Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 90.8%
29 points   13 6-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues 2 Bruins 4 +0.3
-0.2
Devils 4 Oilers 2 +0.2
Jets 0 Stars 1 +0.2
-0.0
Canucks 3 Avalanche 2 (so)*-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks-2.0+0.3*+0.1+2.1+2.2+2.3
-1.4-0.2-0.1+1.4+1.6+1.6
-0.3*+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4
Maple Leafs vs Jets+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.2*-0.3-0.4
Canadiens vs Predators+0.2*+0.1*-0.0-0.2*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Avalanche vs Sabres-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.2
+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Bruins+0.2*-0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Stars vs Coyotes-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-149In98.0%1003,614*
1194212-6In96.310002,254*
1184213-5In93.5100003,410*
1174113-6In90.499015,140*
1164114-5In87.499117,357*
1154014-6In81.4981110,500*
1144015-5In75.29712014,643*
1133915-6In67.59522019,747*
1123916-5In57.99334026,368*
1113816-6In47.79055033,665*
1103817-5In37.486680043,204*
1093717-6In27.0809110053,590*
1083617-7In17.973121401065,167*
1073618-6In10.665151901077,604*
1063518-7In5.755182402090,960*
1053519-6In2.64521281400103,369*
1043419-7In0.936233326000115,618*
1033420-6In0.326253639010126,435*
1023320-7100.0%0.11824385130100135,851*
1013321-6In0.0112237918030142,418*
1003221-7100.0No6193312231500146,070*
993222-6100.0No3152716282700148,627*
983122-7100.0No212201832411100146,633*
973123-699.9No18142033716200142,025*
963023-799.7No05819301122400135,500*
953024-699.2No03416251528810125,564*
942924-797.8No0221319193113200116,220*
932925-694.7No0119122032195100103,602*
922825-789.0No0067203026920090,767*
912826-679.4No003317253016410079,108*
902726-766.5No002113183223920066,578*
892727-650.8No01091228291541054,979*
882627-735.5No0066233123920045,008*
872628-622.4No000431529291540035,802*
862528-712.4No0021923322291027,936*
852529-66.1No0114173129143021,701*
842429-72.7No002102534216116,166*
832430-61.2No001619332911211,837*
822330-70.4No0031330331838,704*
812331-60.1No001824362666,266*
802231-70.1No014183531114,280*
792232-6OutNo02133238152,990*
782132-7OutNo0172743222,057*
772133-6OutNo032242321,247*
762033-7OutNo02154637813*
752034-6OutNo01114048538*
741934-7OutNo183655349*
731935-6OutNo22870196*
721835-7OutNo4296798*
711836-6OutNo3128678*
701837-5OutNo2128541*
691737-6OutNo79330*
681738-5OutNo109010*
29-67OutNo100226*
Total:90.8%5.5%20111781461064221002,622,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Blues 2 Bruins 4 -0.1
Jets 0 Stars 1 +0.0
Canucks 3 Avalanche 2 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks+0.7-0.0-0.0-0.7-0.8-0.8
Avalanche vs Sabres+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Stars vs Coyotes+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Canadiens vs Predators-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Maple Leafs vs Jets-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-149100
1244510-5991
1234410-6991
1224411-5991
1214311-6982
1204312-5973
1194212-69640
1184213-593600
1174113-690901
1164114-5871111
1154014-6811611
1144015-575221020
1133915-6682820200
1123916-5583530400
1113816-6484250500
1103817-53748607100
1093717-627538110100
1083617-7185510212200100
1073618-611541231450100
1063518-765013615800200
1053519-634312915131030000
1043419-71351112132020510000
1033420-6026916102630720100
1023320-7018718631519401000
1013321-601141833372109002000
1003221-76217132849151041000
993222-63114027887212052000
983122-7201102071142830751000
973123-610801451523152792000
963023-700583161307461631000
953024-6003411502578423431000
942924-700221120196132295820000
932925-601109012417132415321000
922825-7000572180303234421000
912826-60003311602512946631000
902726-70002101301803137108420000
892727-6010090120281511141152000
882627-70006602302815181362000
872628-600043015014112021135100
862528-7002190016152421135100
852529-60114003919262111410
842429-70020014122227209200
832430-60010015152527176100
822330-70000281928251430
812331-6000141124292191
802231-7000161730271530
792232-6031024342350
782132-7015183430110
772133-602112935211
762033-70172141263
752034-6131937383
741934-7011135493
731935-614275712
721835-7527599
711836-63136915
701837-52155429
691737-636730
681738-56040
671739-42575
661639-5100
651741-23367
29-63100
Total:515474133531124281511111111100000