Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Hurricanes 1-2 (ot), playoff odds down 1.6 to 58.9%
38 points   16 9-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes 2 Panthers 1 (ot)-1.3
*-0.2
-0.1
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 -0.4
-0.1
Devils 2 Senators 3 -0.4
+0.1
Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 +0.3
Oilers 1 Flames 2 (so)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs vs Panthers-6.6-1.7-1.5+4.6+5.2+5.7
-0.5*-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.5+0.5
-0.6-0.2-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
Senators vs Canadiens-0.7*-0.6*-0.4*+0.4*-0.1+0.7
Capitals vs Bruins+0.5*-0.1*-0.2*-0.4*-0.3-0.4
Sabres vs Stars-0.3*-0.3*-0.4*+0.0*-0.1+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-140In97.7%100265*
117379-5In92.89811166*
1163710-4In87.5973297*
1153610-5In80.59523461*
1143611-4In78.09613776*
1133511-5In69.1913601,184*
1123512-4In60.0874901,768*
1113412-5In51.38351302,726*
1103312-6In41.776716013,945*
1093313-5In31.3689220205,506*
1083213-6In21.75812270307,693*
1073214-5In12.7471432050010,095*
1063114-6In7.4371638181013,391*
1053115-5In3.427164111302016,815*
1043015-6In1.418164231903020,932*
1033016-5100.0%0.4111440524050025,404*
1022916-6100.00.261135731191030,064*
1012917-599.90.039269351142035,039*
1002817-699.6No1618113722140039,410*
992818-599.0No0311103452881043,311*
982718-697.5No0259287331420047,167*
972719-594.0No01261993521510050,001*
962619-687.9No0014111033281010051,805*
952620-577.3No00259273318410052,179*
942520-662.2No001271933261020051,481*
932521-544.5No0001411283118610050,147*
922421-627.4No0002520312512300046,856*
912422-514.7No001211253020820043,987*
902322-66.4No00151729271541039,262*
892323-52.5No00002102330231020034,862*
882223-60.8No00141528301740030,394*
872224-50.2No00028223225101025,978*
862124-60.0No014142933163021,368*
852125-50.0No000182336256017,492*
842025-6OutNo00416343411013,598*
832026-5OutNo0210293919110,629*
821926-6OutNo01623422728,054*
811927-5OutNo0315413835,971*
801827-6OutNo00110394554,391*
791828-5OutNo006305493,150*
781728-6OutNo032260152,130*
771729-5OutNo011863181,508*
761629-6OutNo1136027968*
751630-5OutNo86031636*
741530-6OutNo85240372*
731531-5OutNo54848263*
721431-6OutNo13861143*
711432-5OutNo356588*
701433-4OutNo307056*
691333-5OutNo237726*
681233-6OutNo247621*
671234-5OutNo22789*
38-66OutNo10080*
Total:58.9%1.5%53931131312108765420874,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Hurricanes 2 Panthers 1 (ot)+0.2
Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 +0.1
Devils 2 Senators 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs vs Panthers+1.0+0.3+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.9
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1
Sabres vs Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Capitals vs Bruins-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Senators vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Blues vs Sharks+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-140100
119388-5982
118389-4955
117379-593511
1163710-488103
1153610-5801523
1143611-4781813
1133511-56922360
1123512-46027490
1113412-55131401200
1103312-642347016001
1093313-5313681211020
1083213-62237101261030
1073214-513351223030500
1063114-673012333518010
1053115-53231153291130020
1043015-6117962913301800300
1033016-50117724165023105000
1022916-6065716197028319010
1012917-5033691881305114020
1002817-6114414912892200400
992818-5013110822212502618010
982718-60020563141470303140200
972719-50010233712903062105100
962619-60000122399125928110100
952620-5001215711711312184100
942520-60001025291029426102000
932521-5000001323722630186100
922421-6000011141282926134100
912422-5000102562130229200
902322-60000114122629197200
892323-5000000025162727165100
882223-600001171928241451000
872224-50000028202724134100
862124-6001310202722124100
852125-5000141121262112410
842025-600141223272010300
832026-50015142427198200
821926-6002717272616510
811927-501292029251120
801827-60141327301950
791828-5017203029111
781728-6013122833213
771729-50162138295
761629-60314363610
751630-5111304315
741530-615195223
731531-53184534
721431-6104149
711432-534255
701433-4242966
691333-53169
681233-62476
671234-52278
38-66100
Total:23225421743010310297654322211100