Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 23.8%
32 points   14 14-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 +0.5
+0.1
Islanders 3 Capitals 4 (so)*-0.4
-0.0
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.2
Devils 2 Senators 3 *-0.1
-0.0
Rangers 1 Penguins 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers vs Hurricanes+4.1+4.0+3.6-1.0-0.8-5.0
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings*-0.2*-0.2-0.5*-0.3*-0.3+0.4
Capitals vs Bruins-0.3*-0.4*-0.4*-0.2*-0.6+0.5
Senators vs Canadiens-0.3*-0.3*-0.4*+0.1*+0.4+0.3
Sabres vs Stars-0.2*+0.2*-0.1*+0.1*-0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
114-132In95.5%10089*
113387-5In76.2901021*
112388-4In73.8907242*
111389-3In50.68710379*
110379-4In41.0761312139*
109369-5In37.3731711217*
1083610-4In22.659231710416*
1073510-5In18.852301701640*
1063511-4In8.0403125311,045*
1053411-5In3.930372644001,707*
1043412-4In1.418393175002,484*
1033312-5In0.71138291380003,618*
1023212-6In0.16342719111105,183*
1013213-5100.0%0.032922251533007,062*
1003113-6100.00.012215321865009,585*
993114-599.8No017935181271012,516*
983014-699.2No011534162011310016,160*
973015-597.7No07229132713620020,244*
962915-693.2No041238321511510024,620*
952916-584.8No201643313161141029,769*
942816-670.5No10102291018179300034,610*
932817-553.6No0061246162216610039,306*
922717-635.3No0301731223241441043,289*
912718-520.5No0101117192721920047,178*
902618-610.4No0106031326281751049,942*
892619-54.5No0030171930251120051,618*
882519-61.9No0010031226311961052,776*
872520-50.6No010017193228112052,181*
862420-60.2No00003122834194050,204*
852421-50.1No0000162236278047,965*
842321-60.0No000314343513044,191*
832322-50.0No00018284121140,157*
822222-6OutNo004214230235,889*
812223-5OutNo002144139330,954*
802123-6OutNo0193648626,151*
792124-5OutNo0053055921,710*
782024-6OutNo00323601417,704*
772025-5OutNo0117631914,012*
761925-6OutNo112622510,799*
751926-5OutNo0859328,032*
741826-6OutNo0555406,142*
731827-5OutNo0351474,395*
721727-6OutNo146533,165*
711728-5OutNo138612,163*
701628-6OutNo031691,485*
691629-5OutNo28721,025*
681529-6OutNo2179602*
671530-5OutNo1783386*
661531-4OutNo1189228*
651431-5OutNo694143*
641331-6OutNo496100*
631231-7OutNo29852*
621333-4OutNo79329*
611233-5OutNo69417*
32-60OutNo10084*
Total:23.8%0.1%021528246810111313123874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 -0.1
Islanders 3 Capitals 4 (so)+0.1
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Hurricanes-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2*+0.2+1.0
Capitals vs Bruins+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Stars+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
Blues vs Sharks+0.0-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-132100
115418-16733
114397-47525
113387-5761410
112388-4741772
111389-35137103
110379-441351312
109369-53735161100
1083610-423362211710
1073510-5193327316101
1063511-483226522331
1053411-542628821430400
1043412-4116261324775000
1033312-51102217181013080000
1023212-60616191413190111110
1013213-503101981324113233000
1003113-60161741130314365000
993114-50314173061361207010
983014-6011004259971901013100
973015-50160218115727112160200
962915-600411112263021231105100
952916-5020610142949416111410
942816-60103802236551721793000
932817-50015011682413322167100
922717-60030981284222414410
912718-50010470144172722102000
902618-6001025001292328207100
892619-500020014142728175100
882519-6000100016172826145100
872520-50001000028202823134100
862420-6000000310212722124100
852421-500000141122272111310
842321-600015132426209200
832322-500001515252718710
822222-6002818272614410
812223-50003102329231020
802123-600151428301850
792124-500028213226101
782024-60013133034172
772025-50172337265
761925-60041636359
751926-50110314315
741826-615244823
731827-5003174931
721727-601134738
711728-5184349
701628-6043760
691629-5033265
681529-622573
671530-512079
661531-401287
651431-5694
641331-6496
631231-7298
621333-4793
611233-5694
32-60100
Total:001101321152213157777666655431