St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Lost to Blue Jackets 4-5 (so), playoff odds down 2.9 to 13%
28 points   12 15-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues 4 Blue Jackets 5 (so)-1.5
No
-0.1
Flyers 3 Avalanche 4 -0.4
Predators 4 Lightning 2 -0.3
Ducks 2 Panthers 4 +0.3
Capitals 1 Kings 3 -0.3
Flames 2 Red Wings 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks vs Oilers+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.3*-0.1*-0.1
Canucks vs Bruins-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Coyotes vs Maple Leafs-0.2*-0.2*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
112-130In99.1%100211*
111397-5InNo88138*
110398-4InNo1005*
109388-5InNo8251422*
108389-4In2.67732139*
107379-5InNo74322172*
106369-6In0.6636302161*
1053610-5In0.447123713259*
1043510-6InNo39134108496*
1033511-5InNo3014432110830*
1023411-6InNo181447218101,338*
1013412-5InNo131445620022,210*
1003312-6InNo813409261403,455*
993313-5InNo4103312341605,353*
983213-6100.0%No27251536311108,048*
973214-599.9No151617376162011,423*
963114-699.6No0391634102350016,383*
953115-599.0No0241327152991022,436*
943015-696.6No012101919311530030,316*
933016-591.8No000711203122710039,605*
922916-682.5No004519262914310050,741*
912917-568.1No002215183122820063,242*
902817-650.7No00111111272815510076,700*
892818-532.9No000762030241020091,162*
882718-618.5No004212273018610105,332*
872719-59.1No002161931261230118,806*
862619-63.6No001031227322061131,651*
852620-51.4No00016193228122142,523*
842520-60.4No00003122834194149,316*
832521-50.1No0000172236278154,143*
822421-60.0No000314333514155,088*
812422-50.0No00019284121152,863*
802322-60.0No0005214330146,531*
792323-5OutNo002154241136,786*
782223-6OutNo001103851125,582*
772224-5OutNo0063361112,573*
762124-6OutNo003277099,281*
752125-5OutNo002217784,187*
742025-6OutNo01168371,055*
732026-5OutNo00118857,527*
721926-6OutNo0089145,655*
711927-5OutNo0069435,807*
701827-6OutNo049627,156*
691828-5OutNo039720,285*
681728-6OutNo019914,681*
671729-5OutNo19910,345*
661629-6OutNo1997,332*
651630-5OutNo01004,853*
641530-6OutNo01003,236*
631531-5OutNo01002,086*
621431-6OutNo01001,277*
611432-5OutNo0100763*
28-60OutNo1001,305*
Total:13.0%0.0%0001123568111419282,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues 4 Blue Jackets 5 (so)+0.3
Flyers 3 Avalanche 4 +0.1
Predators 4 Lightning 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders vs Penguins-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Jets vs Sharks+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130510-0100
112407-4100
111397-58813
110398-4100
109388-582559
108389-437431010
107379-57433191
106369-61622472211
1053610-504738532122
1043510-63966438035
1033511-530492412470
1023411-61841014621414100
1013412-51321214542416011
1003312-68212405422300220
993313-541903366232102400
983213-62070255101353038100
973214-51051641303741314110
963114-600393140346422122000
953115-5002411202788127361000
943015-6012010197121303122100
933016-50000711516030220331000
922916-600045216025127465200
912917-500022114018030491072000
902817-60011010011027281414831000
892818-50000660201513201793100
882718-60004201202818231893100
872719-500021060131122251883000
862619-600010300151424261782000
852620-500010016162525166100
842520-600000002819272514410
832521-500000013102229231020
822421-60000151426291961
812422-500000271931271220
802322-6000031227332150
792323-5001620343090
782223-60003133137160
772224-500172542240
762124-600041843340
752125-50021241450
742025-6001736551
732026-500430641
721926-60224722
711927-50118784
701827-60012816
691828-509838
681728-60068311
671729-5048214
661629-6027919
651630-517623
641530-617030
631531-506436
621431-605842
611432-504951
601332-64753
591333-54159
581233-63268
571234-52575
561134-61981
551135-52575
541035-6793
531036-51486
521037-4100
51836-7100
28-50100
Total:0000000101020304012345679101213141