Freaks and Zekes Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Darren Payler 185-173.5, playoff odds up 0.9 to 99.98%
14 points 7-4-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.8 | +4.7 | +0.2 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | |||
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.1 | |||||
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +34.9 | +0.4 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | InIn-0.1 | +10.6-17.6-33.0 | +0.2-0.1-0.5 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -0.0InIn | |||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.0InIn | |||||
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -10.7+6.9+20.7 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.0In-0.0 | |||||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.1*-0.1+1.1 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kevin Smith finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 85.6 | % | 1 | 84 | 14 | 26,233,235 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 58.3 | 58 | 42 | 706,182 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 40.2 | 40 | 58 | 1 | 17,475,064 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 44.7 | 45 | 54 | 1 | 4,697 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 8.5 | 9 | 85 | 7 | 235,410 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 1.8 | 2 | 45 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2,912,004 | |||||||||
| Total: | 100.0 | % | 63.0 | % | 1 | 62 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47,566,592 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.4 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -0.2 | |
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.1 | |
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | -0.1 | |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -0.2+0.1+0.5 | |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 84 | 14 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 58 | 42 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 40 | 58 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 45 | 54 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | 85 | 7 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 45 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| Total: | 1 | 62 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
