St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 2.8%
54 points   23 26-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 5 Capitals 4 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Canucks+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Blue Jackets vs Ducks+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Coyotes vs Hurricanes-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
104250-0InNo18660016350
102241-0InNo1001
101231-1InNo7114147*
100221-2InNo641644332*
99222-1InNo258582865*
98212-2InNo146682101194*
97213-1InNo185594221547*
96203-299.9%No45521025401,443*
95193-399.3No0143712378102,924*
94194-297.9No0223174116206,263*
93184-392.4No011116392571011,904*
92185-281.4No0041330341530021,300*
91175-362.3No018183526102035,853*
90176-239.4No004926332061058,071*
89166-319.8No00231531301530087,195*
88167-27.7No01162134271010125,031*
87157-32.2No0021027352040168,209*
86158-20.5No0004183632100100,642
147-40.4No0004163533110115,450*
85148-30.1No00182741211137,014*
159-10.1No000182841211128,520*
84149-20.0No00031843342172,141*
138-40.0No000031742352136,250*
83139-3OutNo01937485164,673
1410-1OutNo01937485178,623*
821310-2OutNo00429589163,306
129-4OutNo004275910199,631*
811210-3OutNo02186416175,988
1311-1OutNo002186416190,091*
801211-2OutNo01116523158,210
1110-4OutNo00106525195,482*
791111-3OutNo0066133154,744
1212-1OutNo066133169,919*
781112-2OutNo035542129,384
1011-4OutNo035444157,271*
771012-3OutNo014653114,992
1113-1OutNo014653125,398*
761013-2OutNo013762193,255*
75913-3OutNo02971146,696*
74914-2OutNo02278107,320*
73814-3OutNo0168474,536*
72815-2OutNo0118949,555*
71715-3OutNo079331,362*
70716-2OutNo59518,926*
69616-3OutNo039710,658*
68617-2OutNo2985,786*
67517-3OutNo1992,940*
66518-2OutNo01001,434*
65519-1OutNo199651*
54-64OutNo100763*
Total:2.8%No000000123591739254,231,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Penguins vs Bruins+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104250-018149510115
102241-0100
101231-1711414
100221-264163413
99222-12553652226
98212-21442682191
97213-11832594012101
96203-242305291025130
95193-30113378403617000
94194-200223970411151100
93184-300111610039025142000
92185-20004310300342763100
91175-300117180351813105100
90176-2000490260514181572000
89166-3000231501717231893100
88167-200116002819262111410
87157-3002002819272413400
86158-20000002920292511200
147-4000002819282613300
85148-3000029223226910
159-100000029223225910
84149-20000031127352130
138-40000021126362130
83139-30000416363590
821310-200182844182
129-400172745192
811210-30021747304
1311-10021646305
801211-201941409
1110-4018404110
791111-3004324817
1212-1004314817
781112-201225125
1011-401215127
771012-3001349370
1113-1001349370
761013-200843490
75913-30436600
74914-20228700
73814-30120790
72815-2014860
71715-309910
70716-206940
69616-303970
68617-2298
67517-3199
66518-20100
65519-1199
59-64100
54025-0982
Total:000000000000102001123458132123170