Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Blue Jackets 2-1, playoff odds up 0.6 to 98.6%
48 points   23 8-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 +0.6
+2.5
+0.2
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.4
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Sabres vs Stars-0.2*-0.5*-0.4*+0.0*+0.2+0.3
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.3*+0.1*+0.2*-0.1*-0.3-0.2
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+0.3*+0.0*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
125-146InYes100285*
124369-4In99.4%991181*
123359-5In99.5991365*
1223510-4In99.71000598*
1213410-5In98.5991927*
1203411-4In98.09821,483*
1193311-5In96.69732,204*
1183312-4In96.197303,338*
1173212-5In93.895504,711*
1163213-4In90.893706,621*
1153113-5In87.1901009,045*
1143114-4In82.48713011,845*
1133014-5In76.58416015,549*
1122914-6In68.67921019,495*
1112915-5In60.27327024,159*
1102815-6In50.066331028,905*
1092816-5In38.859401033,344*
1082716-6In28.5514720039,092*
1072717-5In19.5435530043,306*
1062617-6In11.8356140047,072*
1052618-5In6.1266851050,187*
1042518-6In2.71972720052,653*
1032519-5In1.01375840052,895*
1022419-6In0.38769610052,964*
1012420-5In0.1574101010051,566*
1002320-6In0.0370101620048,426*
992321-5InNo16392331044,845*
982221-6InNo056730420040,687*
972222-5InNo047537540036,630*
962122-6100.0%No03934368100031,347*
952123-5100.0No030246614200026,591*
942023-699.7No23146620310021,962*
932024-598.9No16043429431017,597*
921924-697.3No100393355520014,410*
911925-593.5No603124158510010,774*
901825-686.2No4025142511104108,537*
891826-576.0No217041413157206,145*
881726-660.6No11103421220145104,384*
871727-546.8No060301922218303,161*
861627-629.0No0320062027175102,133*
851628-519.9No02150314312310201,424*
841528-611.9No110021126301740916*
831529-56.5No151821332381570*
821429-63.5No0303132938112404*
811430-50.9No1182735235213*
801431-4OutNo61834366140*
791331-5OutNo141624381674*
781332-4OutNo329501838*
771232-5OutNo55454522*
761233-4OutNo30205010*
751032-7OutNo1007*
741134-4OutNo1122679*
731034-5OutNo1001
48-71OutNo10073*
Total:98.6%15.4%25495131401100000874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Sabres vs Stars-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Blues vs Sharks+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-146100
124369-4991
123359-5991
1223510-410000
1213410-59801
1203411-49802
1193311-59703
1183312-496130
1173212-594150
1163213-491270
1153113-5873100
1143114-48251300
1133014-5767160
1122914-669102100
1112915-560132600
1102815-65016330100
1092816-53920391100
1082716-628224522000
1072717-519235142000
1062617-6122354730000
1052618-5620561241100
1042518-631653205220000
1032519-511246285330000
1022419-608383845600000
1012420-505284637911000
1002320-60318512813311000
992321-51115218167211000
982221-606500717132220000
972222-503440515221441000
962122-601380312311562000000
952123-5003028380695110000
942023-60221442059111210000
932024-50160242048200412100
921924-601001383630051411000
911925-56003124380517221100
901825-6400251240501123431000
891826-52170140401213675210
881726-61110034201202610117310
871727-506003019013915148310
861627-603020060151320181040
851628-502150300281822181021
841528-61100200311222419830
831529-51511516222616610
821429-60300161528291330
811430-51039203323102
801431-4161326341641
791331-511111930325
781332-4511293916
771232-551455189
761233-410203040
751032-7295714
741134-411115622
731034-5100
48-71100
Total:159272223580113000100000000000000