Newbie 2.0 Playoff Chances 2018Lost to Agholorious Bas 87-169, playoff odds down 19.9 to 53.7% 10 points 5-6-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed | Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -17.2 | | -0.6 | | -0.9 | | Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.3 | | +3.3 | | +0.1 | | Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | -0.3 | | | | | | Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed | Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +27.7+5.4-34.3 | | +0.0NoNo | | +1.2-0.0-1.5 | | Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +4.0-7.0-7.5 | | NoNo+0.1 | | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | | Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -1.2-0.6+5.0 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | | Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +4.6+4.0-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | | Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.5+0.5-1.7 | | NoNo+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.1*+0.1-1.0 | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Scott Sleightholm finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.3 | % | 0.1 | % | | 0 | 4 | 50 | 33 | 11 | 2 | | | | | | 17,370,327 | | 13 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 87.8 | | No | | | | 11 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 0 | | | | | 576,349 | | 12 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 35.4 | | No | | | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 22,446,969 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 51.2 | | No | | | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 13 | 1 | | | | 4,721 | | 11 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | 363,317 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 36 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 6,804,909 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.7 | % | 0.0 | % | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 47,566,592 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +0.9 | | Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | -0.2 | | Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.1 | | Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.0 | | James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -1.2+0.0+1.5 | | Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | | Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | | James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 0 | 4 | 50 | 33 | 11 | 2 | | | | | | 13 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | 11 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 0 | | | | | 12 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 13 | 1 | | | | 11 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 1 | 36 | 44 | 17 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
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