"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0005 to 83.7%
21 points   9 3-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Red Wings 3 Flames 2 (so)*-0.1
Senators 2 Panthers 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks vs Blues-3.1*+0.1*+0.1+2.9+3.2+3.6
-1.6*-0.2*-0.1+1.6+1.8+1.9
-0.4-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.5
Jets vs Red Wings-0.3*-0.2*-0.1*+0.1*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Stars vs Flyers-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.3
+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2*-0.2-0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ducks vs Wild+0.2*+0.1*-0.1-0.4*-0.1-0.1
Predators vs Islanders-0.2*-0.3*-0.1*+0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Sabres vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.2*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.2
Bruins vs Maple Leafs-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-155In99.9%100817*
1234813-6In99.11000446*
1224713-7In99.0100719*
1214714-6In98.3100001,146*
1204614-7In98.0100001,751*
1194615-6In96.799002,457*
1184515-7In94.899003,625*
1174516-6In93.399015,215*
1164416-7In89.4981107,324*
1154417-6In85.19711010,186*
1144317-7In79.99622013,625*
1134318-6In72.59433018,041*
1124218-7In64.89154023,129*
1114219-6In54.587660029,276*
1104119-7In44.1829800036,334*
1094120-6In33.276121200044,320*
1084020-7In23.269151501052,943*
1074021-6In14.8601920020062,033*
1063921-7In8.2502224130071,011*
1053922-6In3.93925292500079,941*
1043822-7In1.63027323701089,030*
1033823-6In0.521273551101096,918*
1023723-7100.0%0.11426348150200102,915*
1013724-6100.00.08233112201400107,855*
1003624-7100.00.04192616242710111,175*
993524-899.9No215201928411200112,149*
983525-799.7No111132128715400111,605*
973425-899.0No078202611206100109,083*
963426-797.6No0441721162411200103,957*
953326-894.4No0221415192617510097,758*
943327-788.3No011109202523920090,397*
933227-878.6No0106518212716510082,179*
923228-765.1No0042151628231020073,850*
913128-849.4No00211110252816510064,784*
903129-734.4No0010862030231020055,844*
893029-820.6No0000431327291851047,387*
883030-711.5No00318213125102039,537*
872930-85.7No0104152831164032,484*
862931-72.4No0010292433247125,903*
852932-61.1No0001516333113220,500*
842832-70.3No000211283719316,176*
832833-60.2No00016223827612,118*
822733-70.0No000317363499,344*
812734-6OutNo02113439146,751*
802634-7OutNo0162745215,082*
792635-6OutNo0042146283,536*
782535-7OutNo21647342,510*
772536-6OutNo11243441,768*
762436-7OutNo01842491,098*
752437-6OutNo163757789*
742337-7OutNo33067471*
732237-8OutNo12772331*
722238-7OutNo11980218*
712138-8OutNo11188131*
702139-7OutNo148674*
692039-8OutNo2128752*
681939-9OutNo49625*
671940-8OutNo307010*
21-66OutNo100187*
Total:83.7%7.1%1911148116975432102,100,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Blackhawks vs Blues+0.8+0.0+0.0-0.8-0.9-1.0
Stars vs Flyers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Predators vs Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Jets vs Red Wings+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Ducks vs Wild-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0
Bruins vs Maple Leafs+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-155100
1244812-71000
1234813-69910
1224713-7991
1214714-698100
1204614-798200
1194615-697300
1184515-795500
1174516-693601
1164416-7899110
1154417-68512110
1144317-780162020
1134318-6722130300
1124218-7652650400
1114219-65533606000
1104119-744389080000
1094120-633421111110000
1084020-723451321410100
1074021-6154515417302000
1063921-7842166195103000
1053922-643515102092040000
1043822-72291313181530700100
1033823-602110171420501010100
1023723-701371992471123002000
1013724-60841952693146104000
1003624-70421722410613112071100
993524-82114119910111740922000
983525-71010013714621611243000
973425-8007084163239313860100
963426-700404215120971113102200
953326-800221130148117191255100
943327-700110909515421121083100
933227-8010060531612010171272000
923228-700042114016523131272100
913128-80021011010223101614831000
903129-700100806119614191683100
893029-80000043013291722179310
883030-700310814112023179310
872930-801004015142324178200
862931-7001020027162524166200
852932-600010038182624145100
842832-700000141122272210300
832833-6000001514252719710
822733-70000281928261330
812734-601312243220710
802634-70161731281330
792635-600131125332150
782535-7016203428101
772536-603143035162
762436-70292639222
752437-6142339304
742337-7021338389
732237-8111344014
722238-707284618
712138-85214826
702139-711185327
692039-82154835
681939-9124444
672142-48020
661941-7100
651942-62575
642044-33367
21-63100
Total:7124758354724453422222211110000