Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to Islanders 3-4, playoff odds down 10.4 to 60.7%
18 points   8 5-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Predators 3 Islanders 4 -5.5
-1.1
-0.5
Stars 10 Flyers 4 -0.4
+0.1
-0.0
Jets 2 Red Wings 1 -0.4
-0.0
Ducks 1 Wild 3 *-0.1
Bruins 1 Maple Leafs 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Penguins vs Jets+0.6*+0.0*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Avalanche vs Kings*+0.0*-0.4-0.7*-0.3*-0.1+0.3
Wild vs Senators-0.3*-0.3*-0.2*+0.3*+0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-152InYes100419*
1204712-8In97.3%9911182*
1194814-5In97.39900299*
1184714-6In97.9991481*
1174614-7In95.19801750*
1164615-6In91.197111,163*
1154515-7In89.097121,808*
1144516-6In85.1952302,791*
1134416-7In76.7913603,797*
1124417-6In69.8884705,640*
1114317-7In59.184610007,945*
1104318-6In48.6779130110,902*
1094218-7In37.27111170114,008*
1084219-6In25.962142202018,974*
1074119-7In17.1531626030024,331*
1064019-8In9.7431931150030,895*
1054020-7In4.53321352801038,202*
1043920-8In1.824223831202046,582*
1033921-7100.0%0.6162138517030055,584*
1023821-8100.00.2101936822150065,125*
1013822-7100.00.05163012271810074,683*
1003722-899.90.03122414303122084,228*
993723-799.7No1917163151740093,570*
983623-899.2No061016298237100100,915*
973624-798.1No0451525112711200108,190*
963524-895.5No02311191530174000113,588*
953525-790.7No0118121529238100116,809*
943425-882.8No0005715262914300118,694*
933426-771.0No0033132031217100117,889*
923326-856.3No00211014292713300114,775*
913327-740.5No001068243120710110,788*
903227-826.5No0004418302713300103,595*
893228-715.3No000221126312071096,003*
883128-88.0No00116193127122087,588*
873129-73.8No0103132732195078,399*
863029-81.4No000172234278169,321*
853030-70.5No0000415323414159,831*
842930-80.2No00029273821350,474*
832931-70.0No0015214028542,346*
822831-80.0No0003153836834,229*
812832-70.0No0011034421227,834*
802732-8OutNo01628481722,207*
792733-7OutNo00422502417,261*
782633-8OutNo00217503113,264*
772634-7OutNo011248389,946*
762534-8OutNo01945467,419*
752535-7OutNo0641535,298*
742435-8OutNo0436603,684*
732436-7OutNo0231672,661*
722336-8OutNo225731,831*
712337-7OutNo0021781,299*
702338-6OutNo01683792*
692238-7OutNo1486532*
682239-6OutNo0991336*
672139-7OutNo496218*
662140-6OutNo793142*
652040-7OutNo59595*
642041-6OutNo79361*
631941-7OutNo39730*
18-62OutNo100217*
Total:60.7%2.0%6585105111110987522,220,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 3 Islanders 4 +1.1
Stars 10 Flyers 4 +0.1
Jets 2 Red Wings 1 +0.0
Blackhawks 2 Blues 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Kings+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Penguins vs Jets-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-152100
1204712-897211
1194814-597200
1184714-69811
1174614-795301
1164615-691611
1154515-789712
1144516-68592300
1134416-77714360
1124417-6701940700
1114317-759256010000
1104318-649298013001
1094218-7373410117101
1084219-62636131201020
1074119-7173614223303000
1064019-8103315426615000
1054020-7528157261020800100
1043920-82221392215301210200
1033921-711591218205015203000
1023821-809613122481184005000
1013822-705312625921971080100
1003722-803211221105181320111200
993723-7118116881318501524000
983623-80060106108227117570100
973624-700405311322931710101200
963524-8002031101189614161424100
953525-7001108012699211768100
943425-8000050741142216131241000
933426-7000303211119112015931000
923326-800021190146241515931000
913327-700010060822211181694100
903227-800004040176152118104100
893228-70000202011281823191041000
883128-800011061411202419103100
873129-701030151322251993000
863029-800010026152426177200
853030-7000000028172625155100
842930-800000131021282311300
832931-700001513252819710
822831-800002718292713300
812832-70001311253121710
802732-800161932281220
792733-70031227351940
782633-801722352770
772634-7003153335121
762534-802102939191
752535-70162540263
742435-8031840345
732436-7011239407
722336-8016344910
712337-706265216
702338-603225619
692238-72175329
682239-61105435
672139-7084744
662140-635641
652040-7113753
642041-6234649
632042-533067
621740-102476
611943-5100
601742-8100
18-59100
Total:242335234623565644444443322110