Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 9.2%
83 points   39 30-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Devils 3 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals vs Canadiens-5.3-1.5-1.4+4.8+4.9+5.2
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Jets-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.2*+0.1+0.4
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9980-0In18453894,005
9870-1In0114464010,209
9771-096.8%063853333,865
60-296.8063753313,983
9661-184.20013711692,723
50-384.3012721610,922
9562-069.8066430154,864
51-269.2066331108,277
40-469.10663315,231
9452-140.3140600360,184
41-340.013960069,156
30-539.10396101,577
9353-023.50237340397,158
42-223.40237340344,706
31-422.8023734025,926
20-622.322726278
9243-16.2683110762,456
32-36.2682110174,307
21-56.26831105,794
10-75.05801520
9144-01.8266302632,255
33-21.8266302578,357
22-41.726630248,935
11-61.4167284731
00-8Out1001
9034-1Out50428958,291
23-3Out50428216,327
12-5Out514287,189
01-7Out46391541
8935-0Out255520635,494
24-2Out255421539,072
13-4Out25542239,828
02-6Out294625439
8825-1Out144838713,984
14-3Out144839132,996
03-5Out1446412,922
8726-0Out33859396,088
15-2Out33760263,944
04-4Out3366112,221
8616-1Out12277291,385
05-3Out1227732,034
8517-0Out01189138,529
06-2Out0118952,866
8407-1Out049650,324
8308-0Out19921,566
Total:9.2%000184329198,341,460
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Devils 3 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Capitals vs Canadiens+0.7+0.0+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6
Rangers vs Jets+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Kings vs Blue Jackets+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9980-01845389
9870-101144640
9771-006038533
60-200637533
9661-10001307116
50-301207216
9562-0006064030
51-2006063031
40-40606331
9452-110400600
41-310390600
30-50390601
9353-0002217240
42-2002217240
31-4002217340
20-6221725
9243-1528013100
32-352791410
21-55280131
10-758015
9144-0115635710
33-2115535710
22-4115535710
11-611553581
00-8100
9034-126392681
23-325392781
12-526382781
01-724372972
8935-0523382770
24-2523382770
13-4523372780
02-6425362770
8825-11623412620
14-3162341272
03-5062341272
8726-00173248130
15-20073148130
04-417304814
8616-10011452330
05-3011352330
8517-000437591
06-20335601
8407-101197650
8308-00781120
Total:0000010803317131311500