Nashville Predators Playoff Chances

Lost to Rangers 2-4, playoff odds down 10.4 to 65.4%
50 points   22 18-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 2 Rangers 4 -7.1
-0.6
Blues 2 Maple Leafs 3 +0.8
+0.1
Jets 4 Lightning 3 (ot)-0.5
-0.0
Avalanche 3 Blackhawks 2 (so)-0.4
-0.0
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (ot)*-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks vs Sabres-0.5-0.5-0.4*+0.2*-0.1+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122360-0In97.8%1000315
115312-3In66.710012*
114313-2In70.095520*
113303-3In39.379111156*
112304-2In23.9701615109*
111294-3In14.0651817272*
110295-2In10.4601822604*
109285-3In4.7442332001,331*
108286-2In2.3402436002,432*
107276-3In0.7292644014,376*
106266-4In0.3212651127,630*
105267-3In0.01426552312,714*
104257-4In0.092360440020,254*
103258-3InNo52061770030,858*
102248-4InNo31659121100045,608*
101249-3InNo11252181600064,632*
100239-4InNo1944242111087,512*
992310-3InNo06333027210114,153*
982210-4100.0%No042334325300144,513*
972211-3100.0No0214343410500174,744*
962111-499.9No0183233179100205,854*
952112-399.7No1327282513300233,201*
942012-498.9No01202133186100255,418*
932013-396.4No001412372112300271,679*
921913-490.5No009636201982000277,140*
911914-379.3No0053311724155100274,566*
901814-462.8No00212411252411200264,321*
891815-343.5No010166202920710246,499*
881715-426.0No0010313292814300221,305*
871716-313.1No00517223223810193,446*
861616-45.8No002031430311630163,527*
851617-32.2No0101723352580133,565*
841517-40.7No00003153234151106,398*
831518-30.2No0018253924380,951*
821418-40.1No00003173835760,357*
811419-30.0No00011034431243,515*
801319-4OutNo00526491930,223*
791320-3OutNo0218522720,643*
781220-4OutNo0112503713,347*
771221-3OutNo0746478,479*
761121-4OutNo0439565,305*
751122-3OutNo0233652,992*
741022-4OutNo226731,725*
731023-3OutNo12179992*
72923-4OutNo1387499*
71924-3OutNo0991250*
70824-4OutNo793146*
69825-3OutNo59556*
68826-2OutNo10021*
67625-5OutNo69417*
66727-2OutNo33673*
50036-0OutNo100315
Total:65.4%0.0%027121117899875313,828,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 2 Rangers 4 +1.3
Blues 2 Maple Leafs 3 -0.1
Jets 4 Lightning 3 (ot)+0.1
Avalanche 3 Blackhawks 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Sharks vs Sabres+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122360-09820
115312-36733
114313-270255
113303-339391111
112304-22446151141
111294-31451152171
110295-21049126202
109285-354015825800
108286-223813102313000
107276-312812142420010
106266-40209162130110
105267-301471916392021
104257-4095181050403100
103258-353175566134000
102248-431152561024700000
101249-3111215214441200000
100239-410804415931910000
992310-30060331515225200100
982210-400402313211314112000
972211-3002149250347215000
962111-40018526033106180100
952112-30133240281213013120000
942012-40111902111220181510000
932013-30001412830020111121000
921913-40009643302001813310000
911914-3000532301702415752000
901814-4002102411025141012831000
891815-301001660200281516104100
881715-4000103130141321191141000
871716-30005170017162422124100
861616-4002030002819262212410
851617-301010031021272211300
841517-40000001412232921820
831518-30000151527291850
821418-40000027193128122
811419-3000002112635214
801319-400151836339
791320-300210304216
781220-4005224626
771221-302154736
761121-40194348
751122-3063658
741022-4033068
731023-322277
72923-41585
71924-301090
70824-47921
69825-3595
68826-2100
67625-5694
66727-23367
50036-04258
Total:00010739011413080901234544332110