25-4OutNo0011583125,157*
7937-1OutNo075142226,131*
26-3OutNo005514454,303
7838-0OutNo03425592,653
27-2OutNo02415776,702
16-4OutNo242576,212*
7728-1OutNo1306963,463
17-3OutNo1297011,848*
7629-0OutNo0208023,312
18-2OutNo0208014,995*
7519-1OutNo0128811,621*
74110-0OutNo7934,720*
73010-1OutNo496794
72011-0OutNo298962
Total:3.9%No0001371320262288,974,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets 2 Predators 1 +0.9
Kings 3 Avalanche 1 -0.1
Blues 4 Oilers 1 -0.0
Lightning 1 Wild 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Canucks vs Canadiens+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Senators vs Hurricanes-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Rangers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
94110-003752448012000
93100-11211846029011100
92101-00001036041024410
90-2000933440255200
9191-1000519046016128200
80-3041746016131020
9092-0000293800416209100
81-2002736004162311200
8982-1001222011029259100
71-30219019292711200
8883-00110004213423710
72-20080031934259100
61-40060317332811200
8773-10020172535226100
62-3002006233525810
51-5010052035271020
8663-200000110273521500
74-000100211303418400
52-40018243524710
8564-10000021332341620
53-3000021129361930
42-5001926372240
8454-200003173633101
65-0000419383080
43-40002143436131
8355-10001626422320
44-30052343273
33-50031943313
8245-200111394170
56-000214413760
34-40019374680
8146-10042952150
35-30032555170
24-502235718
8047-0011855260
36-2011556280
25-4011257300
7937-100750421
26-300650441
7838-00340542
27-20239562
16-4240562
7728-10128665
17-3127676
7629-00177211
18-20177211
7519-1097021
74110-056431
73010-125148
72011-013960
Total:00000103000147101316191870