Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Beat Blackhawks 4-3 (ot), playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.9%
80 points   38 32-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Blackhawks 3 (ot)+0.6
+0.2
Stars 2 Sabres 6 -0.5
Canadiens 5 Capitals 2 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jets vs Maple Leafs-0.7-0.4-0.4+0.5+0.6+0.5
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Avalanche vs Rangers+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9680-076.8%0630412219,892
9570-145.21103549623,883
9471-025.503236213079,097
60-225.303236213026,642
9361-17.400766261176,390
50-37.3076626116,754
9262-02.80354403291,733
51-22.60354394163,645
40-42.402544046,355
9152-10.2039528543,589
41-30.203952883,295
30-50.10385491,474
9053-00.10235621601,190
42-20.10235621412,991
31-40.1023562124,934
20-6Out275517231
8943-1Out125434914,477
32-3Out125434164,614
21-5Out1254344,382
10-7Out8672512
8844-0Out54155759,336
33-2Out54155545,095
22-4Out5405535,979
11-6Out54351374
00-8Out1001
8734-1Out22969905,157
23-3Out22970159,665
12-5Out229694,264
01-7Out178318
8635-0Out01585599,844
24-2Out01585396,910
13-4Out0158522,733
02-6Out11881199
8525-1Out08920526,971
14-3Out0892075,549
03-5Out07931,331
8426-0Out03970291,017
15-2Out03970150,410
04-4Out3975,332
8316-1Out01990166,789
05-3Out199014,166
8217-0Out099178,814
06-2Out099123,607
8107-1Out098222,407
8008-0Out096409,912
Total:0.9%0001143452008,341,460
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Blackhawks 3 (ot)-0.5
Canadiens 5 Capitals 2 +0.0
Red Wings 5 Kings 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets vs Maple Leafs+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Avalanche vs Rangers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Penguins+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ducks vs Red Wings-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9680-0006030041221
9570-11010035505
9471-0003023062120
60-2002023062120
9361-100007067251
50-3007067251
9262-00020543940
51-200205439400
40-4020544040
9152-10036511210
41-30036511110
30-503552121
9053-000164630710
42-200164630710
31-40016463171
20-619452952
8943-1528402250
32-3528402250
21-552840225
10-78254225
8844-01828402210
33-21828402210
22-41828412210
11-61112834252
00-8100
8734-10213384250
23-30213384250
12-5021439415
01-711285011
8635-000220601600
24-200221601600
13-40221601700
02-613245717
8525-1008563420
14-3008563320
03-50754362
8426-0024149800
15-2002414980
04-42424980
8316-10021572010
05-3021572010
8217-00104836600
06-2010483660
8107-1231471810
8008-01154434700
Total:0000001011181718241020000