"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Lights. Kamara. Action Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Andre Pasche 91-118.5, playoff odds down 0.5 to 99.5%
14 points 7-4-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | -0.3 | -40.4 | -0.8 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm 87 Agholorious Bas 169 | +0.1 | |||||
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | -4.4 | -0.0 | ||||
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | InIn-1.1 | +12.6-5.6-24.6 | +0.4+0.1-0.8 | |||
| Scott Sleightholm vs Dan Dziuba | -0.4InIn | |||||
| Jeremy Ballantyne vs Darren Payler | -0.1InIn | |||||
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | +0.5In-0.0 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | -9.4+17.3+29.2 | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | -0.2*-0.1+2.2 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Daniel Mittag finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Top | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 64.7 | % | 1 | 64 | 35 | 19,588,271 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 43.9 | 44 | 56 | 610,291 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 18.2 | 18 | 76 | 6 | 21,269,057 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 23.5 | 23 | 77 | 4,776 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 4.8 | 5 | 73 | 22 | 330,988 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 95.6 | % | 0.2 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 5,763,209 | |||||||||
| Total: | 99.5 | % | 35.4 | % | 0 | 35 | 51 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 47,566,592 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag 91 Andre Pasche 118.5 | +0.8 | |
| Kevin Smith 185 Darren Payler 173.5 | +0.0 | |
| James McMillan 162 Brent Golem 152 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Daniel Mittag vs Terry Koning | -0.4-0.1+0.8 | |
| Kevin Smith vs Brent Golem | +0.1-0.2-0.3 | |
| Ryan Scott vs Agholorious Bas | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| James McMillan vs Andre Pasche | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 64 | 35 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 44 | 56 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 18 | 76 | 6 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 23 | 77 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | 73 | 22 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | |||||||
| Total: | 0 | 35 | 51 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
