I'm Reuben My Chubb Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Ryan Scott 125.5-64.5, playoff odds up 23.8 to 80.4%
12 points 6-5-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +27.4 | +9.1 | +1.6 | |||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +2.9 | -0.8 | +0.1 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +2.0 | +0.2 | +0.1 | |||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.8 | -1.4 | -0.0 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.6 | +0.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.2 | +3.4 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -19.6+17.0+19.3 | No-5.9+10.0 | -1.2+0.3+1.2 | |||
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +1.6+1.7-1.6 | -5.5*+0.0+5.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.5+1.6-0.6 | +0.3+0.4-0.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.9+0.8-0.9 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.7*+0.2+0.7 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -0.6+0.7+0.6 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Terry Koning finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 38.2 | % | 38 | 49 | 13 | 3,624,042 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 10.2 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 146,054 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.1 | % | 0.8 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 7,240,759 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98.3 | No | 5 | 48 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 1,493 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 94.6 | No | 12 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 147,293 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 21.9 | No | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3,623,895 | ||||||||
| Total: | 80.4 | % | 9.9 | % | 10 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14,783,536 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | -1.6 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.1 | |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.1 | |
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.1 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | -0.1 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +1.2-0.3-1.2 | |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 38 | 49 | 13 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | 45 | 45 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 1 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 5 | 48 | 33 | 12 | 2 | |||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| Total: | 10 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
