St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.2 to 76.3%
37 points   16 12-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 1 Wild 2 -1.4
-0.1
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 +0.4
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)*-0.2
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Sharks+3.7+3.7+3.4-0.5-0.4-4.5
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3
Wild vs Jets-0.7-1.1-1.0*+0.2*+0.2+1.6
-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Sabres vs Stars+0.2*+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.5-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-135InYes100210*
120406-3InNo1002*
118-119InYes1004*
117387-4In25.0%25754*
116388-3In31.836273622*
115378-4In20.821423853*
114368-5In16.7213343372*
113369-4In6.310414631191*
112359-5In4.37375050323*
1113510-4In1.94335490587*
1103410-5In0.522659121954*
1093310-6In0.3124551821,775*
1083311-5In0.1118532632,711*
1073211-6In0.00144833504,296*
1063212-5InNo0114241606,592*
1053112-6InNo0834498109,921*
1043113-5InNo062755112014,206*
1033013-6InNo42059134020,090*
1023014-5InNo31363156027,802*
1012914-6InNo29621710036,409*
1002915-5InNo156018160047,068*
992815-6InNo135617230059,850*
982816-5100.0%No0151163100073,953*
972716-6100.0No0145134010087,982*
962717-599.9No00381049100102,929*
952617-699.8No0032757210117,680*
942618-599.6No00265642200131,418*
932518-699.1No00203703310143,001*
922519-597.9No00162723520151,271*
912419-695.8No01117337400156,664*
902420-592.7No0807239700158,103*
892320-688.0No60693111110155,669*
882321-581.1No0406421216200149,920*
872221-672.8No205711222500140,954*
862222-562.8No1050111288100129,391*
852122-652.2No1042193214200115,597*
842123-541.8No0034073420400100,965*
832023-631.6No02705332771087,216*
822024-523.1No020033033122072,320*
811924-615.8No0140225381840058,882*
801925-510.6No0100119382671046,706*
791825-66.5No0600133532122036,112*
781826-54.0No4083036184027,311*
771726-62.2No20052337257120,600*
761727-51.0No10216353212214,522*
751627-60.5No1110303718310,342*
741628-50.2No00623382656,987*
731528-60.1No00317373394,743*
721529-50.0No001113340143,146*
711429-6OutNo162842231,918*
701430-5OutNo032044331,232*
691431-4OutNo1124542707*
681331-5OutNo0174051411*
671231-6OutNo64153244*
661232-5OutNo52570133*
651132-6OutNo158579*
641133-5OutNo158546*
631134-4OutNo247617*
37-62OutNo100227*
Total:76.3%0.0%001174482511731102,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 1 Wild 2 +0.2
Sharks 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Sharks-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Wild vs Jets+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Sabres vs Stars-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1
Capitals vs Bruins-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-135100
120406-3100
118-119100
117387-42575
116388-33252736
115378-4214238
114368-5174321433
113369-46440145131
112359-54335250150
1113510-42331252290
1103410-511252536121
1093310-601204488182
1083311-50114443102603
1073211-600953414320500
1063212-50652517401600
1053112-603416194727110
1043113-50249185149220
1033013-613416537103400
1023014-502212501296600
1012914-6011843198910000
1002915-501053525612151000
992815-6010326313142120000
982816-50001173421426500000
972716-60011034112301100000
962717-5006330103019010000
952617-6003290727300110000
942618-50012505224302110000
932518-600020316540312100000
922519-50001521062031411000
912419-60011166803071110000
902420-5008036903091221100
892320-6060167301112432000
882321-50040163201202564100
872221-62005710120148841000
862222-51005011101391393000
852122-61004219002715157200
842123-500034070015142014510
832023-602705000210222110200
822024-50200300161926176100
811924-60140200314272511300
801925-5010010018233019610
791825-6060000417302712300
781826-54000210253120710
771726-62000151832271330
761727-5100212273220610
751627-610161933281110
741628-50031330321830
731528-6001724352670
721529-5004163434120
711429-602102938201
701430-5152141303
691431-421339405
681331-52935496
671231-68324911
661232-55225915
651132-61106722
641133-5116722
631134-4244729
621034-52278
611035-44060
60935-5100
59835-63367
37049-0100
Total:00000151213939010501123443211000