Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Lost to Wild 1-2 (ot), playoff odds up 0.007 to 99.99%
96 points   43 24-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Average seed
Flyers 1 Wild 2 (ot)-0.1
Devils 5 Sharks 4 (so)-0.1
Lightning 3 Panthers 2 (so)-0.0
SaturdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10650-0In134230131333,699
10540-1In22140325398,088
10441-0In093740151,316,140
30-2In07294718179,085
10331-1In022043351,186,539
20-3In0113483937,963
10232-0In001132571,966,335
21-2In0063460377,147
10-4In0236613,803
10122-1In03227511,247,902
11-3In012276150,364
00-5In20801153
10023-0In019751501,378,584
12-2In0976150249,717
01-4In877152,338
9913-1100.0%036231400550,721
02-3In362314015,589
9814-0100.0033521410457,593
03-2100.003352141052,508
9704-199.9013433410086,610
9605-099.103294423158,622
Total:100.0%1413254881009,949,500
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Devils 5 Sharks 4 (so)+0.3
Flyers 1 Wild 2 (ot)+0.2
Lightning 3 Panthers 2 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Senators-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10650-00131923301221
10540-1024184021115
10441-0018360182215
30-2006290182918
10331-1002201103335
20-3001120103839
10232-000010132857
21-2006133060
10-402033361
10122-1020121751
11-3010121761
00-520801
10023-00100975150
12-2000976150
01-4087715
9913-10003610310400
02-3036113140
9814-0003115201410
03-203115201410
9704-1011342034100
9605-0021281440231
Total:0113130619480801000