Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 0.3%
82 points   39 33-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals 2 Canadiens 3 (so)-0.1
Rangers 5 Jets 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jets vs Maple Leafs-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Coyotes-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Canadiens+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9460-030.4%2285811136,215
9350-16.9076426377,381
9251-02.302434114257,734
40-22.30243411369,414
9141-1Out264826462,917
30-3Out26482632,957
9042-0Out94051767,994
31-2Out84052326,455
20-4Out840528,497
8932-1Out330671,081,510
21-3Out33067111,940
10-5Out431651,100
8833-0Out014861,194,248
22-2Out01486558,858
11-4Out0148618,634
00-6Out118971
8723-1Out07931,233,459
12-3Out0793124,913
01-5Out07931,196
8624-0Out2981,022,727
13-2Out298414,302
02-4Out29810,297
8514-1Out0100687,272
03-3Out19945,510
82-84Out100800,839*
Total:0.3%00517789,346,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 1 Blue Jackets 3 -0.1
Capitals 2 Canadiens 3 (so)+0.1
Rangers 5 Jets 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets vs Maple Leafs+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Sabres vs Coyotes-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flames vs Kings-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ducks vs Avalanche+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Devils vs Canadiens-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9460-02028059101
9350-1007066243
9251-0002143411400
40-2002043411400
9141-124462820
30-324462820
9042-042645214
31-242645204
20-442645214
8932-11113737140
21-31113737140
10-5112373713
8833-00111384730
22-20111384730
11-4011138473
00-61342521
8723-1003246390
12-303256390
01-50324658
8624-000464310
13-200464320
02-40465310
8514-10151480
03-30151480
8415-0024742
04-2024742
8305-1148060
8206-03821500
Total:00004915193617000