Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to Wild 1-4, playoff odds down 13.6 to 43.6%
0 points   0 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 1 Wild 4 -6.2
-0.6
Islanders 1 Blues 3 -0.5
-0.1
Jets 4 Blackhawks 3 +0.1
Blue Jackets 3 Sharks 2 (so)*+0.1
Stars 2 Oilers 3 (ot)*-0.1
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-162In100286*
1195618-7In99188*
1185518-8In100126*
1175418-9In9910220*
1165419-8In9911310*
1155319-9In9820488*
1145320-8In9711744*
1135220-9In952201,122*
1125221-8In93431,597*
1115121-9In905502,229*
1105122-8In868603,023*
1095022-9In81108004,300*
1085023-8In75131115,728*
1074923-9In6816150107,757*
1064924-8In6019190109,993*
1054824-9In50232313012,979*
1044825-8In402628240016,324*
1034725-9In3128313600020,398*
1024726-8In22303351001024,676*
1014626-9100.0%142834813020029,805*
1004526-10100.0925311218130035,556*
994527-999.9521261722261041,453*
984427-1099.92172020254920048,159*
974428-999.611314222681330054,458*
964328-1099.008822241218610060,892*
954329-997.4054202017211020067,506*
944229-1093.803216142023155100072,855*
934230-986.902112922222010310077,915*
924130-1076.2108520192416620081,780*
914131-961.500521713242212410084,946*
904031-1045.40031138212618820086,897*
894032-929.90010941525241451088,425*
883932-1018.0010521021272192087,455*
873933-99.2000315162627165185,925*
863833-104.30002021022292310282,586*
853834-91.900101516282916478,228*
843734-100.80000210243324773,423*
833735-90.30000161832311268,424*
823635-100.100031229371861,691*
813636-90.00001824412655,826*
803536-100.00001418413549,448*
793537-90.0000213394542,933*
783437-100.000019365436,662*
773438-9Out0016316331,313*
763338-10Out003267125,793*
753339-9Out02207821,453*
743239-10Out01178217,442*
733240-9Out01128713,740*
723140-10Out0099110,730*
713141-9Out06938,471*
703041-10Out05956,536*
693042-9Out3975,005*
682942-10Out3973,666*
672943-9Out1992,693*
662843-10Out1991,984*
652844-9Out1991,354*
642744-10Out0100997*
632745-9Out0100680*
0-62Out1001,447*
Total:43.6%44566667889910121,818,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 1 Wild 4 +1.3
Islanders 1 Blues 3 +0.1
Jets 4 Blackhawks 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Flames+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0
Coyotes vs Canucks*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195618-79721
1185518-8991
1175418-998010
1165419-898111
1155319-996220
1145320-893411
1135220-9896220
1125221-885843
1115121-9791150500
1105122-87313860
1095022-96318100800
1085023-854211301101
1074923-94226160150010
1064924-83228191181010
1054824-920302122221300
1044825-8132822424424000
1034725-96242262563060000
1024726-8319209231050900100
1014626-9113161219158013102000
1004526-100911151318111162103000
994527-905615719142175205010
984427-100241431715516940911000
974428-911111131391214801223000
964328-1001808101271711114460100
954329-90050451431713313891200
944229-1000302313113138101312351000
934230-9002111109912517137931000
924130-10100804515217101413831000
914131-9000522150135191313831000
904031-100003111208219915151041000
894032-900010080401541117171262100
883932-10010052010151118201583100
873933-9000003105015121921171041000
863833-10000020020015111923191151000
853834-90010010001512192420125100
843734-100000000151220252011410
833735-90000000015132226201030
823635-10000000261525271871
813636-900000028192826143
803536-10000013112431237
793537-90001617313113
783437-100000311283721
773438-900016214131
763338-100003154042
753339-9001103752
743239-100163261
733240-90042571
723140-10022078
713141-9011584
703041-1011188
693042-90892
682942-100594
672943-9496
662843-100397
652844-9298
642744-10199
632745-90100
622746-8100
612747-70100
0-60100
Total:222323232334243433333444445556