Lights. Kamara. Action Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Andre Pasche 91-118.5, playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.5%
14 points 7-4-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.6 | -18.0 | -0.6 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne 135.5 Dan Dziuba 138 | +0.3 | |||||
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.2 | -3.0 | -0.1 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +0.2 | +1.9 | +0.1 | |||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.1 | -3.0 | -0.2 | |||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.1 | -9.2 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -0.5InIn | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | InIn-0.5 | +24.0+5.8-24.2 | +0.8+0.4-0.8 | |||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.5InIn | |||||
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.2In-0.3 | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -14.6+6.3+14.5 | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.8-0.7+0.8 | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Daniel Mittag finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 86.4 | % | 17 | 69 | 14 | 3,624,261 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 74.8 | 75 | 25 | 145,679 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 35.8 | 36 | 55 | 9 | 7,242,098 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 42.5 | 43 | 57 | 1,487 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 14.7 | 15 | 55 | 31 | 146,302 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.0 | % | 0.9 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 3,623,709 | |||||||||
| Total: | 99.5 | % | 39.9 | % | 4 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14,783,536 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.6 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.2 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.1 | |
| Ryan Scott 64.5 Terry Koning 125.5 | +0.1 | |
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -0.8-0.4+0.8 | |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 17 | 69 | 14 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 75 | 25 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 36 | 55 | 9 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 43 | 57 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 15 | 55 | 31 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 16 | 2 | |||||||
| Total: | 4 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
