Ertzin For A Squirtin Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Terry Koning 64.5-125.5, playoff odds down 17 to 4.9%
10 points 5-6-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | -11.3 | No | -0.5 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +2.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.9 | |||||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.7 | +0.1 | ||||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +34.9+18.7-2.7 | +0.0*NoNo | +2.4+1.0-0.2 | |||
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +0.9-1.6-1.8 | No*No+0.0 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -0.9*-0.0+1.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.3*+0.0+1.4 | +0.1-0.2-0.3 | ||||
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.2+0.2-0.7 | No*No+0.0 | +0.1+0.1-0.4 | |||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.0*-0.0-0.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.4 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ryan Scott finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 1,036,444 | ||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 74.7 | No | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 185,956 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 7.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16,342,630 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 21.7 | No | 0 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 4,650 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 30 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 755,124 | |||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 26 | 45 | 25 | 4 | 29,241,788 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 4.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 47,566,592 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.5 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.1 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -0.1 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -2.4-1.0+0.2 | |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -0.1-0.1+0.4 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0+0.0+0.4 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | |
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 25 | 6 | |||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | ||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 0 | |||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 26 | 45 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 3 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
