Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Lost to Avalanche 2-3 (so), playoff odds up 0.6 to 89.3%
54 points   24 15-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blues 2 Maple Leafs 3 +0.5
+0.1
Predators 2 Rangers 4 +0.4
+0.1
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (ot)-0.3
Jets 4 Lightning 3 (ot)*-0.2
Avalanche 3 Blackhawks 2 (so)*+0.1
*-0.0
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Sharks vs Sabres-0.3*+0.0-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-128In99.7%100327*
119313-3In80.093715*
118314-2In72.710044*
117304-3In79.5982117*
116305-2In71.89433284*
115295-3In59.69055592*
114285-4In48.786681,193*
113286-3In41.68010102,297*
112276-4In28.57312164,099*
111277-3In17.26516207,046*
110267-4In10.5561925011,742*
109268-3In5.14622310018,418*
108258-4In2.33824380028,840*
107259-3In0.82826450042,644*
106249-4In0.22027521059,897*
1052410-3In0.11426582081,464*
1042310-4In0.09246241106,861*
1032311-3In0.0521658200135,138*
1022211-4InNo3186313300165,533*
1012212-3InNo1145920500196,840*
1002112-4InNo11052298000223,648*
992113-3InNo07423811100246,838*
982013-4100.0%No053145162100264,977*
972014-3100.0No032050196200273,484*
961914-4100.0No02115021114000274,500*
951915-399.9No0164620187100266,069*
941815-499.4No02381727114100250,811*
931816-397.7No012911351482000228,899*
921716-493.1No002063815146100201,766*
911717-384.0No00123361419123000172,120*
901617-468.9No0071291022209200143,305*
891618-350.1No0040226192717510114,028*
881518-431.4No0201421328261230089,284*
871519-317.1No1081724312071067,093*
861419-48.0No0403153129143048,929*
851420-33.1No020182434247034,896*
841320-41.1No0100416333213123,589*
831321-30.3No0019263822315,830*
821221-40.1No0004183833610,333*
811222-30.0No002113542106,297*
801122-4OutNo0162949163,768*
791123-3OutNo022051262,135*
781023-4OutNo11252351,244*
771024-3OutNo184447675*
76924-4OutNo054253363*
75925-3OutNo33958155*
74926-2OutNo227878*
73826-3OutNo297151*
72827-2OutNo138816*
71727-3OutNo14867*
70728-2OutNo25754*
54-69OutNo100317*
Total:89.3%0.2%362426912544321103,828,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 2 Rangers 4 -0.2
Blues 2 Maple Leafs 3 -0.1
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (ot)+0.1
Jets 4 Lightning 3 (ot)+0.0
Avalanche 3 Blackhawks 2 (so)+0.0
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128370-01000
120-122100
119313-380137
118314-27327
117304-379192
116305-2722233
115295-3603055
114285-449376070
113286-3423890100
112276-42944111150
111277-31748132182
110267-410451542230
109268-354116724700
108258-4235159251200
107259-312713132520000
106249-4020111621311000
1052410-301481816422000
1042310-40951810524010
1032311-305318659711100
1022211-4321636111212000
1012212-31113159155140000
1002112-4101005218111700000
992113-30070421919111100000
982013-400503117280152001000
972014-30032013370194102000
961914-40021184202174040000
951915-3001644202091007010000
941815-402236179180110300000
931816-3011281172801407111000
921716-40002064340150131221000
911717-300012323401401914542000
901617-400071129100220381062100
891618-3000400226019027141493100
881518-4020014213014121918104100
871519-31008170016162320114100
861419-404030029192621113100
851420-3020100031121272110300
841320-4010001413242820810
831321-3000151527291750
821221-4000027203127112
811222-3003112635204
801122-40152036317
791123-30211304215
781023-406244623
771024-303164536
76924-41124443
75925-354254
74926-232276
73826-323167
72827-21388
71727-32971
70728-22575
68-69100
54037-04555
Total:021522271909310050401112211110000