St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 40%
23 points   10 9-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Wild 2 Panthers 1 -0.2
Rangers 3 Ducks 2 (so)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Bruins+4.0+3.9+3.4-1.3-1.2-6.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Devils vs Oilers+0.5*-0.3*+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6
Jets vs Stars*-0.1-0.6-0.5-0.3*-0.4+0.4
Canucks vs Avalanche+0.1*-0.3*-0.3-0.5*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-143In99.2%100246*
1174410-6In92.696427*
1164411-5In90.010060*
1154311-6In82.79721110*
1144211-7In78.4991167*
1134212-6In65.89326281*
1124112-7In60.09136488*
1114113-6In46.688570841*
1104013-7In39.48351201,353*
1094014-6In28.876716102,091*
1083914-7In17.8689220203,157*
1073915-6In11.76012250304,668*
1063815-7In5.849143105006,680*
1053816-6In3.04016361719,634*
1043716-7In1.029174021101013,151*
1033717-6In0.321184031602017,799*
1023617-7100.0%0.1141739521040023,657*
1013618-6100.00.081435827071030,948*
1003518-7100.0No4112911321111039,592*
993519-699.9No282212342163049,164*
983419-799.6No1614133442250059,801*
973420-699.1No048133172891071,580*
963320-798.0No02410251033142083,967*
953321-695.6No01281812342040095,868*
943221-791.2No0015111333278100107,339*
933222-683.4No0003612293314200118,830*
923122-772.2No00023102236216100128,179*
913123-657.8No0011715342811300135,351*
903023-742.0No0000492833186100140,826*
893024-627.8No0003520332611200142,974*
882924-716.1No001213293118510142,335*
872925-68.4No001172232261020139,078*
862825-73.8No000031530311740133,186*
852826-61.6No0001824342471125,435*
842726-70.6No00014173331122115,052*
832727-60.2No00002112836193103,593*
822627-70.1No0016223827692,413*
812628-60.0No00031636341080,105*
802528-7OutNo011132401568,103*
792529-60.0No001627442257,155*
782429-7OutNo00421453046,974*
772430-6OutNo0215453837,575*
762330-7OutNo0110424729,623*
752331-6OutNo007375523,035*
742231-7OutNo04326317,444*
732232-6OutNo03277112,763*
722132-7OutNo0222779,249*
712133-6OutNo117826,603*
702033-7OutNo112874,620*
692034-6OutNo010893,365*
681934-7OutNo08922,152*
671935-6OutNo5951,398*
661835-7OutNo595865*
651836-6OutNo496571*
641736-7OutNo199333*
631737-6OutNo0100210*
61-62OutNo100184*
601639-5OutNo29841*
23-59OutNo100251*
Total:40.0%0.2%113264101212111111962,542,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues vs Bruins-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.0
Canucks vs Avalanche-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Jets vs Stars-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Devils vs Oilers-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-143100
1224910-15050
119-121100
118449-7955
1174410-69344
1164411-59010
1154311-6831521
1144211-7782011
1134212-6662726
1124112-76031306
1114113-647415700
1104013-73943501100
1094014-629476114210
1083914-71850811830200
1073915-612481022050300
1063815-7643104221005000
1053816-6337106201610711
1043716-7128991722201010100
1033717-60207111328301330200
1023617-70135127325114704000
1013618-608311432621512061100
1003518-741101287313191092100
993519-62180217692520125300
983419-710501458530401395000
973420-600408392295212167110
963320-7002042912464923104200
953321-60012170186652911941000
943221-7000105011492311017620000
933222-6000030629128726952100
923122-7000023190223329963100
913123-6000110701513361212831000
903023-700000409028310161594100
893024-6000035020151319181041000
882924-700012013028162219114100
872925-600117013101924201041000
862825-70000300141222251993000
852826-6000100015142426188200
842726-700010002717262615510
832727-600000003920282412300
822627-700001413252920710
812628-60000171930281320
802528-700031126332150
792529-600016193430100
782429-7003133136171
772430-600172541251
762330-70041941333
752331-60021338425
742231-701834507
732232-605275711
722132-703216015
712133-601166320
702033-71106227
692034-6085933
681934-7055738
671935-625246
661835-724850
651836-614059
641736-703564
631737-62773
621637-71486
611739-42278
601639-51585
591539-6595
581641-3100
571339-81486
23-56100
Total:0101131215132821022345666665531