Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 43.3% 40 points 18 13-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 | -0.5 | | | | -0.0 | | Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 | +0.5 | | | | | | Devils 2 Senators 3 | -0.4 | | | | | | Hurricanes 2 Panthers 1 (ot) | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Maple Leafs vs Panthers | +5.8+5.2+4.7-1.7-1.8-6.8 | | +0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.2 | | +0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6 | | Senators vs Canadiens | -0.7*-0.5-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | | | | -0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Blue Jackets vs Red Wings | +0.2-0.8*-0.1*-0.4*-0.6*-0.0 | | | | +0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Capitals vs Bruins | +0.5*+0.0*-0.4*-0.4*-0.4-0.3 | | | | | | Sabres vs Stars | -0.4*-0.2*-0.3*+0.1*+0.4+0.4 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | -134 | | In | 96.3 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | * | 116 | | 36 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 81.4 | | 98 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | * | 115 | | 36 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 80.2 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | * | 114 | | 35 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 79.2 | | 96 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 125 | * | 113 | | 35 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 64.6 | | 94 | 1 | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 260 | * | 112 | | 34 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 66.6 | | 92 | 3 | 5 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 449 | * | 111 | | 33 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 49.4 | | 83 | 6 | 11 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 686 | * | 110 | | 33 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 40.5 | | 76 | 8 | 16 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,148 | * | 109 | | 32 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 30.8 | | 68 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,811 | * | 108 | | 32 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 19.7 | | 59 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,628 | * | 107 | | 31 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 13.4 | | 49 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 5 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4,106 | * | 106 | | 31 | 12 | - | 4 | In | 7.2 | | 38 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 8 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 5,706 | * | 105 | | 30 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 2.9 | | 27 | 18 | 40 | 2 | 13 | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7,991 | * | 104 | | 30 | 13 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 1.3 | | 18 | 16 | 42 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10,709 | * | 103 | | 29 | 13 | - | 5 | In | 0.4 | | 11 | 15 | 39 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 14,111 | * | 102 | | 29 | 14 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 0.1 | | 6 | 12 | 33 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18,210 | * | 101 | | 28 | 14 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 0.0 | | 3 | 9 | 26 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 22,605 | * | 100 | | 27 | 14 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | No | 1 | 5 | 17 | 10 | 36 | 3 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 27,498 | * | 99 | | 27 | 15 | - | 5 | 98.4 | | No | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 32,640 | * | 98 | | 27 | 16 | - | 4 | 96.5 | | No | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 37,756 | * | 97 | | 26 | 16 | - | 5 | 92.4 | | No | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 42,477 | * | 96 | | 25 | 16 | - | 6 | 85.1 | | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 47,093 | * | 95 | | 25 | 17 | - | 5 | 73.2 | | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 50,640 | * | 94 | | 24 | 17 | - | 6 | 57.5 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 52,845 | * | 93 | | 24 | 18 | - | 5 | 40.3 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 54,346 | * | 92 | | 23 | 18 | - | 6 | 24.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 53,880 | * | 91 | | 23 | 19 | - | 5 | 12.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 52,088 | * | 90 | | 22 | 19 | - | 6 | 5.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 50,066 | * | 89 | | 22 | 20 | - | 5 | 1.9 | | No | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | 46,763 | * | 88 | | 21 | 20 | - | 6 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 42,199 | * | 87 | | 21 | 21 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 37,745 | * | 86 | | 20 | 21 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 32,598 | * | 85 | | 20 | 22 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 27,784 | * | 84 | | 19 | 22 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 0 | 23,007 | * | 83 | | 19 | 23 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 1 | 18,214 | * | 82 | | 18 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 42 | 29 | 2 | 14,517 | * | 81 | | 18 | 24 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 11,053 | * | 80 | | 17 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 46 | 6 | 8,564 | * | 79 | | 17 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 54 | 9 | 6,253 | * | 78 | | 16 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 59 | 14 | 4,394 | * | 77 | | 16 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 61 | 20 | 3,229 | * | 76 | | 15 | 26 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 61 | 26 | 2,102 | * | 75 | | 15 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 1,383 | * | 74 | | 15 | 28 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 55 | 39 | 944 | * | 73 | | 14 | 28 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 43 | 53 | 554 | * | 72 | | 14 | 29 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 40 | 58 | 354 | * | 71 | | 13 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 48 | 51 | 209 | * | 70 | | 13 | 30 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | 69 | 110 | * | 69 | | 12 | 30 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | 72 | 83 | * | 68 | | 12 | 31 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | 77 | 39 | * | 67 | | 11 | 31 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | 68 | 22 | * | 66 | | 10 | 31 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | 58 | 12 | * | 65 | | 12 | 34 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | 5 | * | 40 | -64 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 77 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 43.3 | % | 0.5 | % | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 874,320 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesFriday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Ducks 1 Red Wings 2 | +0.1 | | Hurricanes 2 Panthers 1 (ot) | *+0.0 | | Devils 2 Senators 3 | +0.0 | | Blackhawks 2 Blue Jackets 1 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Maple Leafs vs Panthers | -0.9-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.0 | | Senators vs Canadiens | +0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Blue Jackets vs Red Wings | -0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Capitals vs Bruins | -0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Sabres vs Stars | +0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Blues vs Sharks | -0.0*-0.1*+0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | -134 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 38 | 7 | - | 2 | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 37 | 7 | - | 3 | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 36 | 7 | - | 4 | 81 | 16 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 36 | 8 | - | 3 | 80 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 35 | 8 | - | 4 | 79 | 17 | 2 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 35 | 9 | - | 3 | 65 | 30 | 1 | | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 34 | 9 | - | 4 | 67 | 25 | 3 | | 5 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 33 | 9 | - | 5 | 49 | 34 | 6 | | 11 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 33 | 10 | - | 4 | 41 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 0 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 32 | 10 | - | 5 | 31 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 32 | 11 | - | 4 | 20 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 31 | 11 | - | 5 | 13 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 31 | 12 | - | 4 | 7 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 5 | 1 | | 8 | 0 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 30 | 12 | - | 5 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 9 | 2 | | 12 | 0 | | | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 30 | 13 | - | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 29 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 29 | 14 | - | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | 10 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 28 | 14 | - | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 5 | 1 | | 15 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 27 | 14 | - | 6 | | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 27 | 15 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 27 | 16 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 26 | 16 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 29 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 25 | 16 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 25 | 17 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 32 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 24 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 24 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 23 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 23 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 22 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 89 | | 22 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 88 | | 21 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 87 | | 21 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 86 | | 20 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 85 | | 20 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 84 | | 19 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 83 | | 19 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 82 | | 18 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 81 | | 18 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 80 | | 17 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 79 | | 17 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 78 | | 16 | 25 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 77 | | 16 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 6 | 76 | | 15 | 26 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 75 | | 15 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 74 | | 15 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 47 | 22 | 73 | | 14 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 72 | | 14 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 45 | 44 | 71 | | 13 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 47 | 43 | 70 | | 12 | 29 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 38 | 60 | 69 | | 12 | 30 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 33 | 65 | 68 | | 12 | 31 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | 74 | 67 | | 11 | 31 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | 64 | 66 | | 10 | 31 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | 58 | 65 | | 12 | 34 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | 40 | -64 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
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