St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Lost to Red Wings 1-3, playoff odds down 8.8 to 29.3%
49 points   21 20-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings 3 Blues 1 -5.7
-0.4
Wild 3 Stars 2 (ot)-0.6
-0.1
Canucks 5 Coyotes 3 -0.4
Panthers 5 Blackhawks 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Ducks*-0.1-0.7-0.5*-0.2*-0.4+0.5
Jets vs Flames*-0.0-0.5-0.5-0.3*-0.3+0.3
Predators vs Sharks*+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.3*-0.4+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117340-0In78.8%9900273
112301-3InNo1001
111302-2InNo50502
110303-1In23.162231513*
109293-2In3.159132832*
108294-1In3.6471436283*
107284-2InNo2326483185*
106274-3InNo19275202421*
105275-2InNo121862070959*
104265-3In0.18186311001,899*
103266-2InNo4166221503,512*
102256-3InNo21159522016,251*
101246-4InNo185382802010,718*
100247-3100.0%No05421236150017,554*
99237-4100.0No03301542281027,165*
98238-3100.0No011917444141040,263*
97228-499.9No0110154272130057,464*
96229-399.4No051335122871078,609*
95219-497.9No029241734132000104,240*
942110-394.0No015141834215100130,361*
932010-485.0No0037173029123000159,878*
922011-369.9No0012122132217100186,795*
911911-450.3No001812292915410212,420*
901912-330.2No00004520312511200231,565*
891812-414.9No002211263220710101,170
1913-215.1No002211263120610142,127*
881813-36.5No001151731291320103,346
1712-55.7No001141630301530143,884*
871713-41.9No00002924352460243,105*
861714-30.5No0004153334131230,916*
851614-40.1No000182640232211,166*
841615-30.0No000031741344187,702*
831515-40.0No00011036449160,152*
821516-3OutNo005295115132,582*
811416-4OutNo002205522106,299*
801417-3OutNo0113553182,054*
791317-4OutNo008514061,317*
781318-3OutNo005464944,302*
771218-4OutNo03395830,959*
761219-3OutNo01326720,933*
751119-4OutNo01267413,359*
741120-3OutNo019808,502*
731020-4OutNo015855,076*
721021-3OutNo010902,979*
71921-4OutNo07931,682*
70922-3OutNo595919*
69923-2OutNo397468*
68823-3OutNo199215*
67824-2OutNo298132*
49-66OutNo100371*
Total:29.3%0.0%00125489101113151563,306,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings 3 Blues 1 +0.9
Wild 3 Stars 2 (ot)+0.1
Panthers 5 Blackhawks 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Ducks+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Predators vs Sharks+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Jets vs Flames+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bruins vs Penguins-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117340-0792100
112301-3100
111302-25050
110303-1233815815
109293-2356391613
108294-14438623132
107284-223121422263
106274-3198191932021
105275-21241415470520
104265-3074148551640
103266-2431345820780
102256-3211025750615010
101246-4107152715230110
100247-3005042102332123000
99237-40030301142402026000
98238-300101910614330311110
97228-40011088042712191200
96229-30054803510212725000
95219-402270241251332101100
942110-301151410803421933100
932010-400037610030128473100
922011-3000123902103241393100
911911-400011701202931417114100
901912-30000004502011020201351000
891812-400022011041323231461000
881813-30001150151524241662000
871713-400000200161625261661000
861714-30000027172726155100
1613-500000016162626166100
851614-40000002718282614400
841615-3000000282130251120
831515-4000031125322161
821516-300141631311420
811416-40001824372450
801417-300315363511
791317-400182942190
781318-300042146290
771218-40021444410
761219-30184052
751119-40433630
741120-3022573
731020-40119800
721021-301387
71921-40991
70922-3694
69923-2496
68823-3199
67824-2298
63-66100
49034-05149
Total:000001110523080913566777776530