Clandestine Takeover Playoff Chances 2018Lost to Kevin Smith 173.5-185, playoff odds down 2.6 to 6.2% 9 points 4-6-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed | Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -5.4 | | No | | -0.4 | | Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +1.1 | | | | -0.2 | | Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +0.5 | | | | -0.1 | | Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.1 | | | | -0.0 | | James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | | | | | +0.0 | | Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | | | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed | Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | Out*-0.1+25.2 | | | | -0.5+0.5+1.9 | | Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.3*-0.1-0.0 | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | | | | | +0.1-0.3-0.4 | | James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | | | | | +0.0-0.3-0.5 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Darren Payler finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.1 | % | No | | | | 22 | 47 | 27 | 4 | | | | | | 2,990,645 | | 12 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 21.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 38 | 4 | 0 | | | 246,016 | | 11 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 36 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18,364,447 | | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4,656 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 35 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 695,040 | | 9 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 39 | 46 | 13 | 25,265,788 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6.2 | % | No | | | | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 7 | 47,566,592 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.4 | | Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.2 | | Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.1 | | Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +0.1 | | James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.0 | | Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | +0.5-0.5-1.9 | | Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | | James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.0+0.3+0.5 | | Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | | | 22 | 47 | 27 | 4 | | | | | | 12 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 38 | 4 | 0 | | | 11 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 36 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 10 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 35 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 9 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2 | 39 | 46 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 7 |
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