St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Beat Islanders 3-1, playoff odds up 8.9 to 66%
2 points   1 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Islanders 1 Blues 3 +4.8
+0.5
Stars 2 Oilers 3 (ot)*-0.2
Canucks 2 Kings 3 (so)*-0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Sharks 2 (so)*-0.1
Predators 1 Wild 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Flames*-0.1-0.5*-0.2*-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In1001,268*
1195519-7In1000665*
1185419-8In9900931*
1175319-9In99101,341*
1165320-8In99101,940*
1155220-9In98112,656*
1145221-8In97213,656*
1135121-9In95325,044*
1125122-8In944206,884*
1115022-9In916408,997*
1105023-8In8775011,624*
1094923-9In821070014,857*
1084924-8In77131000018,824*
1074824-9In7017130123,085*
1064825-8In61211701027,992*
1054725-9In5225211200033,341*
1044726-8In4228251300039,440*
1034626-9In3231283500045,814*
1024627-8In2432315801052,662*
1014527-9In16313281101058,470*
1004528-8100.0%1029301215120064,884*
994428-9100.05262617192400070,933*
984429-899.9321212123471076,388*
974329-999.7116152424711200080,903*
964330-899.3011925231215410084,111*
954230-998.0075232017198200086,452*
944231-895.104219142121134100088,250*
934131-989.30311492321188200087,962*
924132-879.501010523182214510086,376*
914032-966.210622014232010310084,166*
904033-850.00041169212417720080,142*
893933-934.00201151625231341075,563*
883934-820.9010721022272092070,057*
873834-911.2000416162726155163,990*
863835-85.5000203112329229157,759*
853735-92.500101617282815351,651*
843736-81.00100311243222644,987*
833636-90.40000171933301138,518*
823536-100.1000031330361733,143*
813537-90.00002825402527,546*
803538-80.0001520413423,060*
793438-9Out00314404318,942*
783439-8Out0110375215,094*
773339-9Out016316212,030*
763340-8Out0426709,442*
753240-9Out0222767,291*
743241-8Out0117825,527*
733141-9Out114864,158*
723142-8Out09912,960*
713042-9Out09912,060*
703043-8Out04961,585*
692943-9Out3971,123*
682944-8Out397735*
672844-9Out199527*
662845-8Out199342*
652846-7Out0100235*
642645-10Out199147*
632646-9Out199108*
2-62Out100302*
Total:66.0%10109988776666551,818,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders 1 Blues 3 -1.1
Stars 2 Oilers 3 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Flames+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Penguins vs Capitals*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1*+0.0
Coyotes vs Canucks-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Ducks vs Oilers*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255715-9982
123-124100
1225617-8991
1215517-91000
1205518-8991
1195519-79900
1185419-899100
1175319-998110
1165320-897210
1155220-995311
1145221-894321
1135121-990632
1125122-88684020
1115022-98011640
1105023-873147500
1094923-964191007000
1084924-85423130100000
1074824-9422716113001
1064825-83130201161010
1054725-92031232192120000
1044726-813302442131030000
1034626-96262472363050000
1024627-8321221121105070010
1014527-911517141714801010100
1004528-801012171218121132102000
994428-9058187201521542040000
984429-8034173181651484070100
974329-912141141591113709120000
964330-8011009101461611112340100
954230-900705617317134117712000
944231-80040231611413891210241000
934131-9003111309101351611673100
924132-800100100561721691311621000
914032-91006023170135181111731000
904033-8000411150921981414941000
893933-9002001105015410161612621000
883934-80100720101411181915831000
873834-90000410601511192117104100
863835-80000203001512192318114100
853735-9001010001512202420114100
843736-80100000151221242011410
833636-900000002513222620930
823536-10000000261524271861
813537-90000028192826133
803538-800014122431226
793438-9001618313112
783439-801311283820
773339-9016224031
763340-8003164041
753240-9001103751
743241-80163261
733141-90042770
723142-8022078
713042-9011683
703043-801188
692943-90991
682944-80793
672844-9298
662845-8199
652846-7199
642645-10199
632646-9199
2-62100
Total:555545453435343422233333332222